On Monday, March 17, the Golden State Warriors will host the Denver Nuggets, and this is the best NBA Same Game Parlay today.
Heading into this one, the Warriors are in the midst of a seven-game winning streak, beating the New York Knicks in their last game out on Saturday, March 15, 97-94.
The Nuggets have had mixed results lately. On March 15, they lost at home to the Washington Wizards 126-123. In the game before that, they squeaked by the Los Angeles Lakers at home 131-126, but that Lakers team was without Luke Doncic and LeBron James.
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Looking at the injury report, the Warriors are healthy overall, with the only player listed being Brandin Podziemski, who’s day-to-day with a back injury.
The Nuggets are still without Julian Strawther, who’s been dealing with a knee injury for some time now, and Aaron Gordon, who is day-to-day with a calf issue.
Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game. When this parlay was created, the props were limited to Nuggets center Nikola Jokic and Warriors guard Stephen Curry.
NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Warriors vs Nuggets
DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +550
- Warriors ML
- Nikola Jokic 30+ Points
- Nikola Jokic 2+ Three Pointers Made
- Stephen Curry 25+ Points
- Nikola Jokic 11+ Rebounds
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Warriors ML
Leading off my NBA parlay predictions is a safer one.
The point spread moved out to five points, favoring the Warriors, and with that being a tough number to reckon with, I’ve opted for the moneyline.
As mentioned, the Warriors have won seven straight.
A big part of their recent success is the addition of Jimmy Butler, who’s played 15 games with the team.
Butler is averaging 16.4 points, 5.7 rebounds, 5.9 assists, and 1.3 steals per game with the Warriors.
He’s become a fantastic additional scoring option behind Curry.
Over both team's last three games, the Warriors are averaging 119 points per game (tied for sixth most in that stretch), while Denver is at 116.3 (10th).
There’s also been a massive discrepancy in 3-point shooting success.
Over the last three games, the Warriors have been shooting 46.3% from deep (second), while the Nuggets have been shooting just 33.7% (24th).
The Warriors are on a tear right now and are simply the better team than Denver.
That said, five points felt like too many, and they’re 12-12-1 as home favorites against the number.
In a 5-leg Same Game Parlay, take a safer route with the Warriors moneyline and watch them extend their winning streak to eight games.
Nikola Jokic 30+ Points
It’s hard to make an NBA Same Game Parlay today for this game and not include Jokic’s production.
This season, Jokic is averaging 29.1 points per game. Over his last five games, he’s had 30 or more in three of them. The two games he fell short were a 28-point outing against the Lakers and a 24-point game against Oklahoma City.
Jokic has played the Warriors just once this season. In that game, he had 38 points.
At home this season, the Warriors are allowing a shooting percentage of 53.7% on 2-point shots, which is where Jokic tends to rack up the majority of his points.
That said, in their last meeting, Jokic did shoot 3 of 4 from 3-point range.
As the underdogs, expect Jokic to get plenty of looks to help get his team out of a funk before the postseason begins and against a tough opponent on the road.
Jokic will hit 30.
Nikola Jokic 2+ Three Pointers Made
As mentioned above, Jokic made three in their last meeting, which was on Dec. 3. Of our best parlay bets today in the NBA for this matchup, this is the most “dicey” selection.
Over his last five games, Jokic has made two 3-point shots twice. If you extend that out to his last 10, it’s four.
Of the legs of this parlay so far, this one is the most risky, but it goes back to the Nuggets being underdogs.
Jokic is shooting 41.3% from 3-point range this season, averaging 1.9 makes and 4.6 tries per game.
It’s been a bit up and down lately, but if the Nuggets want a chance to win, Jokic will have to be heavily involved.
Opponents against the Warriors are shooting 39.8% from 3-point range over their last three games. That’s a 3.8% increase against the season average of 36%.
Stephen Curry 25+ Points
While the addition of Butler has helped the Warriors, it doesn’t mean Curry’s production has dipped.
Over his last five games, he’s had 25 or more in three games. In one of the games, he fell short; he had 24 points in 34 minutes of action against Portland.
This season, he’s shooting 39.6% from 3-point range. He’s averaging 4.4 makes and 11.2 attempts per outing.
There have been just 12 occasions this season where Curry makes at least four 3-point shots and falls short of 25 points.
For context, he’s made four or more 3-point shots 39 times this year.
Additionally, Curry is facing a Nuggets defense that has allowed opponents to shoot 40.8% from 3-point range over the last three games.
Over the course of the season, opponents shoot 36.5% from 3-point range, which is tied for seventh-worst in the NBA.
Nikola Jokic 11+ Rebounds
Finally, we’re looking to Jokic’s rebounds.
Over his last five games, Jokic has had 11 rebounds or more in three of them. He had 13 in their last game out against the Wizards.
Over his last 10, he’s done it eight times.
On the season, he’s averaging 12.8 per game.
Also, Jokic has had 11 rebounds or more in 42 of 62 games.
This is a fairly easy line for him to meet. He’ll hit at least 11.
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