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Timberwolves vs. Suns: betting odds and predictions for Apr. 28

Publish Date: 04/28/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

For all the hard work it took for the Phoenix Suns to even get into the playoffs, they surely were hoping for a better start to their opening-round series versus the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Phoenix now finds itself in a 3-0 hole to Minnesota -- a deficit that is nearly impossible to erase this time of year -- after its defense was torched in loss in Friday's Game 3. Is there any reason to believe the Suns can get at least one back against the Timberwolves and make this a series, or are we about to see our first sweep of the postseason?

Let's get into how to bet on Timberwolves vs. Suns on Sunday, April 28.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS.  PHOENIX SUNS FANDUEL ODDS FOR APR. 28

MONEY LINE

  • MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES: -105
  • PHOENIX SUNS: -112

SPREAD

  • MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES: +1 (-110)
  • PHOENIX SUNS: -1 (-110)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

  • OVER 212.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 212.5 (-110)

BEST ODDS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS.  PHOENIX SUNS

  • Minnesota is the slight underdog across the board, with the best odds on Timberwolves +1.5 (-113) at BetMGM.
  • The best odds on the favorites here are over at BetRivers, offering Suns -1 (-108)
  • The best place to bet the Over is at FanDuel, offering Over 212.5 (-112). The best odds on the Under 213 (-110) are at Caesars.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS.  PHOENIX SUNS INJURY REPORT

MINNESOTA TIMERWOLVES INJURY REPORT

  • KYLE ANDERSON - QUESTIONABLE - HIP

PHOENIX SUNS INJURY REPORT

  • GRAYSON ALLEN - QUESTIONABLE - ANKLE
  • DAMION LEE - OUT - KNEE

WHY MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES WILL COVER THE SPREAD

The Timberwolves, simply put, will cover here on account of their offense. Sure -- the defensive side of the ball has unquestionably been the calling card all year, but as the Suns have grown into this series offensively it's made little difference given the way Minnesota is scoring the ball.

This team is cooking the Suns from the mid-range and doing a decent enough job at the rim with a 63.3% shooting percentage, and to produce such excellence on the offensive side of the ball is a great sign considering the 3 has been the cornerstone of this offense and hasn't really been falling all that much at 35.5%.

Minnesota has a ton of upward mobility here given it can shoot the 3 better, and also defend a bit better against the 3 and the mid-range than it's done through three games. We haven't yet seen the truly best out of this team, and it still hasn't had much of an issue winning three games to begin the series.

WHY PHOENIX SUNS WILL COVER THE SPREAD

All the things we just said about Minnesota can be spun into positives for Phoenix. It has done a good job against the 3, limiting the Timberwolves to just 35.5% in this series, and whole it's been burned from mid-range that's simply something you'll accept against a multi-dimensional offense which hasn't been quite clicking on all cylinders on account of your defensive play.

On the flip side, too, the Suns have show the 3 better in this series and have also hit nearly 50% from the long mid-range, which is where you find the impact of Kevin Durant and Devin Booker. Phoenix has also be hosting this Game 4, and it has improved by around a point per 100 possessions in these games -- which is where the onus really lies for this team.

The Suns will cover here if they're able to tap back into their jump-shooting, which got them this far. The Timberwolves have struggled against these shots, saving themselves with some solid play on offense, which not may be sustainable.

FINAL TIMBERWOLVES-SUNS PICK & PREDICTION

I do still feel as though this Timberwolves team hasn't even come close to reaching its ceiling in this series. Even in a rout on Friday, they still allowed 39.3% from 3 and have a ton more to offer on that side of the ball. Minnesota is also commanding the glass by a ridiculous margin, highlighted by a 50-28 edge in the rebounding department in Game 3.

There are too many ways for the Timberwolves to raise their level here, and on the flip side I'm not exactly sure how much better the Suns can play given they've scored the ball relatively well against an elite offense and still haven't really come close to winning a game.

Fade the narrative here that the Suns "must win" and take the better team.

FINAL TIMBERWOLVES-SUNS PICK & PREDICTION: TIMBERWOLVES MONEYLINE (-104)

To keep yourself updated on the newest happenings, be sure to check out our Betting News Section. We've organized all the updates so you can find all you need, in one convenient location.

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