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NBA Same Game Parlay Picks Today for Mavericks vs Grizzlies: Anthony Davis Headlines My +252 SGP for April 18

Publish Date: Apr 18, 2025
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

Two games will be played on Friday, April 18, to determine the No. 8 seed in each conference in the NBA ahead of the playoffs.

I’ve already covered the Eastern Conference matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat, and now, it’s time to look at the Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies.

(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

The Grizzlies lost to the Golden State Warriors 121-116 to earn this spot, while the Mavericks defeated the Sacramento Kings 120-106.

The winner of this game will have a tall task: Taking on the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Grizzlies are 26-15 at home, while the Mavericks are 17-25 on the road. The Grizzlies will host this matchup.

The injury report has one massive name on it: Grizzlies superstar Ja Morant. He didn’t practice Thursday and is dealing with an ankle injury.

As for the Mavericks, Kyrie Irving and Olivier-Maxence Prosper are out.

Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +252.

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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Mavericks vs Grizzlies

DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +252

  • Grizzlies ML
  • Over 221
  • Anthony Davis 25+ Points

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Grizzlies ML

For the first leg of my NBA parlay prediction, I’m taking the Grizzlies moneyline.

The Grizzlies are 6-point favorites in this one, but I’m a bit scared to take the point spread in either direction.

As mentioned, the Grizzlies are 26-15 at home straight-up but just 17-15 against the spread as a home favorite.

Where I think they can beat up on the Mavericks is holding down their perimeter game.

Over the last three games, the Grizzlies have held teams to a shooting percentage of 26.3% from beyond the arc, which is the best mark in the NBA over that stretch.

They’re also holding teams to 111.7 points per game over that stretch, which is middle of the pack. However, considering the Mavericks have been shooting 37.8% (tied for 6th) over their last three games, the Grizzlies defense should be able to make things difficult for them and withstand what I think could turn into an onslaught from Mavericks star Anthony Davis.

While the Grizzlies have been excellent at defending the perimeter, they have allowed 57.1% of 2-point shots to fall over their last three games, which is 7th in that stretch.

That’s why I’m taking the moneyline as opposed to the spread—the Mavericks with Anthony Davis can be a tough out.

Davis has played in 10 games for Dallas this season, including the Play-In win over the Kings.

They’re 7-3 with Davis in the lineup.

I also have some questions due to Ja Morant’s injury status. He’s considered questionable.

I expect him to suit up in a game of this magnitude, but it’s fair to question his effectiveness.

Still, they have players like Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane, who each average 19.2 points per game or better.

Another advantage of the Grizzlies is their ability to crash the boards.

This season, the Grizzlies are averaging 55.9 rebounds per game, second-most in the league.

As for Dallas, they’re at 50.9 per game this season.

That said, they’re at 52.0 per game over their last three—Davis certainly plays a role in that.

At home, the Grizzlies edge this one out, but the Mavericks make it interesting as the game comes to a close.

Over 221 Points

I'm taking the over for the next leg of my NBA Same Game Parlay today.

As mentioned, the Grizzlies have been strong against 3-point shots, but they’re beatable on 2-point shots, which is where Davis lives.

The Grizzlies defense, in terms of points allowed per game, has been a bit up and down.

They allowed 121 to Golden State, 141 to Minnesota, and 117 to Denver since April 10.

They did beat the Mavericks 132-97 on the final day of the regular season, which is more than enough points to go over, and Davis didn’t suit up in that game.

Then, if Morant suits up and plays his usual Morant-like game (he averages 23.2 points per game, which leads Memphis), I think this total will be over.

This is going to be a tight game.

Anthony Davis 25+ Points

In the Mavericks 120-106 win over Sacramento, Davis led the way with 27 points and nine rebounds.

Over his most recent five games in the regular season, he had 25 or more in only two of them, but he had 23 on April 11 against Toronto and seemingly suffered an adductor injury in that one.

As mentioned, the Grizzlies are allowing 57.1% of 2-point shots to fall over their last three games.

During the regular season, Davis was a 54.6% shooter on such shots.

Against the Kings, Davis shot just 9 of 23 from the floor. I think he’ll only improve here and still put up 27.

This last leg of 25 points may be a bit conservative, but I’ll play it safe.

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