NFL Thanksgiving Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions: Best Bets for Thursday, November 27

NFL Week 13 is here, and so is Thanksgiving! Widely considered one of the most popular holidays linked to football, let's take a look at possible touchdown scorers.

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Let's grab some turkey, gravy, side dishes, and let's look at the three Thanksgiving NFL matchups! Buckle up, there are some good ones ahead.

A staple on Thanksgiving, the Detroit Lions (7-4, 4-1) get NFC North rival Green Bay Packers (7-3, 3-1-1 away). Slim 2.5-point spread and -154 moneyline favorites, the Lions get another holiday matchup in the Motor City.

For the late afternoon matchup, Patrick Mahomes will return to the Lone Star State, as the Kansas City Chiefs (6-5, 1-4 away) will face the Dallas Cowboys (5-5, 3-1-1 home). Their first matchup since 2021, the Cowboys are 3.5-point spread underdogs at home!

For the Thursday night showdown, there's a highly anticipated AFC North divisional matchup featuring the Cincinnati Bengals (3-8,1-4 away)  and the Baltimore Ravens (6-5, 3-3 home). This one is special, since Joe Burrow will return to the field for the first time since week 2. While the Ravens and Steelers lead the division, who doesn't love a Burrow vs. Lamar Jackson clash on Thanksgiving!?

Thanksgiving NFL Matchups: Week 13

If you're planning to bet on the NFL this holiday, welcome!

With three games scheduled on the Thursday slate, the Packers and Lions matchup will kick off at 1 p.m. ET on Fox. At 4:30 p.m. ET, the Chiefs and Cowboys will square off on CBS/Paramount+. Set to begin at 8:20 p.m. ET, the Bengals and the Ravens have the night show on NBC/Peacock.

I've been hot this week, up over 20 units, and swept 6-0 in two of the last three articles. Thanksgiving has notoriously produced some of the NFL's ultimate memories, so let's keep it rolling!

Since betting on touchdowns can be risky, I placed 2-3 % of my bankroll on each play. Therefore, I placed all my bets as separate wagers within DraftKings and Fanatics Sportsbook.

Let's take a deeper dive into my top best bets and touchdown predictions for the Thursday, Nov. 26, NFL Thanksgiving matchups! In this article, I will feature the top tight ends and wide receivers.

Are you in search of further NFL and sports betting promotions? We have compiled a list of the best sports betting offers here. 

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets Summary

• Mark Andrews (+105 Fanatics)
• Rashee Rice (-125 DraftKings)
• Christian Watson (+190 Fanatics)

NFL Week 13 Best Bets: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thursday, November 27

Mark Andrews Anytime TD Odds: +105 (Fanatics)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 11 | REC: 33 | TGTS: 46 | Receiving Yards: 285  |AVG: 8.6 | Touchdowns: 5 | Receiving Long: 27

My first Thanksgiving touchdown prop bet of the day, I placed one unit on Ravens tight end Mark Andrews to score a touchdown against the Bengals.

Joe Burrow may be returning to the field, but he can't fix the defense alone.  With a 3-8 record, let's face it—the Bengals have the worst defense in the NFL. Not only do they rank dead last in defensive DVOA, but they are also the worst-ranked team against the pass.

Riding a four-game losing streak, Cincinnati has allowed an average of 36.5 points to the Patriots, Steelers, Bears, and Jets over the last four weeks. Over that span, they've allowed four touchdowns—two to receivers, and a pair to tight ends Hunter Henry (Patriots) and Mason Taylor (Jets).

Similar to last week, the Bengals' defense continues to take hits with injuries. Not only is star defensive end Trey Hendrickson out Thursday, Cam Sample (DE) is listed as questionable. With Cam Taylor-Britt, Marco Wilson, and Shaka Heyward on injured reserve, the secondary remains thin as ice.

Why Mark Andrews Is a Top Touchdown Scorer Bet on Thanksgiving

It's already established that Cincinnati allows the most passing yards per game (259.8) in the NFL, along with a staggering 32.7 points per game! What you may not know is that the Bengals have allowed the most touchdowns to tight ends this season (13)!

While allowing just one touchdown to tight ends over the last three weeks, Patriots' Hunter Henry exploded for 115 receiving yards and a touchdown in last week's 26-20 victory over Cincinnati.

Overall, Andrews is having a down year in terms of yardage (285) and yards per reception (8.6). Once considered an elite fantasy football option, Andrews remains the Ravens' top touchdown scorer (5).

Riddled with injuries, the Bengals' linebacker core is suspect to say the least, and they allowed a 65.31 % scoring rate in the red zone. Even if the receiving yards aren't there, Andrew is hauling in nearly 17 percent of team targets and has been targeted seven times in the red zone over the last five games.

Final Anytime Touchdown NFL Thanksgiving prediction: Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+105 Fanatics)

While mainly absent in last week's victory over the Jets, Andrews has three touchdowns in the last four matchups. While Isaiah likely is creeping up with snap counts, Andrews led all receivers and tight ends with a 67 % snap count last week.

