Jets vs Patriots Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions: NFL Best Bets for Thursday, November 13

NFL week 11 is here, and there's a highly anticipated AFC East division matchup featuring the Jets and Patriots in Foxborough.

(Photo by Matthew J. Lee/The Boston Globe via Getty Images)

Kicking off the week, the New York Jets (2-7, 1-2 away) will square off against the red-hot New England Patriots (8-2, 3-2 home) on the road. Tonight, the Patriots will debut their blue Nor'easter style Nike NFL Rivalry jerseys. In addition to the uniforms, New England has rivalry painted end zones. This game comes a few days after former tight end Rob Gronkowski signed a one-year deal to retire as a Patriot.

Favored by 12.5 points, it's been a magical season under first-year head coach Mike Vrabel in New England.  Boasting an 8-2 record, they've won seven straight games, and remain tied with the Indianapolis Colts for the AFC's best record. If you're betting on this matchup, that's a massive spread for either team to cover. In fact, it's the largest point spread for both the Jets and Patriots this season.

Prior to the season, it was Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills division to lose.  Now the Patriots are heavy favorites (-320) among oddsmakers to win the division. That's in large part due to Drake Maye's second-year success. In fact, he's leading the current NFL MVP Race. Who would've thought the former UNC standout would be ahead of the field!

RELATED: DRAYE MAYE, MATT STAFFORD LEAD THE NFL MVP RACE

Folks, this is NOT a drill. 8-2 on the season, we've seen Maye and the Patriots defeat top teams such as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. And to defeat division rival Buffalo Bills by three points on the road!? That's remarkable.  While the defense holds its own, it's the offense that stands out. The Patriots rank top ten in offensive DVOA.

The Jets were winless until they found victories over the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals over the last two weeks. While that's not all that impressive, they marked their spot in the wins column.

It's been a bit of a tumultuous season under first-year head coach Aaron Glenn, who's been reluctant to name Justin Fields as the weekly starter. It's been another dreadful season for the green and white, who've been inefficient on both sides of the ball. In fact, the Jets rank No. 27 in offensive DVOA and No. 30 in defensive DVOA.

Division matchups can be close; however, the Patriots are undefeated in AFC East matchups this year. Coming off a 28-23 victory over the Buccaneers, New England barely snuck by with a victory. Now they get a Jets team that is fresh off a 27-20 win over the Browns.

AFC Divisional Matchup: New York Jets vs New England Patriots

With an 8-2 record against the Jets since 2020, it's safe to say the Patriots have dominated their recent division matchups with the Jets. Last defeating New York 25-22 at home last season, the Patriots have been underwhelming when it comes to covering the spread. Over the last ten head-to-head matchups, the Jets are 7-3 against the spread—will this work in their favor tonight?

The Jets might head into full rebuild mode after shipping Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams at the NFL trade deadline. Slowly dismantling their defense, star wide receiver Garrett Wilson will miss tonight's contest with a knee injury. Will the additions of receivers Adonai Mitchell and John Metchie III suffice against a potent Patriots offense? Defensively, several players are listed on the injury report, including Will McDonald IV and Harrison Phillips.

Speaking of Patriots, rookie back TreVeyon Henderson had a breakout game with a career-best 147 rushing yards in the absence of Rhamondre Stevenson. How will the offense fare without Stevenson and Kayshon Boutte once again?

Another primetime game set to air on Amazon Prime, let's take a look at my best bets and anytime touchdown scorers for the Monday, November 13, NFL matchup featuring the Jets and Patriots!  If you're tailing my plays, all of the odds and bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

NFL Week 11 Best Bets: Jets vs Patriots Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thursday, November 13

Hunter Henry Anytime TD Odds: +145 (FanDuel)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 10  | Receptions: 30 | Targets: 47 | Receiving Yards: 377 | Avg: 12.6| Rec TD: 4 | Long Rec: 31 | First Down: 22

My first best bet for Thursday night, I placed one unit on New England Patriots tight end Hunter Henry to score a touchdown (+145) against the New York Jets.

While Stefon Diggs remains Drake Maye's top target, there's no doubt the offense will take a hit with the absence of wideout Kayshon Boutte. With DeMario Douglas, Mack Hollins, and Kyle Williams set to step up, that leaves the door wide open for Henry.

With Austin Hooper out for this outing, Henry has been a mainstay of the Patriots' offense since 2021. The clear No. 1 tight end, Hunter has put together a legit season, although it's been defined by inconsistencies.

