Best Same Game Parlay Tonight: Sara's +837 SGP Picks for Warriors vs Celtics (November 6)

The NBA is back, and we have a highly awaited matchup between the Golden State Warriors (6-1, 4-0 away) and the Boston Celtics (7-1, 2-0 home). Even with the departure of sharpshooter Klay Thompson, Golden State has very much surprised bettors and fans. Two of the best teams in the NBA, the Warriors and Celtics, will clash for the first time since March 2023.

 (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

Heading into tonight's matchup as -6 point favorites, the Celtics will once again be without stars Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis. With that said, there's positive news on the horizon for Warriors bettors. Steph Curry, who missed three games with an ankle injury, is back in action tonight! Stating his ankle "feels fine," head coach Steve Kerr doesn't anticipate "big minute restrictions" for Curry.

Aside from the injured De'Anthony Melton, the Warriors are healthy and added much needed depth to compete for another NBA Championship. As for the Celtics, can they get it done without two of their biggest heavy hitters? After all, the Celtics will always be out for blood after conceding to the Warriors in the 2022 NBA Finals.

Then again, the Celtics dominated the Warriors last March, 140-88, and captured  the third biggest victory in Celtics franchise history. Will Curry and company let that happen again? Most likely not.

My Four-Leg +837 Parlay Picks For The Warriors Vs Celtics Matchup

If you've read my articles, I usually provide my best bets and player prop plays for the NBA games. This time around, I've cooked up a +837 parlay on FanDuel Sportsbook, which is unique. Let's take a look at my four best parlay picks for the Warriors and Celtics matchup, and dive into why I think we can cash out tonight.

With the Warriors undefeated on the road, can they knock off the 2-0 Celtics at the TD Garden? 21-9 on the season, I am up over 7 units betting on the NBA. Looking to stay hot, let's cash out tonight on these four NBA parlay picks.

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NBA Matchup:  Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics FanDuel Odds For November 6

MONEYLINE

• GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS: +166
• BOSTON CELTICS: -225

SPREAD

• GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS: +6 (-112)
• BOSTON CELTICS: -6 (-108)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

• OVER: 230 (-110)
• UNDER: 230 (-110)

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics Injury Report

WARRIORS

1. De'Anthony Melton, G: OUT (Back)

CELTICS

1. Jaylen Brown, G: OUT (Hip)
2. Kristaps Porzingis, C: OUT (Foot)

2023-2024 NBA Head-to-Head Stats: Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics

• December 19, 2023: Warriors 132, Celtics 126 OT ( Golden State +5, over 233.5)
• March 3, 2o24: Celtics 140, Warriors 88 (Boston -8, under 231)

NBA Parlay Picks And Predictions For October 6: Warriors Vs Celtics

Same Game Parlay (SGP): +837 at FanDuel

• Jrue Holiday Over 3.5 Assists (-149)
• Golden State Warriors +6 (-126)
• Steph Curry 25+ Points (-105)
• Al Horford Over 10.5 Points + Assists (-125)

Jrue Holiday Over 3.5 Assists

2024-2024 NBA Stats

PPG: 13.0 | FG: 50 % | FT: 78.6 % | 3PT : 48.7 % | REB: 3.6  | AST: 3.1 | STL: 0.3 | BLK: 0.3

My first leg of my same game parlay, I bet on Celtics guard Jrue Holiday to total over 3.5 assists tonight. A key part of last year's championship team, Holiday is a veteran guy who isn't going to put up flashy numbers every night. In fact, the assist counts have been a bit inconsistent. However, an impactful player on both ends of the court, Holiday gets another prime matchup with the Warriors tonight.

Averaging 3.1 dimes on the year, there's no doubt this prop line is fair. After a fairly consistent October, Holiday's assist totals have certainly been up and down. With several blowout victories over the Hornets and Hawks, Holiday tallied just two assists in 24 minutes on Monday. Given the Celtics are looking to repeat, there's a good reason why Joe Mazzulla trusts his front court depth with Payton Pritchard.

Holiday Has Historically Dominated the Warriors With Playmaking

Overall, tonight's matchup will be much more competitive between the Celtics and Warriors. Not expecting a large spread margin, Holiday is averaging 31.5 minutes at the Garden this year, and 29.6 for Mazzulla overall. Although Pritchard is a viable sixth man of the year candidate, Holiday has hit well over this prop in games that are much closer.

With a season high six assists vs the Hornets, that particular matchup was decided in 10 points or less. And who stepped up in the absence of Jaylen Brown? Jrue Holiday. Speaking of Jaylen Brown, the Celtics star will not lace up for tonight's game. While this could have some impact on this prop, Holiday has tallied a combined 15 assists in the last two matchups vs the Warriors. In those two matchups, the Celtics failed to have Brown in the lineup.