• I'm taking Mark Andrews to score a touchdown this Thanksgiving Thursday. I truly can't trust the Bengals' defense, and Andrews leads the team with 29 receiving yards, four receptions, and three touchdowns inside the 20 since week 7.  Plus, Lamar Jackson will be active and ready to roll. 

Rashee Rice Anytime TD Odds: -125 (DraftKings)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 5 | REC: 34 | TGTS: 47 | Receiving Yards: 394 |AVG: 11.6 | Touchdowns: 3 | Receiving Long: 47

For my second Thanksgiving touchdown prop bet, I placed one unit on Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice to score a touchdown against the Cowboys.

Back from suspension, Rice has re-emerged as Patrick Mahomes' No.1 option since his season debut against the Raiders on Oct. 19.

Rice may trail Travis Kelce and Hollywood Brown in receiving yards, but he's been the Chiefs' leading receiver since his return in week 7. In just five weeks, he leads the team in receptions (34), receiving, and yards (394).

There's no question Mahomes has numerous receivers to throw to, including Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyquan Thornton, and Travis Kelce. However, it was Rice and Worthy who led the way, playing 63 % and 77 % of snaps last week. In fact, he leads all receivers in Kansas City with 1.7 red zone targets per game.

Rashee Rice Emerges As Patrick Mahomes' Top Receiver

We are talking about Mahomes' most trusted receiver, who is targeted over 38 percent on routes.  A red zone threat, he leads all Kansas City receivers over the last five weeks with three touchdowns. Ahead of Brown, Worthy, and Smith-Schuster, he leads the pack with nine receptions on 13 targets alone! Sorry, Swifties, that puts him in front of Travis Kelce as well!

It's no secret that the Cowboys' defense has been less than stellar this season, although they've improved since mid-season trade acquisitions. Overall, they rank near dead last (31st) in defensive DVOA and 29th in defensive pass DVOA.

Primarily a wide, although sometimes a slot receiver, Worthy should have a day against DaRon Bland, the cornerback for the Cowboys. This should be a prime matchup for the wideout, who faces a Dallas defense that allows the second-most touchdowns to receivers.

Final Anytime Touchdown NFL Thanksgiving prediction: Rashee Rice Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-125 DraftKings)

I know Mahomes has various options; however, we can't ignore the fact that the Cowboys have given up four touchdowns to WR1s over the past four games. In the famous comeback against the Eagles last week, A.J. Brown torched the secondary for 110 receiving yards and a touchdown. Through 13 weeks, four WR1s have recorded 2+ touchdowns against Dallas!

• I'm taking Rashee Rice to score a touchdown on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys. He has a prime matchup and is one of Kansas City's most trusted red zone threats. A long or short threat, two of his three touchdowns have come within the five-yard line alone! This prop is a tad juiced, although there's still value there at -125 odds.

Christian Watson Anytime TD Odds: +190 (Fanatics)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 5 | REC: 17 | TGTS: 24 | Receiving Yards: 283 |AVG: 16.6 | Touchdowns: 2 | Receiving Long: 52

For my third-best Thanksgiving bet, I placed one unit on Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson to score a touchdown against the Detroit Lions.

Watson is back in action and remains one of Jordan Love's top receivers. While his receiving numbers have been low, yet consistent, he remains a downfield, long threat for Love.  And I happened to be present at the Nov. 20 matchup in which Watson scored two touchdowns against the New York Giants.

Scoring just two touchdowns in five games, it's a long shot at +190 odds. However, Watson has recorded 9 receptions and been targeted 12 times over the last 2 games!  Averaging 16.6 yards per reception, the Cowboys have allowed the most touchdowns to receivers (18) in the NFL!

First, the Cowboys lost cornerback Trevon Diggs, and now Caelen Carson is questionable to lace up tomorrow. As the Packers' No. 2 receiver, Watson will have a tall task against a Lions team that ranks No. 8 in pass DVOA. Don't let the stats fool you—Detroit has given up the third most touchdowns to receivers (15).

Final Anytime Touchdown NFL Thanksgiving prediction: Christian Watson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190 Fanatics)

As we saw last week, the Giants came close to a victory, and Wan'Dale Robinson exploded for 156 receiving yards and a touchdown against Detroit. Overall, this is a Lions team that gives up just north of 150 yards to receivers per game!

• I'm taking Christian Watson to score a touchdown on Thursday. He logged a team-high 74 % of snaps among receivers last week, and his targets and yardage have only increased.  Set to face the Lions for the first time this season, Watson and company will have a prime opportunity at Ford Field. With the weather a non-factor, the Packers will try to repeat their 27-13 Week 1 victory over Detroit.  If Josh Jacobs is healthy, Green Bay may not be so pass-heavy.  However, Jordan Love threw for two touchdowns in their previous matchup