Super Bowl LX Best Bets: Attacking the Tight End and Running Back Markets

In a Super Bowl featuring two great defenses, expect these quarterbacks to default to what they trust — tight ends, running backs and a lot of high-percentage plays. That’s where this card lives. Fewer hero balls, more schematic inevitability.

Here’s how I’m attacking player props in the biggest game of the year. Feel free to use all of these in a parlay, or maybe just the ones you like.

Super Bowl LX Best Bets: Odds and Top Picks For Sunday

(Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

All the odds I used in making my predictions came from BetMGM, DraftKings and FanDuel.

Super Bowl Prediction: Trust Patriots Tight End Hunter Henry with these picks

• Hunter Henry over 39.5 receiving yards (-110 FanDuel) / over 3.5 receptions (-128 FanDuel)

Henry's over is my favorite prop bet for the game. Seattle’s defensive structure has consistently struggled against tight ends over Mike Macdonald's two years there, and this matchup sets up no differently.

This year, Seattle's defense is at the bottom of the league in allowing tight ends receiving yards, receptions and targets. Henry had a big day against Mike Macdonald’s defense last season, and the underlying reasons still apply. Seattle plays great coverage on the outside, limiting receiver separation and forcing quarterbacks to throw back inside the numbers. And against what’s essentially a new-era Legion of Boom, New England’s wideouts aren’t winning consistently on their own.

If pressure is getting home, and it likely will the way New England's offensive line has played, the Patriots won’t have much of a choice. Quick reads, seams, sit routes and play-action looks all point Henry’s way.

Still searching for other Super Bowl LX bets to make Sunday and beyond? Ballislife has all future team and player bets on our website.

Super Bowl Prediction: Seattle defense could impact New England RB Rhamondre Stevenson

• Rhamondre Stevenson under 14.5 rush attempts (-122 FanDuel)

This one is largely game script and matchup-driven.

Seattle ranks as the best run defense in the league by a wide margin in almost every metric used, and they’re especially dominant at winning early downs. That alone puts Stevenson’s rushing volume at risk.

Add in the likelihood that New England is playing from behind, and those attempts start disappearing quickly.

There is one wrinkle: standout safety Nick Emmanwori injured himself in practice this week. That helps Drake Maye through the air but not necessarily Stevenson on the ground.

May throwing more naturally caps Rhamondre’s rushing workload. The efficiency might be fine, but the volume probably won’t be there.

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Super Bowl Prediction: Pick Rhamondre Stevenson to help in the passing game

• Rhamondre Stevenson over 22.5 receiving yards (-130 BetMGM)

This bet is using the same logic as the Henry play, just out of the backfield.

New England may struggle to establish the run, but that doesn’t mean they’ll abandon Stevenson. Instead, expect them to get creative: screens, angle routes, swing passes and other high-percentage throws designed to stay ahead of the sticks if they can't run the ball on early downs.

These are essentially extended handoffs that play directly into Stevenson’s skill set. If Seattle’s front is controlling the interior, the Patriots will use the pass game as a substitute run game.

That’s where Stevenson’s receiving line becomes attractive.

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Super Bowl Prediction: Take a chance betting on Rashid Shaheed's rushing total

• Rashid Shaheed over 2.5 rushing yards (-125 BetMGM)

Shaheed isn’t heavily featured as a traditional receiving threat in Seattle’s offense, but that doesn’t mean he’s unused.

Against a New England front that’s very stout versus the run, especially between the tackles, expect Seattle to find creative ways to get explosives on the outside that doesn't involve JSN.

Right now, the odds of Shaheed just getting a carry is sitting around -200 on most books. With this bet, we're essentially cutting those odds in half by expecting him to use that lone carry to pick up at least three yards. It's a safe bet considering what he's done with his carries this year.

Super Bowl Prediction: Don't shy away from long shot TreVeyon Henderson bet despite the odds

• TreVeyon Henderson most rushing yards in the game (+2000, DraftKings)

This is the fun one. The Hail Mary. But it’s not as ridiculous as the odds suggest.

Henderson currently has the fourth-best odds to lead the game in rushing yards, behind Kenneth Walker III, Stevenson and Maye. Walker makes sense. Stevenson is debatable, given the matchup. And Maye, at +550, is the certainly the one that stands out.

If Maye is going to be running a lot, it likely means things are already going wrong for New England. Scrambles add up, but they’re rarely efficient enough to win a most rushing yards prop unless the game completely breaks.

Both defenses are expected to win up front, and Henderson should see multiple touches. At +2000, asking a rotational back with real burst and usage potential to outpace quarterbacks and a volume-restricted starter isn’t absurd.

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