NFL Week 4 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions: Best Bets for Sunday, September 28

NFL week 4 is here, and there are 13 games on the slate!

(Photo by Brooke Sutton/Getty Images)

On Sunday, there is one 9:30 am ET game scheduled in Dublin featuring the Minnesota Vikings (2-1) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1). In this article, let's look at key NFL week 4 matchups and my best bets on which player will score a touchdown on Sunday!

Key NFL Matchups: Week 4

There is an AFC South divisional matchup featuring Cam Ward and the Tennessee Titans (0-3, 0-1 away) and C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans (0-3, 0-1 home). Both searching for a first win, the Texans are heavy 7.5-point spread favorites at home.

Featuring top quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, there's a highly anticipated matchup between the Baltimore Ravens (1-2, 0-1 away) and the Kansas City Chiefs (1-2, 0-1 home). With both squads off to a slow start, the Chiefs are +2.5-point spread underdogs at home. A rematch of the AFC Championship game, the Chiefs have a 6-4 record against the Ravens in the last 10 head-to-head matchups. The Ravens currently have the second-best odds to win the 2026 Super Bowl (+600).

Micah Parsons Makes His Return To Dallas With the Green Bay Packers

For Sunday night football, Micah Parsons and the Green Bay Packers (2-1, 0-1 away) will face Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys (1-2, 1-0 home) on the road. Parsons will make his return to Dallas since being traded to Green Bay, and the Packers are 6.5-point spread and -330 moneyline favorites on the road. Led by quarterback Jordan Love, Green Bay is an early Super Bowl favorite among sportsbooks (+800).

In this article, you will find my three best bets and my anytime touchdown scorer (ATS) picks and predictions for NFL week 4. Here is the Sunday, September 28 NFL schedule and odds, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Aforementioned in previous articles, betting on a player to score a touchdown is a high-risk, high-reward option. With that said, I always recommend responsible betting. My three bets are the top value picks, and players will score a touchdown today. My bets feature a mix of quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers.

Are you in search of further NFL and sports betting promotions? We have compiled a list of the best sports betting offers here. 

NFL Week 4 Best Bets: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Sunday, September 28

Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Odds: -115 (FanDuel)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 3  | CMP: 55 | Attempts: 77 | CMP: 71.4 % | Passing Yards: 479 | Passing TD: 3 | Pass Long: 51 | Rushing Yards: 117 | Rushing TD: 4

My first best bet for today, I placed one unit on Philadelphia Eagles star quarterback Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

This may be a popular pick; however, it's a safe one, and there's great value at -115 odds on FanDuel.

Hurts already has seven touchdowns on the 2025-2026 NFL season, including four rushing. This season, we've seen Hurts cross the plane in all three games. He scored a touchdown twice against the Cowboys in Week 1, followed by touchdowns against the Chiefs and Rams.

Why Jalen Hurts Can Score A Touchdown Sunday Against Tampa Bay

There's no doubt the Eagles are elite in the red zone, scoring 100 percent of the time this season. Backed by the famous "tush push," we can thank the Eagles' offensive line for so much success inside the 20-yard line.

Sunday, Hurts gets a Buccaneers team that he knows very well, especially in the playoffs. Although Tampa Bay allows the third-best opponent red zone scoring percentage (42.86 %), they allow the fourth-most rushing touchdowns to Quarterbacks.

Final NFL Anytime Touchdown Betting Prediction: Jalen Hurts ATS Odds: (-115 FanDuel)

This season, Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons) scored a touchdown against the Buccaneers. Sure, Hurts has options with DeVonta Smith, A.J. Brown, Dallas Goedert, and even Saquon Barkley.

Overall, Hurts leads the Eagles with 28 rushing attempts in the red zone, on 10 attempts. Barkley, who won the NFL rushing title in 2024, has just eight rushing yards inside the 20. Hurts has five rushing attempts himself inside the five-yard line.

• I'm taking Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown Sunday at -115 odds on FanDuel.

