
The 2026 NFL Divisional Round matchups are here, and this article will include the potential touchdown scorers for Sunday.

(Eric Thayer / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)
The Houston Texans (12-5, 5-3 away) will square off against the New England Patriots (14-3, 6-3 home) on the road.
With the over/under total points set at 40.5, oddsmakers aren't predicting a high-scoring game. A battle to advance to the AFC Championship game, this features one of the most potent offenses (the Patriots) against a stingy Texans defense. Ranked No. 3 in offensive DVOA, New England scored the third-most touchdowns in the NFL this season with 58. On the other hand, Houston scored just 38.
Averaging four touchdowns over the last three games— including a first-round playoff victory over the Chargers–the Patriots put up 28.8 PPG in the regular season. Putting up an average of three touchdowns over the last three games—including the playoffs—Houston averaged 23.8 PPG this season.
The late-night showdown will feature the Los Angeles Rams (12-5, 5-4 away) and the Chicago Bears (11-6, 6-2). With the over/under total set for 48.5 points, the sportsbooks are predicting a higher-scoring affair. The Rams boast the No. 1 offense in the league, while Chicago ranks top 10. That said, LA will face one of the most porous defenses in the Bears, who allowed 24.3 PPG.
Matthew Stafford vs. Caleb Williams— this game should generate plenty of offense. That said, the Rams are scoring 3.7 touchdowns over the last three games, and the Bears are scoring 3.3.
In this article, you will find my three best bets and top touchdown scorer predictions. I'm backing popular tight ends, running backs, and wide receivers to score touchdowns on Sunday. You can find all my bets within Fanatics and FanDuel Sportsbook.
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My first best bet for Sunday, I placed one unit on Patriots tight end Hunter Henry to score a touchdown against the Texans.
Emerging as one of quarterback Drake Maye's top targets, Henry has become a fixture in both the passing game and the red zone. Henry closed out the NFL regular season, scoring three touchdowns over the last five weeks. And in last week's Wild Card matchup against the Texans, he was the lone touchdown scorer for New England.
In a low-scoring affair, Henry's touchdown came late in the fourth quarter against the Chargers. Hauling in a deep 28-yard pass, it was Henry who found the end zone and put them up 16-3.
As mentioned previously, I don't expect loads of touchdowns given that the Texans boast one of the top defenses in the NFL. Defeating the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-6 in the Wild Card round, Houston led the Steelers to six points on two field goal kicks.
Logging 88% of snaps last week, Henry leads all New England receivers this season with 925 total snaps. And of course, Maye has various receiving options with Stefon Diggs, Kayshon Boutte, Kyle Williams, DeMario Douglas, and Austin Hooper.
I'm going with the nine-year NFL veteran here, who has a fairly decent matchup with Houston. In this case, I want to avoid cornerbacks Derek Stingley Jr., Kamari Lassiter, and Jalen Pitre (safety). We are talking about a Texans defense that's given up the 13th-most touchdowns to tight ends this season. That said, tight ends have been targeted on average 7.2 times per game.
Although Houston held tight ends Tyler Warren and Pat Freiermuth scoreless over the last three weeks, they allowed touchdowns to Brock Bowers (Raiders), Trey McBride (twice, Cardinals), and Oronde Gadsden (Chargers). Including the playoffs, they've given up five touchdowns to tight ends over the last seven games.
I'm confident in this prop given that Henry hauled in 64 yards on three receptions and five targets last week. Scoring three touchdowns over the last four games, he's averaging 4.25 receptions on five targets. A down-the-field threat for Maye, Henry hauls in 18% of team targets and is averaging 15.7% of team air yards.
I'm taking Bears running back D'Andre Swift to score a touchdown against the Rams on Sunday.
Chicago's leading rusher with 1,087 rushing yards and 10 total touchdowns on the season, Swift's touchdown in the fourth quarter was clutch in the Bears' 31-27 Wild Card comeback victory over the Packers last week.
Head coach Ben Johnson is committed to a running back committee that includes both Swift and Kyle Monangai. With snap counts nearly 50/50 last week, it was Swift who led the way with 54 rushing yards on 13 carries. Logging just eight carries for 27 yards, Monangai was bottled up.
This is a tough matchup for Swift, who faces a Rams defense that gave up six rushing touchdowns to running backs the entire NFL season. That said, Los Angeles ranks No. 5 in defensive rushing DVOA, allowing 110.8 rushing yards per game.
Scoring five touchdowns over the last five games, including the playoffs, we've seen Swift score multiple touchdowns against a stingy Browns and 49ers defense. Sure, the Rams' defensive line is strong—one that includes Byron Young, Poona Ford, Kobie Turner, and Jared Verse. However, they've been porous against the run, and we saw that last week.
Towards the back half of the season, Bijan Robinson (Falcons) and Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks) rushed for 195 and 100 yards, scoring a combined three touchdowns. While giving up just 22 rushing yards to RB1s over the last two weeks, Panthers Chuba Hubbard ran for two touchdowns in the Wild Card round. We aren't talking garbage time touchdowns–the Rams barely skirted by the Panthers, 34-31.
My third-best bet for Sunday, I placed one unit on Rams star wide receiver Puka Nacua to score a touchdown against the Bears.
While the weather may play a factor in Sunday's outing, I'm expecting plenty of offense today. We are talking about a Bears defense that ranks No. 25 in defensive DVOA. Not as strong against the pass nor the run, they gave up 27 points to the Packers last week. Now compare that to a Rams team that ranks No. 1 across the board in offensive DVOA.
Overall, the Bears have allowed an average of 26 points per game over the last four matchups, including a 42-point explosion from the 49ers. Despite Johnson at the helm, no, I don't trust this defense. Not to mention, Chicago gave up 24.4 PPG and over 361 total yards per game. Allowing 20 touchdowns to receivers, wideouts averaged 157.4 yards per game against the Bears this season.
While Caleb Williams saved the season with a late touchdown to DJ Moore, let's face it, they gave up 323 receiving yards, including 124 and 84 to Romeo Doubs and Matthew Golden. Allowing four touchdowns to four different Packers receivers puts Nacua in a perfect spot.
I truly like Nacua and Davante Adams as touchdown scorers on Sunday. I am higher on Nacua's matchup against Jaylon Johnson, especially given his height advantage. Logging 79% of snaps last week, Nacua continues to operate as Stafford's No. 1 target. Hauling in 111 yards on 10 targets, he scored a touchdown last week against the Panthers and now has five touchdowns over the last four games.
It's even more encouraging that Nacua has scored in four straight outings, averaging 9.25 receptions on 13.75 targets. Utilized heavily in the offense, he's coming off a season-high 18 targets last week. Targeted on more than 37% of routes, Nacua remains the No. 1 option.
