NFL Week 11 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions: Best Bets for Sunday, November 16

NFL week 11 is here, so let's gather together the best touchdown scorer bets for Sunday!

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There are 13 games on the NFL slate, which includes some spicy division rivalries! With that said, let's highlight key matchups for Sunday! Week 11 will begin with an early-morning matchup in Madrid featuring the Washington Commanders (3-7) and Miami Dolphins (3-7).

How will the New York Giants (2-8, 2-2 home) fare against the Green Bay Packers (5-3, 2-1-1 away) after firing head coach Brian Daboll? Jameis Winston will get his first start as a Giant. Is he the answer? Oddsmakers do not anticipate this to be a close one, as the Giants are underdogs by 7 points.

Featuring an NFC North divisional matchup, Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears (6-3, 3-2 away) will square off against JJ McCarthy and the Minnesota Vikings (4-5, 1-3 home) on the road. 8-2 against the Bears since 2020, the Vikings are 2.5-point spread favorites.

There's a traditional AFC North matchup in Steel City that will look vastly different from years past.  It's the tale as old as time, as 40-year-old Joe Flacco and the Cincinnati Bengals (3-6, 1-3 away) will face off against 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4, 3-2 home). 6-4 against the Steelers since 2020, the Bengals are 5.5-point spread underdogs at home.

Key Week 11 NFL Matchups

Sticking to the AFC North, Lamar Jackson is back, and the Baltimore Ravens (4-5, 2-2 away) will play the Cleveland Brows (2-7, 2-2 home) on the road. With the departure of Joe Flacco, the Browns are set on starting rookie Dillon Gabriel over Shedeur Sanders. For me, that's quite the head scratcher. Winners of three straight, the Ravens look to dethrone the Steelers from the top spot in the division. They are currently large 7.5-point spread favorites on the road!

Heading to the NFC West, leading MVP candidate Matt Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams (7-2, 3-1 home) will get Sam Darnold and the Seattle Seahawks (7-2, 4-0 away). With an identical win/loss and spread record, will the Rams hand Seattle its first road loss?  Both are riding a four-game win streak—can the Seahawks survive as 3-point spread underdogs!?

This next matchup features two prominent teams in the AFC West. Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (5-4, 1-3 away) will head to the Mile High City to face Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos (8-2, 5-0 home).  A perfect 5-0 at home, this Denver team has been defined by elite defense and the ability to come back. 8-2 against the Broncos since 2020, have the books accurately favored the Chiefs by 3.5 points? The Broncos have overcome a deficit in every matchup this season.

Sunday Night Football: Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

Perhaps the best matchup is saved for last. Highlighting two top teams in the NFC, the Detroit Lions (6-3, 3-2 away) get the reigning champion Philadelphia Eagles (7-2, 3-1 home) in the City of Brotherly Love. Not only are they appointed as top Super Bowl favorites, but it's the first time both squads will square off since 2022!  Sportsbooks are predicting a close one, as the Eagles are slim 2.5-point spread favorites.

In this article, you will find my three best bets and touchdown scorers for week 11. While betting on touchdowns can be extremely risky, I recommend using bankroll management here. My top three picks are a combination of value and which players I believe will cross the plane on Sunday! You can find a mix of bets in FanDuel and Fanatics sportsbooks.

Are you in search of further NFL and sports betting promotions? We have compiled a list of the best sports betting offers here. 

NFL Week 11 Best Bets: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Sunday, November 16

Woody Marks Anytime TD Odds: +155 (Fanatics)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 1  | Carries: 81 | Rushing Yards: 304 | Receiving Yards: 183 | Receptions: 15 | Targets: 24 | Average Rushing: 3.8 | Rush TD: 2 | Receiving TD: 2 | Rush Long: 23

My first-best bet for Sunday, I placed one unit on Houston Texans running back Woody Marks to score a touchdown against the Tennessee Titans.

The fourth-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft out of USC is making the most of his opportunity since running back Joe Mixon remains sidelined.  Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans wanted to deploy a running back committee involving Nick Chubb and Dare Ogunbowale, but that has since changed.

Marks should remain the lead back, as he took over duties from Nick Chubb in the Texans' 36-29 come-from-behind victory last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars at home!

Leading the lead with 63 rushing yards on 14 carries, it was Marks who scored a touchdown before halftime to narrow the deficit. He was also a significant factor down the stretch, where the Texans scored four final-quarter touchdowns.

Overall, Mark's production has been modest. Tallying 304 rushing yards in nine games, he's averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. However, he's produced 60 yards on the ground in two of the last three games, and has 24 carries over the last two.

Is Woody Marks The No.1 Running Back In Houston?

It's evident that Ryans trusts Marks as the lead back. Not only does he lead the team with a 292 snap count, but he also played 80 percent of snaps last week. Compare that to Chubb, who's been in constant decline. In fact, Chubb played just 13 percent of snaps last week, and Ogunbowale, seven.

While the Texans aren't a run-heavy team (they call run plays just 36.3% of the time), they face a Titans team that allows opponents to score nearly 62% of the time in the red zone. That's great news for Houston, considering scoring inside the 20-yard line has been their weakness. When I say that, they score just 44.4 % in the end zone, which is the third-worst percentage among 32 NFL teams.

This should be a great matchup for Marks, who faces a struggling Titans team with just one win on the season. Cam Ward hasn't been able to save the season, and several defensive players are listed on the injury report. That includes defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons, Arden Key (safety), and Xavier Woods (free safety).

Not to mention, the Titans have been one of the weakest teams on both sides of the ball. Ranking 26th in defensive DVOA, they remain one of the least efficient teams against the run (No. 28 defensive rush DVOA).

