Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III has averaged 19 carries and 89 yards per game in the postseason.
The New England Patriots defense held opposing running backs to 19.15 carries and 71.35 yards per game in the regular season.
Betting on Kenneth Walker III’s Super Bowl player props has been brisk at a few sportsbooks leading up to the game. With how important establishing the run is to Seattle’s success, that makes sense. Also, with Zach Charbonnett out, the bulk of the carries will undoubtedly go his way.
So, which of his Super Bowl player props should you bet on, and should you go OVER or UNDER the listed TOTAL? New England has a stout run defense, so they’re not going to let him run wild and do as he pleases, of course.
(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Super Bowl LX Player Props: Top Bets For Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III
All the odds I used in this article can be found at
FanDuel
and
DraftKings.
Watch for Walker as part of the Seattle passing game
OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards at -110 (FanDuel)
Walker does not play a huge part in the passing game, but he does tend to factor in. He only had 31 catches (36 targets) for 282 yards and only went OVER this mark five times in 17 games. But he had 29 and 49 yards receiving in Seattle’s two playoff games. Two or three dump passes to him in the flats will slow down the New England pass rush.
He could easily get 8-12 yards a pop, making it easy for him to go OVER this TOTAL.
OVER 2.5 Receptions at -122 (FanDuel)
I am loving this prop for the same reason as his receiving yards one: it’s small and easy to cover. Walker had 3+ in six of 17 regular-season games but had three and four in Seattle’s playoff games for respectable gains. New England has not been great at defending against pass-catching running backs.
Walker will be a great outlet for Sam Darnold if he gets in trouble or if the Seahawks just want to slow down the Patriots' pass rush a step or two. It may take most of the game, but he’ll go OVER this TOTAL.
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Bet on Kenneth Walker III carrying the load at running back with Zach Charbonnet out
OVER 18.5 Rushing Attempts at -106 (DraftKings)
If Zach Charbonnett were playing, this prop would be a tough one to call. But Charbonnet is out, and George Holani is unlikely to get more than three or four carries. Walker had 19 in both of Seattle’s playoff games. As important as establishing the run is to their offensive scheme, he’ll probably get as many, if not more, in the Super Bowl.
UNDER 73.5 Rushing Yards at -110 (FanDuel)
There is no doubt in my mind that the Seahawks will try to establish the run and will hand the ball off to Walker at least 19 times. But I’m not confident he’ll get far in the process. He averaged 3.3 yards per carry against the Rams. New England was tough to run on in the regular season and tougher still in the playoffs.
They held Kimani Vidal, Woody Marks, and RJ Harvey to UNDER three yards per carry in the playoffs.
Other intriguing Kenneth Walker prop bets to watch for in Super Bowl LX
OVER 22.5 First Quarter Rushing + Receiving Yards at -122 (FanDuel)
The only way I can see this one not hitting is if the Patriots go on a time-killing 15-play touchdown drive to start the game and don’t leave Walker and the Seahawks much time to get to work on offense. Against this Seattle defense, that is unlikely. But as long as they have two drives in the first quarter, I like his chances of going OVER this mark.
Anytime Touchdown at -195 (FanDuel)
He’s the primary running back for one of the two teams, so it should come as no surprise that his anytime and first touchdown odds have been popular amongst bettors. I’m a little concerned about him only scoring five times in the regular season, but he has had four in the playoffs.
If he gets 18.5+ rushing attempts as I expect, a handful of them will be in the red zone and he’ll likely get into the end zone at least once.
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