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Super Bowl LX MVP Odds: Quarterbacks Favored But Value Lies Elsewhere

Publish Date: Feb 02, 2026
Fact checked by: Matt Moreno
Key Points
  • The Super Bowl MVP has been a quarterback in five of the last six games and in 34 overall.
  • It would not be shocking to see Sam Darnold became a heavy favorite with minus money odds before kickoff.
  • Every player is eligible to win Super Bowl MVP, but a kicker or offensive lineman has never been a serious contender.

Betting on Super Bowl MVP odds opened when the playoff field was set. But now that we are down to the final two teams, fans don’t have to worry about betting on someone who doesn’t even play in the game. Now that the field is set, the question remains the same: Who do you bet on?

History favors the starting quarterbacks, but that doesn’t mean it’s a bad idea to bet on other players. Yes, quarterbacks won Super Bowl MVP honors in the last four Super Bowls (Super Bowl 56-59), but in the previous five (Super Bowls 51-55), only one quarterback won the award.

Sam Darnold #14 of the Seattle Seahawks celebrates with the George Halas Trophy after defeating the Los Angeles Rams 31-27 in the NFC Championship game at Lumen Field on January 25, 2026 in Seattle, Washington.

(Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

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Super Bowl LX MVP Odds

While the field of potential winners is down to two teams, betting boards have plenty of choices for bettors to choose from, including most (if not all) skill position players, defensive linemen, linebackers, defensive backs, kickers, and maybe even an offensive lineman or two.

The following are the top 12 players listed with odds at FanDuel, where you can find all the odds I used in my picks:

  • Sam Darnold +115
  • Drake Maye +230
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba +550
  • Kenneth Walker III +850
  • Rhamondre Stevenson +3000
  • Stefon Diggs +4500
  • Rashid Shaheed +4500
  • DeMarcus Lawrence +10000
  • Cooper Kupp +10000
  • Nick Emmanwori +10000
  • Leonard Williams +10000
  • Jason Myers +10000

If you plan to go with the quarterbacks, since one has won MVP honors in 34 of 59 Super Bowls, it makes sense. No one would fault you. Five of the last six winners were quarterbacks.

Wide receivers have won it eight times, most recently for Super Bowl 53 and 56. Linebackers have won it four times, with the last two not too long ago in Super Bowls 48 and 50. You have to go back to Super Bowl 37 to find the last defensive back to win. A running back hasn’t won since Super Bowl 32 (Terrell Davis).

Betting on an offensive lineman or kicker to win would result in a massive payday, but neither has ever been in the conversation.

Super Bowl MVP Odds: Our Picks

  • Sam Darnold +100

Quarterbacks are the obvious choice and a recommended bet, especially at their current odds. But if you wait until game day or even the last few days leading up to it, their odds could get shorter (and your potential payout smaller).

If you want to bet on just one, go with Darnold. Another game as he had against the Rams would certainly be MVP-worthy (22-35 for 374 yards and three touchdowns).

  • Drake Maye +230

Drake Maye was great in the regular season and a big part of why the Patriots are in the Super Bowl. But he has had a lot of trouble protecting the ball in the postseason. He has made plays, but he has also struggled at times and put the team in bad spots. However, with how well he played in the regular season, he could certainly clean up his game and have an MVP-worthy performance.

Non-quarterbacks who are a great value play

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba +600

It is a little harder for wide receivers to win the MVP because their success often gets credited to the quarterback. But if he posts numbers as he had vs. the Rams (10 receptions for 153 yards and one touchdown), he’ll be in the conversation.

  • Kenneth Walker +850

If Zach Charbonnet were active, neither running back would be a good bet. But with Charbonnet out, Walker will get the bulk of the carries, along with playing a role in the passing game. He’ll likely need to do better than the 111 total yards and one touchdown he had against the Rams.

Want to bet on the NFL MVP before it is announced this week? Ballislife has that and all future team and player bets on our website.

Other Players Possibly Worth Taking a Chance On

There have been times when the MVP was a player with an unexpectedly impactful performance, e.g., Desmond Howard’s 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown to ice Super Bowl XXXI, or Larry Brown’s two interceptions in Super Bowl XXX. Betting on those guys to win is betting that one of them will make the game-defining or winning play.

It’s unlikely, but it could happen. The key is identifying the guys with big-play potential who are worth taking a flyer on. Our top picks that fit the description, in no particular order, are:

  • Earnest Jones, linebacker, Seattle: +12500
  • DeMarcus Lawrence, defensive line,   Seattle: +10000
  • Stefon Diggs, wide receiver, New England: +4500
  • Christian Gonzalez, defensive back, New England: +20000
  • K’lavon Chaisson, linebacker, New England: +22500
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