NFL NFC Championship Picks: Rams vs Seahawks Best Bets for Sunday, January 25

The Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks will make history today when they face off in the NFC championship game Sunday night. For just the sixth time (10th overall) since the NFL restructured into eight divisions in 2002, a conference title game will feature two division rivals.

This is, of course, a good thing for sports bettors, because we’ll have data from two games to analyze to help create our NFL Best Bets  list for the NFC conference championship.

(Photo by Brooke Sutton/Getty Images)

Best Bet: NFC Conference Championship Game Pick (January 25)

• Rams ML at +120 (bet365)

This will likely be a close, hard-fought game like the other two. One or two plays down the stretch will likely determine how it finishes. So, giving or taking the points could make a difference, but just as easily could hurt.

The odds, no matter which you bet, are minus money odds. There isn’t a ton of value in betting the spread for either team.

Since both regular-season games required clutch play down the stretch, the same will likely be true for this game. If that’s the case, I’m betting on Matthew Stafford and the Rams to win outright.

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Best Bets for NFC Conference Championship (Jan. 25): Los Angeles Rams

• Puke Nacua, OVER 7.5 Receptions at -113 (DraftKings)

Stafford targeted Nacua 10+ times in his last seven games — 12 vs. Seattle in Week 16, but just eight times in Week 11. Nacua had over 7.5 catches in four games and once vs. Seattle. But with the stakes in this game, take the battle-tested, veteran quarterback (Stafford) to connect with Nacua early and often.

• Puka Nacua, Anytime Touchdown at +125 (FanDuel)

Seattle’s defense is a concern, but Nacua torched it in Week 16 for 225 yards and two touchdowns. He didn’t score last week vs. the Bears, but scored at least once in his previous four games. The Seahawks will not shut down the Rams' offense like they did San Francisco’s. Nacua will get in the end zone at least once in this game.

• Matthew Stafford, OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns at -130 (FanDuel)

Stafford was held out of the end zone last week by the Bears, but had thrown for 2+ touchdowns in his previous 12 straight games, in 16 total games this season, and in both games vs. Seattle. He’ll do it again in today’s game.

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See where Stafford sits in the latest NFL MVP odds as Ballislife has that and all future team and player bets on our website.

Best Bets for NFC Conference Championship (Jan. 25): Seattle Seahawks

• Kenneth Walker III, OVER 19.5 Rushing Attempts at +105 (BetMGM)

The Rams' defense has not been great against the run this season (121.5 yards per game in the playoffs). The easiest way to keep Stafford from throwing touchdown passes to Nacua is to keep him off the field. Seattle will undoubtedly try to establish the run. Since Charbonnet is out, that means it will be up to Walker to carry the load.

• Kenneth Walker III, OVER 80.5 Rushing Yards at -110 (bet365)

The Rams held him to 67 yards on 16 carries in Week 11 but gave up 100 on 11 carries in Week 16. With Walker likely getting 15-20+ carries in this game against a suspect Rams run defense, his chances of running for more than 80.5 yards are good.

• Sam Darnold, OVER 29.5 Pass Attempts at -125
• Sam Darnold, OVER 19.5 Pass Completions at -120

Darnold had the luxury of not needing to pass much against the 49ers and Panthers in his last three games because he didn’t need to. Running the ball gave the Seahawks what they needed to win. But that will not be the case vs. the Rams, which will likely be a very competitive game.

If the Seahawks trail, as they did at times in both regular-season games, he’ll need to pass to catch up. In Week 11, he attempted 44 passes and completed 29. In Week 16, he attempted 34 and completed 22.