Without Boutte, it was Henderson and the run game that exploded for 166 rushing yards against Tampa Bay. Recording an abysmal nine yards on one target, Hunter took a back seat to Hollins (106 yards), Williams (72 yards), and Diggs (46 yards).

Why Hunter Henry Is A Top Thursday Night Football Touchdown Bet

Irregularities have been the focal point of Henry's season; however, he's third on the roster in receiving yards (377), second in receptions and targets (47), along with touchdowns (4).  While the Jets have operated under a zone-heavy defense, the secondary will look vastly different without Gardner and Williams. Better yet, the Jets' outside linebacker core is inconsistent, along with the defensive line.

This opens up an excellent matchup for Henry, who faces a Jets defense that's been forgiving in the pass game. Prior to the injuries and trades, New York gave up the second-most touchdowns to tight ends (7). While no tight end has found the end zone against the Jets since Oct. 5, Jake Ferguson (Cowboys) and Darren Waller (Dolphins) scored two touchdowns each this season.

On pace for another decent season, Henry has been serviceable—grabbing 17 % of team targets and 38.6 air yards per game. Although last week's game was a dud, he was targeted just 13.3 % of the time. The week prior, Henry was targeted at 22.2 %.

Final NFL Anytime Touchdown Jets vs Patriots Betting Prediction: Hunter Henry ATS Odds: +145 (FanDuel)

I'm truly not worried about playing time; he leads all Patriots receivers with 507 snap count, and played 87 percent of snaps last week. Targeted three times in the red zone over the last three games, it's safe to say Maye has an eye on Henry. On the season, the tight end is good for 54 receiving yards and has caught six of his nine targets. Scoring three touchdowns inside the 20, he's collected 81.8 % of targets in that zone.

• I'm taking Hunter Henry to score a touchdown tonight. While three of his four touchdowns came early in the season, he's become a reliable scoring threat for Maye. For the value, let's give Henry the chance to score against a New York Jets defense that's allowed seven touchdowns to tight ends this season.

TreVeyon Henderson Anytime TD Odds: -135 (FanDuel)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

My second-best bet for Thursday night football, I placed one unit on Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson to score a touchdown against the New York Jets.

This is a popular touchdown prop bet and is juiced a tad at -135 odds. I do believe there's still great value here.

Aforementioned, Henderson should feature New England's lead back after Rhamondre Stevenson was once again ruled out. Last week, Henderson owned a majority of the snap counts (84 %), outplaying Terrell Jennings (8 %) and D'Ernest Johnson (10 %). I truly don't think he'll have any real competition out there, and may be able to add a touchdown or two in garbage time.

I'm all here for the Henderson experience. The rookie broke out for 147 rushing yards and two touchdowns last week against the Buccaneers, averaging 10.5 yards per carry on 14 carries. Scoring a 69-yard touchdown, the second-round draft pick out of Ohio State is more than just a goal-line scoring back.

Is TreVeyon Henderson New England's Top Back?

As time and injuries have transpired, Henderson's snap counts have only increased. Creeping up on Stevenson with 267 snap counts, he played 75 % in week nine and a career-high 84 % in week 10.  Over the last two weeks, he's tallied 28 carries, 202 rushing yards, and two touchdowns. We've even seen Maye utilize him in the backfield some weeks!

He gets a newly revamped Jets defense that leaves holes and question marks. With that said, the Jets have been middle-of-the-road, allowing six touchdowns to running backs. This is a New York team that allows the ninth most touchdowns to backs. In fact, we've seen Chase Brown score two against them on October 26.

I love this prop even more now that the price has dropped and Williams has departed from the Jets. Whether Henderson is here to stay as the top back, he's rushed for 24 red zone yards on 13 attempts. Only one of his three touchdowns has come inside the 20. Are we bound to see another breakout play tonight? Over the last two weeks, Quinshon Judkins and Chase Brown have each exploded for 70+ rush yards against New York.

Final NFL Anytime Touchdown Jets vs Patriots Betting Prediction: TreVeyon Henderson ATS Odds: -140 (FanDuel)

While Henderson is a smaller back, he's not the type who will break tackles. Putting up a 3.7 rushing touchdown percentage, he's averaging 74.9 percent of yards after contact. Scoring a touchdown tonight is only fitting, given that the Jets allow opponents to score over 58 percent in the end zone.

• I'm taking TreVeyon Henderson to score a touchdown Thursday night. He's shown the capability of making highlight plays, rushing for a long 55 and 69 yards over the last two weeks. With the ability to run inside and out, expect him to cross the plane tonight.