Nick Chubb Anytime TD Odds: +136 (FanDuel)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 3  | Carries:34 | Rushing Yards: 141 | Avg Rushing: 4.1 | Rush TD: 1 | Rec TD: 0 | Rush Long: 25

My second-best bet for today is to place one unit on Houston, Texas, running back Nick Chubb to score a touchdown against the Tennessee Titans.

With Joe Mixon out due to injury, DeMeco Ryans has deployed a running back committee featuring Chubb and Woody Marks. I have faith in Chubb, especially since he played well over 50 percent of snaps in all games this season. Last week, he played 52 percent of snaps against the Jaguars.

Bettors have witnessed modest production from Chubb, which is in contrast very different from his days with the Cleveland Browns. Tallying 60, 43, and 38 yards against the Rams, Buccaneers, and Jaguars, Chubb scored a 25-yard rushing touchdown against the Buccaneers.

Why Nick Chubb Can Score A Touchdown On Sunday

Chubb is by far the Texans' leading rusher, recording 141 yards on the ground this season. No other running back has yet to cross the plane, and he leads all Texans inside the 20 with eight rushing yards and two attempts. More than capable of performing as a three-down back, he has a great matchup today.

Searching for its first victory, the Titans have been dreadful on both sides of the ball. Ranking No. 28 in defensive DVOA, Tennessee has allowed the most rushing touchdowns this season (5), including 354 rushing yards through three weeks.

Houston ranks last in red zone scoring percentage (0%), but I believe that changes today. Tennessee is one of the better teams in terms of opponent red zone scoring percentage (46.15%), yet they rank last (32nd) in rush EPA.

• I'm taking Nick Chubb to score a touchdown today. This is a running back that's three seasons removed from scoring 12 touchdowns with the Browns. Plus, the value is great here for +136 odds on FanDuel. 

Keenan Allen Anytime TD Odds: +190 (DraftKings)

2025-2026 NFL Stats

GP: 3  | REC: 19 | Targets: 28 | Receiving Yards: 194 | Receiving TD: 3 | Receiving Long: 25 | First Down: 13

My third-best bet for today, I placed one unit on Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen to score a touchdown against the New York Giants.

The Chargers have a potent offense under Greg Roman, and Allen has invigorated his career after re-signing with Los Angeles.

While LA has a trio of receivers in Allen, Quentin Johnston, and Ladd McConkey, Allen has quickly established himself as one of Justin Herbert's top options.

Tied with Johnston for the most touchdowns (3), Allen is leading all wideouts with 28 targets and 19 receptions. Tallying 194 rushing yards on the season, Allen has made the most of his usage.

Is Keenan Allen The Chargers' Top Receiver?

His snap counts aren't nearly as high as McConkey's and Johnston's. However, he did log a season-high 65 percent of snaps in week 2 against the Broncos. Recording 60+ yards in three straight games, Allen has found the endzone in each against the Chiefs, Raiders, and Broncos.

Allen and the Chargers get the Giants on the road, who rank No. 30 in defensive DVOA. New York's defensive line is dangerous; however, the secondary has been forgiving.

This season, the Giants have allowed the fourth-most touchdowns to wide receivers (3), and the Chargers pass the ball 64.1 percent of plays.

While Allen has lined up wide more than the slot, he should have a reasonably decent matchup against Paulson Adebo (CB) and Jevon Holland (S). We are talking about a Giants defense that ranks No. 31 in success rate and No. 24 in dropback EPA.

Final NFL Anytime Touchdown Betting Prediction: Keenan Allen ATS Odds: (+190 FanDuel)

On the other hand, Herbert and the Chargers rank No. 7 in success rate. Overall, the Chargers haven't had great success in the end zone (40 percent); however, the Giants allow a 20-yard line scoring percentage of 80 percent.

Allen is a deep ball threat, although he leads all receivers inside the 20 with six targets, 41 receiving yards, and three touchdowns.

• For the value, I'm taking Keenan Allen to score a touchdown against the Giants.