Week after week, we've seen teams pound the ball on the ground. Therefore, it's not surprising the Titans give up 141.3 rushing yards per game! In fact, they are tied with the Buffalo Bills for the most rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs (12) in the NFL!

Final NFL Anytime Touchdown Betting Prediction: Woody Marks ATS Odds: +155 (Fanatics)

It's no secret that Houston has been dreadful on third-down conversions (36.6 %). However, they make up for it on fourth downs (66.7 %). If they can make it down the field, I have faith in this prop. Let's be real, the Titans rank No. 26 in defensive DVOA, and have given up an average of 32 points over the last three games.

We are talking about a Titans team that recently surrendered three touchdowns to Jonathan Taylor and has allowed five rushing touchdowns over the last four weeks.

• I'm taking Woody Marks to score a touchdown Sunday, and wouldn't be surprised if it was more. Last time he faced the Titans in September, he rushed for 69 yards on 17 carries and finished with a pair of touchdowns. In addition, he recorded a season-high 50 receiving yards!

Jaylen Waddle Anytime TD Odds: +110 (Fanatics)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 10  | Receptions: 46 | Targets: 66 | Receiving Yards: 670 | Rec TD: 5 | Long: 46

My second-best bet for Sunday, I placed one unit on Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle to score a touchdown against the Washington Commanders.

Set to take on the Commanders in Spain, Waddle has emerged as Tua Tagovailoa's top receiving target, especially now that Tyreek Hill has been ruled out for the remainder of the season.

It's been a tumultuous season for the Dolphins, who recently parted ways with GM Chris Grier. While scoring just six against the Colts in week 9, they knocked off the Buffalo Bills 30-13 in week 10. For the last four weeks, the Dolphins have scored just six and 30+ points every other week.

Why Jaylen Waddle Can Score A Touchdown Sunday Against The Commanders

Waddle will continue to lead a banged-up Dolphins receiving corps that already is without Hill. For Sunday, Dee Eskridge is questionable. That leaves Waddle, Malik Washington, Cedrick Wilson Jr., and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine. This season, he's tallied 670 receiving yards, five touchdowns, and leads the team in yardage and yards per reception (14.6). In reality, running back De'Von Achane has been the only other real threat in the passing game.

While we can forget his 15-yard performance against the Browns, Waddle has been a consistent and reliable option.  Recording 80+ receiving yards in five of the last six games, he's posted 80+ in three straight games. Along with that, he's found the end zone in two of the last three games.

I'll take my chances with the Dolphins in Spain, I know that might sound crazy.  Waddle has a decent matchup against a Commanders defense that ranks No. 22 in defensive DVOA. In addition, they allow the third-most touchdowns to receivers!

Final NFL Anytime Touchdown Betting Prediction: Jaylen Waddle ATS Odds: +110 (Fanatics)

We saw Lions receiver torch Washington for 119 yards and a touchdown last week, and Rashee Rice (93 yards) and CeeDee Lamb (110 yards) both found the end zone in the last couple of weeks. This might be the matchup of the season for Waddle, who is set to face Jonathan Jones or Mike Sainristil.

• I'm betting the Dolphins won't flop this week, and that Jaylen Waddle will score a touchdown. Washington allows a 66.7 % end zone scoring rate, and Waddle is one of the most explosive receivers in the NFL.  Not to mention, he led all Dolphins receivers with an 83 % snap count last week, and is hauling in 22.1 percent of team targets. Recording 43.8 percent of targets last week, this is a great value bet.

Drake London Anytime TD Odds: +105 (Fanatics)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 8  | Receptions: 53 | Targets: 85 | Receiving Yards: 691 | Rec TD: 6 | Long: 43

My third-best bet for Sunday, I placed one unit on Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London to score a touchdown against the Carolina Panthers.

London is questionable to play with an illness/back injury, but I am optimistic.

This year, he's been one of the top receivers in the league, ranking 7th in receiving yards (691). He's been one of the hottest players recently, and remains a solid slot and occasional deep ball option for Michael Penix Jr.

The Falcons' leader in receptions (53), targets (not 85), and receiving yards (691), he leads all wideouts with six touchdowns in eight games.

Is Drake London The Best Wide Receiver In The NFL Right Now?

I've had the pleasure of watching several Falcons games now. When I tell you London's been hot... he's been hot.

Totaling 100+ receiving yards in four of the last games, he's recorded 222 receiving yards over the last two weeks! Against New England in week 9, he showed out with 118 receiving yards and THREE touchdowns! Yes, you read that correctly.

Can I truly fade a player who's scored four touchdowns in two weeks? He's having a breakout year in his third NFL season and is being targeted on 32.6 percent of routes! Hauling in nearly 30 percent of team targets, volume has never been an issue.

On Sunday, he faces a Panthers team that predominantly plays zone defense and has been feasting against zones this season. The Falcons are desperate for a win and face a Panthers team that has been middle-of-the-road against the pass. While allowing just six touchdowns to wide receivers, Carolina ranks No. 22 in defensive passing DVOA.

Final NFL Anytime Touchdown Betting Prediction: Jaylen Waddle ATS Odds: +110 (Fanatics)

Overall, the Panthers' defense is legit. Last week, Chris Olave and Juwan Johnson of the Saints destroyed Carolina's defense for 196 receiving yards and two touchdowns. London had an underwhelming performance against Carolina early this season, totaling 55 yards on five receptions. Since that matchup, he's been unstoppable.

• For +105 odds, I'm taking Drake London to score a touchdown Sunday. He's been next-level, tallying 523 receiving yards, six touchdowns, 37 receptions, and 48 targets over the last five weeks! Plus, he's scored three touchdowns in the last three head-to-head matchups against Carolina. 

Bonus Bet: Pat Freiermuth Anytime TD Odds: +240 (Fanatics)