NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Best Bets: Week 3 Odds & Picks for Sunday (Sept. 27)

In Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, fans saw a record-breaking 93 touchdowns scored, a Week 1 record. Of those touchdowns, 37 were rushing, also a Week 1 record. But in Week 2, we saw a significant dip with just 69 touchdowns scored, 48 through the air and 19 on the ground. It is certainly a trend to keep in mind when betting on NFL anytime touchdown props for Week 3 on Sunday, Sept. 27.

(Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

But who should you go with? So far, 17 players have scored in every game their team has played. Six players have scored four touchdowns, five of them in just two games. One team has yet to surrender a passing touchdown, and eight haven’t given one up on the ground.

After considering this information and so much more, the following are my best anytime touchdown scorer props and predictions for today’s games.

As the NFL season gets underway, be sure to check out this list of the best sports betting offers that we've gathered.

NFL Week 3 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Best Bets for Sunday, Sept. 27

• New York Jets WR Garrett Wilson (+200)
• Baltimore Ravens RB Derrick Henry, first half (+105) and second half (+110)
• Houston Texans RB David Montgomery (-105)

Odds in this anytime touchdown scorer article are from DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook.

New York Jets vs. Detroit Lions

Garrett Wilson, Anytime Touchdown Scorer at +200 (FanDuel)

I hesitate to put my faith in the Jets offense, but I see this prop as betting on the struggles of the Lions defense.

Through Week 2, the Lions defense is second-to-last in total yards allowed (457.5 per game) and is one of two teams allowing more than 300 passing yards per game. It also ranks No. 28 against the run (147 yards per game allowed). More importantly, they have allowed 10 touchdowns so far this season (six passing and four rushing).

The Jets haven't been great on offense, but they haven’t been too bad either (No. 15 in total yards). Geno Smith has completed 70.8% of his pass attempts for 462 yards and has yet to throw an interception. But he has thrown only one touchdown pass, to Garrett Wilson.

Wilson is tied with Adonai Mitchell with 14 targets but leads the team in receptions (11) and yards (136).

The Jets have not been in the red zone much this season (Wilson, Mitchell, and Isaiah Williams each have one target and reception). Wilson’s lone touchdown catch came in the red zone. But against a defense surrendering 300+ yards passing per game, there is a good chance that changes today.

If it does, Geno Smith will likely target his WR1, making Garrett Wilson a good bet to score a touchdown at +200 odds.

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys

Derrick Henry, Anytime First Half Touchdown (+105, DraftKings)

Derrick Henry is one of the best running backs in the NFL. He has averaged 20 carries per game (24 and 16) and 5.3 yards per carry. Oh, and he is also tied for the league lead in touchdowns through Week 2 with four. So, we know the Ravens are going to go to him early and often. He has carried the ball 11 times in the first half in both Week 1 and 2.

He rushed for 63 yards and two touchdowns in the first half against the Indianapolis Colts, and 51 yards and a touchdown vs. the New Orleans Saints.

As for the Dallas defense, it has surrendered 347 rushing yards so far this season (an average of 173.5 yards per game). The Giants tallied 165 yards and a touchdown (the only rushing touchdown against the Cowboys defense) on 37 carries. Washington racked up 182 on 32 carries.

In terms of first-half vs. second-half production, the Dallas D has allowed 209 in the first half and 138 in the second. That is why Henry to score anytime in the first half is my first choice. He has done most of his damage in the first half. Dallas has struggled against the run early in games this season.

Anytime Second Half Touchdown at +110

Henry’s production has been better in the first half this season. But it is probably also worth taking him to score in the second half at +110.

Since joining the Ravens in 2024, he has carried the ball 325 times in the first half for 1,655 yards, 5.09 yards per carry, and 20 touchdowns. In the second half, he has carried the ball 343 times for 2,011 yards, 5.86 yards per carry, and 16 touchdowns. Historically, he has been even better in the second half from a yardage standpoint.

In Week 1 vs. the Colts, he had 13 carries in the second half for 81 yards (6.23 per carry) and a touchdown. However, if you can only pick one, stick with the first half. I say that because the Ravens got away from the run in Week 2 vs. the Saints. Henry had only five carries for 17 yards in the second half.

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts

David Montgomery, Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-105, DraftKings)

Since the 14-team playoff format was introduced in 2020, eight of 51 teams that got off to a 0-2 start went on to make the playoffs, with three making it in 2024 and in 2025 (including the Texans).

A 0-3 start is a lot harder to recover from. However, since the 2000 season, it has been done twice, in 2018 and last season. Both times, it was the Houston Texans. But the Texans do not want to test that theory again. To that end, they need a win against a fellow winless team.

If the Texans learned anything last week, it is that they should emphasize the run a bit more and give the ball to David Montgomery. Last week, he had only six of Houston’s 18 total carries for just 10 yards (the team gained 60 total rushing yards). But in Week 1 vs. the Bills, he had 20 carries for 60 yards and two scores. As a team, they ran for 124 yards.

Establishing the run always helps the passing game get on track, and with Nico Collins out again, that could be crucial to Houston’s hopes of getting a win today. The Texans should also be encouraged to run more this week after watching film of the Colts defense struggling against it.

It gave up 202 yards on the ground to the Ravens and 152 to the Chiefs. They kept Kenneth Walker out of the end zone last week but surrendered three rushing scores to Derrick Henry in Week 1. Montgomery isn't in the same class as Walker and Henry. But he has a solid history, and Houston needs to establish the run to win today.