NBA Same Game Parlay Picks Today for Hawks vs Heat: Bam Adebayo Headlines My +216 SGP for April 18

The NBA Play-In matchups continue on Friday, April 18, with two games to determine the No. 8 seed in the Eastern and Western Conferences.

Here, I’ll examine the East matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat.

(Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images)

The Hawks landed in this game after losing to the Orlando Magic 120-95 in a fight for the No. 7 seed, while the Heat beat the Chicago Bulls 109-90 to knock them out of the tournament and have a chance at the No. 8 seed.

The winner of this game will take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first round of the NBA playoffs.

The Hawks will host this game. They’re 21-19 at home, while the Heat are 17-23 on the road.

The Hawks are slight favorites at -1 and -118 on the moneyline.

On the injury report, I’ll be monitoring the status of Hawks center Clint Capela, who was ruled out of Tuesday's game with a hand injury.

As for the Heat, they’re without Kevin Love, Nikola Jovic, and Dru Smith.

Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +216.

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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Hawks vs Heat

DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +216

• Heat +1
• Bam Adebayo 18+ Points
• Tyler Herro 2+ Three Pointers Made

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Heat +1

For the first leg of my NBA parlay prediction, I’m taking the Heat +1.

Of course, with a spread like that, I’m essentially picking them to win, but worst case, they lose by one, and this leg of the Same Game Parlay is a push.

Looking at these teams, I think the Heat will present real problems for the Hawks.

If Capela is out, the Hawks frontcourt will have a disastrous time withstanding the offense from Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo.

Over their last three games, the Heat have allowed just 104.3 points per game (third).

Additionally, teams are shooting just 43.7% from the floor (fifth), 36% from 3-point range (13th), and 49% on 2-point shots (third) against them over the past three games.

Using the same timeline, the Heat’s offense has stepped up, averaging 126.7 points per game (third) compared to the Hawks’ 112.0 (17th).

Miami is also shooting 51.9% from the floor (third), 38.4% from 3-point range (fifth), and 60.7% on 2-point shots (third).

Tyler Herro has been a big part of their offensive success lately. Against the Bulls, he scored 38 points, five rebounds, and four assists.

In the five games prior, he’s had no less than 20 points and 30 or more in two of those.

He’s a presence from the perimeter, and the Hawks are a team that could present some problems, holding the Orlando Magic to 28.2% from 3-point range. Though to be fair, the Magic’s offense is far from stellar.

In that game against the Magic, though, the Hawks allowed a shooting percentage of 63.5% on 2-point shots, which I think could prove to be the death knell for them here.

Look for the Heat to beat up on the Hawks in the paint on defense while Herro tests their will from the perimeter. I think the Heat win this one, but again, I’ll take the point to be safe.

Bam Adebayo 18+ Points

For the next leg of my NBA Same Game Parlay today, I’m taking Adebayo to score 18 points or more.

The individual betting line for this prop is -200.

This season, Adebayo is averaging 18.1 points per game.

Against the Bulls, Adebayo had 15 points and 12 rebounds.

In the last five games of the regular season, he had 18 or more in all five of them.

He shoots 51.7% on 2-point tries (5.9 of 11.4 per game).

As mentioned, the Heat are taking on a Hawks team that’s struggled against those 2-point shots, allowing 63.5% of them to fall against Orlando.

Of course, Capela's status is massive for this assessment. Still, I think Adebayo will get it done and have a great game.

Tyler Herro 2+ Three Pointers Made

Due to the lack of a frontcourt and my expectation that the Hawks try to pin down the perimeter game, I’ll be a bit conservative with Herro’s 3-point expectation.

Herro had a fantastic game against the Bulls. He scored 38 points, shooting 3 of 7 from 3-point range.

In the five games prior, he had at least two in all of them.

This season, Herro has made two 3-point shots or more in 66 of 77 games.

That’s nearly 86% of his games.

Over the past three games, the Hawks have allowed 34.9% of 3-point shots to fall (10th) and 12.7% of 3-point shots to go in (tied for 8th).

I certainly expect some difficulties, but Herro is almost automatic to have at least two in one game.

This season, Herro has played the Hawks four times.

In three games against Atlanta this season, Herro sank four 3-point shots.

In the other game, on Feb. 24, he had a lousy outing, shooting 0 of 9 from 3-point range.

Still, I think Herro gets it done and continues his streak of productivity.