
Week 1 delivered touchdowns, surprises, and plenty of immediate overreactions, but bettors should resist letting one game dictate how they attack Sunday’s anytime-scorer market. A player who reached the end zone in the opener isn't automatically poised to score again, just as a quiet debut doesn't erase an established red-zone role.

Photo via Cincinnati Bengals
Finding value in Week 2 requires looking beyond last week’s box score. Snap share, goal-line carries, routes run, target distribution and overall team scoring expectations provide a clearer picture of future opportunity. Matchups also matter, particularly when a defense struggles against the run, has difficulty covering tight ends or enters Sunday missing important personnel.
Price remains every bit as important as probability. The most likely touchdown scorer is not necessarily the best wager if the sportsbook has already inflated the number. Conversely, chasing an attractive plus-money price without dependable usage can quickly become a sucker bet.
The goal is to identify players whose projected opportunities outweigh the implied probability behind their odds. Week 1 supplies useful evidence, but it should inform the handicap—not control it.
As the NFL season gets underway, be sure to check out this list of the best sports betting offers that we've gathered.
Odds in this anytime touchdown scorer article are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Breece Hall’s Week 1 workload creates an anytime-touchdown case after he carried 22 times for 102 yards and a four-yard score in New York’s 23-10 victory at Tennessee. Hall accounted for 67.1% of the Jets’ 152 rushing yards. New York controlled possession for 39 minutes, gained 367 yards, and allowed no sacks, creating an offense capable of producing repeatable scoring opportunities.
Hall’s value extends beyond early-down rushing. His receiving ability keeps him involved when game flow changes and provides two touchdown paths: a goal-line carry or a catch in space. Jets quarterback Geno Smith completed 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, delivering enough efficiency to prevent Green Bay from consistently loading the box.
Hall combines lead-back volume, short-yardage priority and breakaway ability. He caught both targets for 16 yards last week, reinforcing his viability regardless of game script. The 2022 second-round pick has scored 28 touchdowns - 19 rushing and nine receiving - and has one touchdown across two career games against NFC North opponents. That score came against Green Bay.
The Packers surrendered 39 points in their opener, with Minnesota backup quarterback Carson Wentz throwing three touchdown passes. Green Bay may also be compromised up front, as linebacker Lukas Van Ness (questionable) and defensive tackle Javon Hargrave (doubtful) navigate concussion protocol. The Packers were one of seven teams to allow at least two rushing touchdowns by a running back last week. Since 2021, Green Bay has surrendered the NFL’s seventh-most rushing touchdowns with 154, strengthening Hall’s case to score again.
Ja'Marr Chase’s quiet opener presents a buy-low opportunity, not a reason to retreat. He caught only two passes for 12 yards in Cincinnati’s 33-27 victory over Tampa Bay, but Joe Burrow and Zac Taylor have emphasized getting their receiver more involved. That commitment points toward a target correction, featuring touches and high-value opportunities near the end zone.
Houston’s reputation helps preserve the +120 price, but its opener revealed scoring vulnerability. Buffalo amassed 409 yards and 36 points, the most yardage Houston had surrendered across a 23-game span, including the postseason. Josh Allen threw for 334 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for two more. The Texans can pressure, but now they face Burrow, who will have options, as Tee Higgins prevents the secondary from devoting every resource to Chase.
Chase has 54 touchdown receptions, the fourth-most in Bengals history and the second-most in the NFL since he entered the league in 2021. More importantly, his NFL-leading 25 receiving touchdowns over the past two seasons demonstrate unmatched scoring consistency. His 26 career 100-yard receiving games further illustrate the explosive ceiling behind every opportunity.
The matchup history completes the argument. In his only appearance against Houston, Chase delivered five receptions for 124 yards, including a 64-yard touchdown. He doesn't need a goal-line target to cash this wager because he can score from anywhere. With Burrow practicing Friday and positioned to start, Chase carries anytime touchdown value at an underdog price.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s Week 1 usage makes +135 appealing despite Seattle’s quarterback change. He commanded 11 targets, caught eight passes for 122 yards and scored Seattle’s only touchdown in a 13-10 comeback victory over New England. Those opportunities represented 45.8% of the Seahawks’ 24 pass attempts, a concentration more predictive than a single touchdown. That volume gives Smith-Njigba repeated chances to reach the end zone.
Drew Lock should not be viewed as a downgrade. After replacing Sam Darnold, Lock completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, one touchdown and no turnovers, producing a 113.3 passer rating. His connection with Smith-Njigba came on fourth-and-one, when play action created a 45-yard touchdown featuring 41 yards after the catch. That sequence showed why Smith-Njigba doesn't need a perfect deep ball or red-zone opportunity to score.
Seattle can manufacture touches through crossers, screens and underneath routes, providing Lock with answers against Arizona’s pressure. Smith-Njigba caught 72.7% of his Week 1 targets while averaging 15.25 yards per reception, illustrating both efficiency and explosiveness. His separation and run-after-catch ability create touchdown potential from anywhere, while his 45.8% target share establishes him as Seattle’s primary receiving option. That role should remain stable regardless of quarterback.
The matchup history provides support. The 2023 first-round selection has scored four touchdowns in six career games against Arizona, including touchdowns in three of his last four meetings. He's aiming for his fifth straight versus Arizona with 75+ receiving yards, so with usage, schematic versatility, explosive ability and repeated success, Smith-Njigba offers anytime-touchdown value at a plus-money price against this opponent.
W.G. Ramirez is a veteran sports writer from Las Vegas and a staff analyst at Ballislife Bets. Follow him on X at @WillieGRamirez.
