Sports Reporter | Capper
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The Golden State Warriors will look for their first home win of the season on Tuesday against the New Orleans Pelicans, but they'll be without their leader, Stephen Curry.
That has opened this game up a great deal with the line moving to a pick 'em between two 2-1 teams, and it should provide some further opportunity to a number of players who will feature in this one.
Let's lay out who should shine in this intriguing affair and build a same-game parlay for Pelicans vs Warriors on Tuesday, October 29th.
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We won't see Curry play here, and there's a chance Andrew Wiggins -- listed as questionable -- misses this tilt as well. That should mean plenty more looks for Golden State's newest wing, Buddy Hield.
Hield may have played just 21 minutes per game in his first three contests with Golden State, but he's somehow managed to put up 13.3 shots per game -- five of which have come from 3 -- to give him his highest volume in years.
The Pelicans have defended the 3 well dating back to last season, but in 2023-24 they ranked second in the NBA in 3-point frequency against them on defense. We should be treated to a ton of launches from outside here, and if Hield sees an increase in his playing time due to the injuries he could eclipse his previous season high of nine 3-point attempts.
I like him to cash in on this number for the third time in four games.
The Warriors were just a couple of spots below the Pelicans a year ago, allowing 37.9% of their opponents' shots to come from outside, and with a weaker performance on defense that should mean the arc will be ripe for the taking for New Orleans.
Curry ranked in the 67th percentile of defenders in estimated plus-minus a year ago, and while Brandin Podziemski wasn't all that worse, he's gotten off to a wretched start this season with a rank of 60.
McCollum shot a blistering 42.9% from 3 against the Warriors a year ago, going 8-for-13 from outside the last time he faced them, and he should be afforded plenty of space to shoot in this one by an injury-shortened rotation.
The veteran has now gone for four or more triples in nine of his last 10 regular season games dating back to last year and should put up more than enough shots to get home.
The Warriors ranked second in rebounding rate a season ago, so it's no surprise to see them sitting third to open up the 2024-25 campaign. The Pelicans, however, regressed in that area last year with a rank of 10 -- but sat 19th in the second half of the season.
Golden State dominated the boards with a rebounding rate near 56% against the Pelicans last season, which represented New Orleans' worst matchup, and that's why I'll be looking to back a rebounding prop for the home side.
Jonathan Kuminga seems to be the best bet, considering he should receive more run with the injuries piling up for the Warriors. He's the only one whose spot in the rotation seems secure, receiving 20 or more minutes twice already and playing a season-high 22 last time out, and he's responded with four or more rebounds in two of those contests.
Now, with a soft matchup and some more minutes at forward, Kuminga should once again fill up the rebounding column.
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