NCAA Women’s Basketball Odds: Picks & Predictions for Conference Tournament Winners

Yes, March is already upon us, and so is the peak of the NCAA women's basketball season. We are past the regular season, which means it is conference tournament time. Over the next few days, 31 conference tournaments will be held around the country, with the winners earning an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.

We’ve got your best bets, predictions, and odds for the Power Four NCAA women’s basketball conference tournaments. There shouldn’t be any surprises, but that doesn’t mean we will not see some once the action begins.

(Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Let’s take a look at the odds for the Big Ten, SEC, Big 12, and ACC women’s basketball tournaments.

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Big Ten Women’s Basketball Conference Tournament Odds, Prediction, & Picks

The lowest seed to ever win the Big Ten Women's Basketball Tournament is No. 5 (Indiana in 2002). But since the conference has seven teams ranked in the top 25, I’ll list the top seven on DraftKings oddsboard here:

• UCLA -295
• Michigan +400
• Iowa +1100
• Minnesota +1400
• Maryland +1900
• Michigan State +3000
• Ohio State + 3500

If the odds are any indication, the choice is clear: UCLA. At -295, they have a 74.68% chance of winning. But history is on their side, along with math. Since the tournament was first held in 1995, 12 No. 1 seeds, nine No. 2 seeds, and one No. 5 seed have won the conference crown.

• My Pick: UCLA

This one was easy and not just because the Bruins are such heavy favorites or because history has favored the No. 1 seed. UCLA will cruise past whoever it faces in the early rounds and likely meet Michigan or Iowa in the Finals. I’m thinking it will be Iowa (which crushed Michigan in the regular season).

Iowa has a great defense and will keep UCLA from running away with it, but the Bruins are the better all-around team.

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SEC Women’s Basketball Conference Tournament Odds, Prediction, & Picks

The lowest seed to win the SEC Tournament was a No. 9 seed back in 1997 (Auburn). But since the SEC has eight ranked teams, we’ll list the eight teams at the top of FanDuel’s oddsboard:

• South Carolina +115
• Texas +120
• LSU +500
• Vanderbilt +1800
• Oklahoma +15000
• Kentucky +30000
• Missouri +30000
• Ole Miss +30000

The women’s SEC Tournament has had periods of dominance. For instance, from 2015 to 2025, South Carolina won nine of 11 tournaments. Tennessee didn’t have a dominant stretch like South Carolina, but it won 17 tournament titles from 1980 to 2010. The Lady Vols only went four seasons between wins twice in thirty seasons.

According to the odds, South Carolina has a 46.51% chance of winning, and Texas has a 45.45% shot.

• My Pick:  South Carolina +115

Both of these teams are tremendous and should make it to the Elite 8, if not the Final Four, this year. Texas beat South Carolina by two, and the Gamecocks beat the Longhorns by three in the second game. It will be an upset of epic proportions if anyone other than these two meet in the finals.

But in the end, in Dawn Staley I trust. She’ll get the Gamecocks to the end and past Texas (or whoever they play) for the tournament title.

Big 12 Women’s Basketball Conference Tournament Odds, Prediction, & Picks

A No. 6 seed is the highest to ever make and win the Big 12 Tournament title game. So, we’ll focus here on the top six teams on FanDuel’s oddsboard:

• TCU -115
• West Virginia +370
• Oklahoma State +750
• Iowa State +950
• Baylor +1000
• Texas Tech +2000

Since the Big 12 Tournament started in 1997, the No. 1 seed won 18 times, the No. 2 seed twice, the No. 3 seed four times, and the No. 6 seed twice. According to the odds, TCU has a 53.49% chance of winning, followed by West Virginia at 21.28%.

• My Pick: TCU -115

Yes, I know it’s boring just rolling with the favorites. But women’s basketball has a handful of dominant teams, and then there is everyone else. TCU just fits the mold as one of those teams. Now, West Virginia gave the Horned Frogs a run for their money in both regular-season games, only to lose by one and nine.

West Virginia led 28-22 at the half of the most recent game, but TCU made the right adjustments and took over in the second half en route to a nine-point win.

ACC Women’s Basketball Conference Tournament Odds, Prediction, & Picks

A No. 5 seed is the lowest to ever win the ACC Tournament, but the lowest to make the Tournament title game is a No. 7 seed. So, we’ll list the odds for the top seven contenders here (odds via FanDuel):

• Duke +185
• Louisville +250
• North Carolina +330
• Notre Dame +750
• NC State +1000
• Virginia Tech +4500
• Virginia +6500

According to the odds, Duke has a 35.09% chance of winning, Louisville a 28.57% chance, and North Carolina a 23.26% shot. History is a little more in favor of the No. 1 seeds, with 25 winners since the first tournament in 1978, 10 No. 2 seed winners, and 7 No. 3 seed winners.

A No. 4 seed has won four times and a No. 5 seed, twice.

• My Pick: Louisville +250

If there is one tournament that the favorite does not win, it will be the ACC. Duke beat the Cardinals by just a point in their regular-season matchup, so we know it will be a competitive game between them in the finals (assuming Louisville makes it past North Carolina, which they should). So, why the Cardinals over the Blue Devils?

Because when the chips are down, and a title is on the line, Louisville’s superior offense will make the one play needed to win the title.