With a 7-1 record, we've seen the Celtics come in close contention with several teams, including the Pacers and Pistons. In games where Holiday plays 33 minutes or more, this prop line has soared over in four of the last five games played. In order to hit this first leg of my NBA parlay, this game needs to be competitive.

NBA player prop parlay prediction #1: Jrue Holiday Over 3.5 assists

Overall, the Celtics have a ton of weapons, on both the weak and strong side of the ball. With Brown out of the lineup, Pritchard will surely carve into Holiday's minutes. However, one of the best combo guards in the league, Holiday has plenty of options. While his assists rates have dramatically dropped off sine the 2022-2023 season, there's one aspect thats's certain. Holiday's ability to facilitate vs the Warriors has been unmatched throughout his career. With an average 6.6 dimes vs Golden State throughout his NBA career, Holiday has tallied over 3.5 in 3-4 previous head-to-head matchups.

Sure, the Celtics haven't averaged as many assists, and the Warriors are great at shutting down passing lanes. However, this is a Warriors team that's recently allowed Carlton Carrington (7), Fred VanVleet (5), CJ McCollum (5), and James Harden (11), and Scoot Henderson (4) to tally over 3.5 dimes.

Golden State Warriors +6

2024-2024 NBA record: 6-1, 4-0 away

I originally took the Golden State Warriors at +7 as a straight bet, and loved this pick so much, I decided to add this into my parlay. I know the Celtics are an elite team,  undefeated at home. However, the Warriors have proven they belong this season, and now get the Celtics, who are without two top players. With Brown to miss a third straight game with a hip issue, Neemias Queta is in line to get the starting nod once again.

Proven winners with a 4-0 record at home, the Warriors increased bench depth is what's making them the hottest team around. Failing to find a home with the Kings, 76ers, and Pacers, the sign-and-trade with guard Buddy Hield has been the most shocking of all. In fact, Hield leads all scorers off the bench with 21.9 points per game. Shooting an improbable 50 percent from beyond the arc, does Curry have a new splash brother?

Speaking of Curry, the Warriors have shown they can win without him in the lineup. Vowing to bounce back from a tumultuous season, Andrew Wiggins is already showing improvement, especially from the three-point line. Once  again a dynamic offensive powerhouse, the Warriors are averaging 121.6 points per game, which ranks 3rd in the NBA. While often times Curry has single handedly carried Golden State on his back, this newly improved team is scary.

With Curry doing Curry things, the Warriors have five players who average points in double-figures, one of which is not listed as a starter. Beyond Curry, Golden State has some serious shooters in Moses Moody, Wiggins, Heild, and Brandin Podziemski that should put the league on notice. Even with Podziemski struggling from beyond the arc (18.2 %), can you imagine the impact once he gets going?

The Warriors Matchup Perfectly With The Celtics Tonight

Overall, the Warriors have the guards to matchup with Jrue Holday, Payton Pritchard, and Derrick White. Although not running a true center, Golden State remains the top rebounding team in the league. And that's with Trayce Jackson-Davis at the five. With Jonathan Kuminga expected to have a breakout season off the bench, I'm telling you this Warriors team is scary.

If you're tailing my NBA parlay tonight, the Warriors are an elite defensive team, which was an issue in years past. A versatile team and depth amongst several positions, Golden State excels in increased on ball defense and trapping.  Limiting opponents to a second best 104.3 points per game, the Warriors remain the top defensive team around the perimeter. Holding opponents to 28.3 % from deep, and 41.5 % from the floor, they now get the top offensive team, the Celtics (123.6 PPG).

Although this is the Warriors first big test of the season, they've had a fairly smooth schedule through the first seven games. Winners of four straight, Golden State had back-to-back victories vs the Pelicans. Holding Zion Williamson to 5-20 from the field is no joke, can they stop Queta and Horford in the backcourt? After all, Queta has very limited experience as a starter and in the NBA as a whole.

NBA spread bet parlay prediction #2: Golden State Warriors +6

If Curry is a full go without minute restrictions, I don't see how Boston is still heavy favorites. Two of the best three-point shooting team, it will be a battle of the trey balls. With both teams ranked 14 and 15 respectfully in pace, I don't expect either side fighting for breaks. Atop of the NBA rankings in net rating, the Warriors currently hold the second best net rating of 16.8, compared to Boston's 14.1.

6-1 ATS on the year, I'm laying the points with the Warriors, who've covered in 7/10 head-t0-head matchups with the Celtics. Covering all but the +9 spread against the Clippers, Golden State is 2-0 ATS as underdogs this season. For my second leg of my same game parlay, I can't think of two teams who are more evenly matched than the Warriors and the Celtics tonight.

