The betting favorite has won 37 of 58 Super Bowls outright (one game was a pick 'em).
The underdog has won four of the last five Super Bowls outright.
Seattle is favored to win Super Bowl 60 at -225 (BetMGM); New England is the underdog at +195 (DraftKings).
Super Bowl LX will be here before you know it, which means there is no time to lose if you plan on betting on a winner for the big game, whether you’re betting via the spread or picking a winner outright (via moneyline). Doing so can be challenging, but we are here to help.
I’m not going to suggest you bet one way or the other. But I am going to present a case for the Seattle Seahawks to win and another for the New England Patriots to pull off the upset. Let’s start with the betting favorite for the game, the NFC representative, the Seattle Seahawks.
(Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
Making a Case for betting on the Seattle Seahawks to Win Super Bowl LX Outright
After an incredible 14-3 regular season and a dominant run in the playoffs, the Seattle Seahawks opened as their favorite to win Super Bowl 60 at -205. Since the line opened, sportsbooks have taken enough wagers to warrant a shift in the odds to between -225 (Hard Rock) and -240 (bet365).
For this article, let’s use the odds from
Caesars
since it’s available in more states than the Hard Rock, -230, which gives the Seahawks a 69.7% chance to win.
So, how will Seattle win?
The path to victory will be just what it always is for the Seahawks. Establish the run to help keep the defense from focusing on rushing the passer. Connect early and often with Jaxn Smith-Njigba to keep the chains moving and score more touchdowns than field goals. They’ve got talent at wide receiver and tight end as well as running back, so they don’t need to lean on any single aspect of the offense.
Seattle needs to find what works and take advantage of what the Patriots defense gives them.
But I think the defense will play a bigger part in this game. Drake Maye was sacked five times in each playoff game and struggled to protect the ball. A fierce pass rush could mess up his timing and cause him to make a few more mistakes, which the Seattle defense will capitalize on.
In short, Sam Darnold has to keep doing what he’s been doing, manage the offense, protect the ball, and score touchdowns while the defense gets Drake Maye off the field sooner rather than later.
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Making a Case for betting on the New England Patriots to Win Super Bowl LX Via the Moneyline
Teams always hope to make some strides forward when they hire a new head coach. But Mike Vrabel may have reset the expectations for first-year head coaches by getting the Patriots to the Super Bowl. When the opening line was set, the Patriots were the underdogs at +170.
Since then, the line has shifted in favor of the Seahawks, with the Patriots' moneyline now as high as +195 (DraftKings). That means a $100 wager will result in a $295 payday, your stake plus $195 in winnings.
Here’s how they’ll win
Drake Maye has to protect the ball. In three playoff games, he has thrown two interceptions and put the ball on the ground six times (losing three).
The offensive line needs to step up. If Drake Maye is sacked 5+ times, he’s fumbling at least once.
Keep the offense balanced and effective on early downs. They can’t let the Seattle defense start to dictate what plays they call; they need the whole playbook open as much as possible. That means gaining yards on first and second downs and avoiding third-and-long situations.
Defensively, they have to play smart. Don’t let Kenneth Walker III break off long runs or let Jaxon Smith-Njigba run free downfield. Keep the passing game contained; no deep passes and tackle to limit yards after the catch.
Seattle -225 at
BetMGM
(You must bet $225 to win $100)
New England is capable of winning this game. There are quite a few little things Mike Vrabel needs to fix, but if there is any coach who can do it, it’s him. However, the offense hasn’t looked clean throughout much of the playoffs. As good as Drake Maye has been, he is not quite ready for prime time.
Seattle’s pass rush and run defense will keep Maye on the run and the Patriots offense in third and long for much of the game. While the New England defense may keep the Seattle offense contained for a half, they will not do it for the whole game.
The Seahawks will pull away in the second half and win this one by double digits.
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