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Western Conference Play-In Tournament Best Bets Today: Maverics vs Kings for April 16

Publish Date: Apr 16, 2025
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli
Key Points
  • Dallas Mavericks Dace Sacramento Kings in SOFI Play-In West
  • Spot for Chance to Earn No. 8 Seed at Stake on Wednesday in NBA
  • Kings Home Favorites in Matchup Between Teams with Losing Records

The SOFI Play-In Tournament continues out west on Wednesday when the Sacramento Kings play host to the Dallas Mavericks.

It's desperation for both teams as the play-in has not mercy for the No. 9 and No. 10 rank clubs. The loser will pack up and go home, its season ended.

(Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)

The winner will advance to play the Memphis Grizzlies for a chance to make the playoffs as a No. 8 seed on Friday

For the Mavericks something has to change: Dallas lost each of its three meetings with Sacramento in the regular season, by an average of 12 points.

The Mavericks (39-43) were listless all season, first without injured star Luke Doncic, and then completely without Luke after the five-time All-NBA guard was dealt to the Los Angeles Lakers.

Anthony Davis is healthy for the Mavericks, which makes this win-or-go-home affair more interesting for the Mavericks as they try to defeat the Kings for the first time since March of 2024.

"The Brow" can take over games with his nearly unstoppable interior scoring and dynamic defense on the other end of the hardwood.

Oddsmakers, like the experts at FanDuel, list the Kings as home favorites. Odds in this article are taken from DraftKings sports betting app.

​​

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Mavericks are road dogs in play-in tournament

Kings -4.5 at -112 from FanDuel

Davis will do his best, but without Kyrie Irving and the departed Dončić, the Mavericks are not a formidable playoff or play-in level team.

It should be a defensive battle, at least for a half, until the Kings roll on to an easy victory.

Wager $112 on the Sacramento Kings, and give up the 4.5 points. If the Kings, led by DeMar DeRozan, win the game, your winning bet will return $100.

Anthony Davis Over 6.5 Points in 1st Quarter vs Kings

Broad shoulders indeed. Davis has them, and he'll shoulder the burden of carrying the Mavs in this must-win game. That's why I suspect AD will score at least 7 points in quarter number one.

If Davis scores over 6.5 points in the first quarter, your winning wager of $132 gets you an additional $100. That's on odds of -132. This is my BEST BET of the night.

Same Game Parlay: Kings vs Mavericks

  • Anthony Davis to Score 25+ Points
  • Zach LaVine 3+ Made Threes
  • Klay Thompson 3+ Made Threes
  • DeMar DeRozan to Score 25+ Points

These four marquee players have a good chance to exceed or meet these betting thresholds. Each "leg" of this parlay is called a "player prop" bet.

If your player meets or exceeds the requirements of that prop bet, you win that leg. Win all four in this special NBA Play-In Game Parlay, and you will cash in on +493 odds.

All American style odds in this format (+493 for example) are based on $100 wagers

Your same-game parlay must be correct on every wager in order to win. The odds for this SAC vs DAL same-game parlay are +493. That means your winnings break down like this:

  • +493 on a $100 bet:  win $493
  • +493 on a $50 bet: win $246.50
  • +493 on a $10 bet: win $49.30
  • +493 on a $5 bet: win $24.65

These are from the experts at FanDuel.

Much has changed: Mavs advanced to NBA Finals a year ago

The Dallas Mavericks made a stunning run to the NBA Finals in 2024, powered by the brilliance of Luka Dončić and a strong supporting cast.

Their offense clicked, their defense held up when it mattered, and for a moment, the franchise looked poised to contend for years to come.

But the NBA changes fast. In the 2024–25 season, the Mavericks shocked the league by trading Dončić to the Los Angeles Lakers for Anthony Davis and others, signaling a dramatic shift in direction for this franchise.

Whether driven by internal friction, long-term planning, or cap considerations, the move closed the chapter on one of the league’s most dynamic duos (Dončić and Kyrie Irving).

It was a reminder that in the NBA, a title window can open wide with the right moves and momentum—but it can close just as quickly due to injuries, egos, or front office decisions.

For Dallas, the future now looks uncertain, even after tasting the league’s biggest stage.

How to Watch SOFI NBA Play-In Tournament

  • Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings, 10 PM EDT: ESPN, ABC, NBA League Pass
  • Winner of this game plays Memphis Grizzlies on Friday, April 18 on ABC, ESPN, time to be determined.

About the SOFI Play-In Tournament

Two games are played Tuesday and Wednesday, one in each conference. The winners of the No. 7 vs No. 8 game earn a place in the NBA Playoffs.

On Tuesday, the Orlando Magic won to grab the No. 7 seed in the eastern conference. In the western conference No. 7 vs No. 8, the Golden State Warriors were victorious.

Tonight, the two No. 9 vs No. 10 seed games are held. The winner advances to face the loser of Tuesday's SOFI Play-In game in each conference. The losing team tonight is done for the season.

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