Although the Celtics are 5-3 ATS this year, we've seen them get rocked, losing a -10.5 favorable spread vs the Hornets, and -12.5 against the Pistons. The last time they were favored by six points, the Pacers were able to cover that. Look for the Warriors to come close tonight, and perhaps win the money line.

Steph Curry 25+ Points

2024-2024 NBA Stats

PPG: 19.8 | FG: 42.9 % | FT: 100 % | 3PT : 41.7 % | REB: 4.8 | AST: 6.5 | STL: 1.5 | BLK: 0.3

For my third leg of my same game parlay, I bet on Warriors guard Steph Curry to total 25+ points tonight vs the Celtics. Back from an ankle injury, Steve Kerr stated there will be no limitations for tonight's matchup. With that said, it's a bit risky, however, the reward is enticing.

Failing to hit the 30 point mark this season, there's no doubt Curry has a ton of help offensively. While his points productions have drastically dipped from last season, Curry is still shooting at an incredibly high clip from the three (41.7 %). With assists and facilitating production on the rise for the first time in five seasons, Curry has the chance to crank out a 30-bomb tonight.

What better team to do so against than the Boston Celtics! A team the Warriors defeated in the 2022 NBA Finals. Letting it fly nine times beyond the arc Monday vs Washington, Curry was easily able to tally 24 points in 24 minutes. And this is after suffering an injury. I know the Wizards aren't the Celtics, however, limiting the minutes restrictions is too juicy to pass up.

Now, will Curry have a challenging matchup with the Celtics? Yes. Jrue Holiday and Derrick White will continue to greet him in the half court. Having one of the best defensive back court duos on the league, Boston has slipped as of late. Not only did LaMelo Ball score 31 and 36 points back to back, Damian Lillard (33), Jaden Ivy (26), and Jordan Poole (26) all totaled over 25 points.

NBA player prop parlay prediction #3: Steph Curry 25+ points

With a 1-3 prop record this year, the stats make the over look highly unlikely. However, Curry has had success vs the Celtics his entire career. With a career average of 23.3 points per game, Curry has scored over 25+ points in 9'/12 games vs Boston. Aside from putting up four points in the last blowout, the Warriors guard has hit the over in 8 of the last 10 meetings. For a player that's averaging 36.1 minutes vs Boston over that stretch, Curry had over a 70 % hit rate when playing 36 minutes or more last season.

If Curry is able to sustain hefty minutes and take advantage of drop coverage and pick and roll defense, this should soar over tonight. Lay the points with Steph Curry for 25 + points. With the original line set at 22.5 points, what's another 2.5 points for better odds?

Al Horford Over 10.5 Points + Assists

2024-2024 NBA Stats

PPG: 7.9 | FG: 52.6 % | FT: 100 % | 3PT : 52 % | REB: 4.7 | AST: 2.4 | STL: 1.5 | BLK: 0.3

My last leg of my same game parlay, I bet on Celtics big man Al Horford to record over 10.5 points and assists vs the Warriors. Starting in place of the injured Kristaps Porzingis, there's no question his points production has declined. However, beside Neemias Queta, Horford is averaging the best three-point percentage of his career (52 %) since the 2009-2010 season.

A veteran and key part of this Celtics team, Horford has the innate ability to space the floor, yet make the extra pass, especially for that corner three. With Brown out of the lineup, Horford does have depth behind him in Luke Kornet and Xavier Tillman. However, this prop line is right on target, which I love for this parlay.

Overall, the Warriors don't have a true big man. Able to hold his own, Trayce Jackson-Davis has been placed at the five, and of course Draymond Green at the four. With the over hitting in 4/7 games on the year, Horford's certainly been able to take advantage of Brown's absence. Smashing the over in 8/10 games without Brown, I not only like Horford points and assists, but I love the three-point line.

NBA player prop parlay prediction #4: Al Horford Over 10.5 Points + Assists

It's clear Joe Mazzulla is prioritizing Horford's general health over minutes. Although averaging 24.9 minutes, Horford has seen more action on the hardwood at home. Although the big man doesn't get a ton of shot attempts, his three-point and field goal percentage are elite. Look for Horford to take advantage, especially where he's had eight assists in the last two games.

Hitting the over in four straight games vs Golden State, expect Horford to get tons of looks, especially if Jayson Tatum is bottled up. How can we forget when the Dominican native had 10 three-point attempts vs the Warriors last December? An unselfish player, Horford will do anything it takes to win, and that includes passing up the rock.

If there is anyone that can handle the pressure against the Warriors, It's Al Horford.