2026 NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 2 Best Bets, Player Props & Predictions (May 6)

The San Antonio Spurs face a crucial game in their effort to get to the Western Conference Finals and eventually the NBA Finals. In Game 1 on Monday, the Spurs lost a tough game on home court.

(Photo by Ronald Cortes/Getty Images)

Minnesota seeks to be greedy tonight. A win in Game 2 would put them in the catbird seat. The Timberwolves can take comfort in that win, and also recognize that they didn't play their cleanest game. Scary for the Spurs: the No. 6 Timberwolves can be better.

Game time is 9:30 PM ET. Game 2 can be seen and heard on ESPN and ESPN Radio.

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Current Betting Odds (May 6)

• Moneyline: Timberwolves: +310 | Spurs: -395
• Spread: Timberwolves: +9.5 | Spurs: -9.5
• Total: Over: 215.5 | Under: 215.5

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 Game 2 Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Timberwolves

1. Ayo Dosunmu:  Questionable (Calf)
2. Anthony Edwards: Questionable (Knee)
3. Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Achilles)

Game 2 is the same as Game 1 for the Timberwolves: Dosunmu is not expected to play and should miss his second straight game. As for Edwards, he looked surprisingly spry in the Game 1 win, when he came off the bench to play 25 minutes. The Timberwolves will need their team leader and best player in this game, and I'd expect Edwards to play from the bench once again.

Spurs

1. Carter Bryant: Questionable (Foot)

The rookie hasn't played since Game 5 of the Portland series, when he left the court with an undisclosed injury. His minutes have been swallowed up by the starting rotation.

Best Bets & Player Props: Timberwolves at Spurs

The most important stat from Game 1 may be easy to overlook. In the regular season, Victor Wembanyama took 7 free throws per game. In Game 1, he only took 2. That five-attempt difference was the difference in a tight, two-point loss to Minnesota.

Wemby blocked an amazing 12 shots, a playoff record, but that effort may have taxed his resources: he was 0-for-8 from 3-point range and shot a paltry 29% from the field.

More is expected, and more must be delivered by Wembanyama, who recorded 15 rebounds in Game 1. He must fine-tune his offensive game. It may be wise for Wemby to focus on mid-range and close-to-the-basket shot attempts in the first half of Game 2 to find his stroke.

Under 213.5 Points

According to DraftKings, roughly 63% of the bets placed on the Over/Under are on the OVER for Game 2. That's why I like to flip it and go UNDER. The pricing is to my liking, and I think both teams will be slower and shoot worse in Game 2, in large part due to interior defense.

The Spurs have gone under in total points 57.3% of the time in the 2025-26 season, including the playoffs. Both the Timberwolves and Spurs allowed fewer than the NBA average of 115.6 PPG. San Antonio has a -1.3 home spread, meaning they go under by 1.3 points at home on average. In addition, they have 18-26 O/U at home.

Looking at it from recent NBA Playoff outcomes: the Timberwolves have a history of forcing the Under with their defensive pressure. In four of their six games in Round One vs the Nuggets, the Timberwolves' games fell under. The Spurs were UNDER the totals in Games 1,  2, 4, and 5 of their series against the Trail Blazers.

We are seeing two of the more skilled defensive teams head-to-head. Minnesota allows the second-fewest three-point attempts per game in the NBA, and San Antonio has shot only 33% from 3-point range in the playoffs and 34% in its last 13 games, going back to the regular season. Wembanyama is shooting 29% (26-for-89) on threes in his most recent 17 games.

• MIN at SAS: Under 213.5 Points (+102 DraftKings)

Place your $50 bet (that's half a unit for me, adjust to your betting budget). If the score is under 213 points or less, you win $51 or $101, including your original stake.

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Julius Randle Points

Often overlooked, Julius Randle is a smart, winning basketball player. He gets ignored too often because he's not a notable threat from beyond the 3-point line. But the man they call "Orange Julius" can be a big game player because he does things few frontcourt players can do better: handle the rock, play with his back to the basket, and attack the rim for tip-ins. He's also an excellent passer. But I don't want "Orange" to pass tonight. I need him to score.

Randle is remarkably resilient and consistent in the postseason. In 37 career playoff games, he's scored 15+ points 30 times. He's scored 24+ in the NBA Playoffs 13 times, or 35% of the time.

With Edwards a bit gimpy and coming off the bench with fewer minutes, I like Randle to be the No. 1 scoring option against the Spurs. We may even see Randle stretch his range and launch a few more shots from beyond the arc (he was 2-for-6 from 3PT range in Game 1, which is two more attempts than his average).

• Julius Randle 25+ Points (+324 DraftKings)

I'm going half a unit. Which means if Randle pours in 25 or more points tonight against the Spurs, I win $162.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Game Prediction

I can't see a way that Wemby and the Spurs fall down two games. The defensive effort is too high for San Antonio, which is 34-10 on their home court this season.

Since 2021, when a higher seed has lost Game 1, that team has gone 24-7 in the second game. Those higher seeds have won the second game by an average of 17.6 points. Basically, when a higher seed comes back to win G2, it's a blowout. Only once has a higher seed won a G2 by fewer than six points after a loss in Game 1

I'll take the alternate spread and go Spurs -10.5. If San Antonio wins by at least 11 points, my $100 wager will be worth $104, plus my stake.

• Spurs -10.5 vs Timberwolves: ( +104  DraftKings)