WNBA MVP Odds: Napheesa Collier Leads 2025 Race Ahead of Alyssa Thomas, A'ja Wilson

We are more than halfway through the WNBA season, and the MVP race is heating up!

(Photo by Jordan Johnson/NBAE via Getty Images)

With the 2025 regular season coming to a close on September 11, Napheesa Collier, Alyssa Thomas, Sabrina Ionescu, Allisha Gray, and A'a Wilson highlight the top 2025 WNBA MVP leaders.

As the season progresses, a majority of sportsbooks have the MVP odds, and Napheesa Collier continues to lead as the front-runner. Looking for her first career award, Collier recently led the Minnesota Lynx to the 2024 Finals against the New York Liberty.

Las Vegas Aces star A'ja Wilson won MVP last year, in addition to 2020 and 2021. While Collier remains the favorite, the gap is narrowing! Caitlin Clark is most likely not a viable option, given she's missed the past 10 games with a groin injury.

Let's take a look at the MVP candidates, including the favorites and longshots!

NAPHESSA COLLIER IS THE MVP FAVORITE

Collier would have won the MVP last season, had Wilson not had a historical MVP campaign. The favorite prior to the season, Collier remains the front-runner. With -380 odds to win the award, Collier continues to remain sidelined with an ankle injury.

Due to miss two weeks with injury, it leaves the door wide open. However, Collier leads a Lynx team, who holds an WNBA best 26-5 record. With that, she leads the league in scoring (23.5 PPG), and has taken her game to new heights.

Averaging career-highs in points (23.5 PPG), assists (3.5 APG), blocks (1.6 BPG), and field goal percentage (53.7 %)—Collier leads the WNBA is several statistical categories. That includes point and efficiency.

It's easy to see why Collier is the frontrunner. Named 2025 WNBA All-Star MVP, her elite footwork makes her unguardable. With the ability to sink fadaway mid range jumpers and score from three-levels, she was only trending upward after the All-Star break.

In fact, in five games post All-Star weekend, Collier recorded three 30+ point games, and is averaging 24.8 points, 7.4 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.8 steals and blocks during that span. Shooting 63 percent from the field, Collier was shooting an impeccable 50 percent from beyond the arc.

Collier is much more than an elite scorer. Her ability to affect both ends of the court is well document, as she was named Defensive Player of the Year last season. At 6 foot 1, Collier is a two-way menace, ranking top five in blocks per game, and sixth in steals per game.

ALYSSA THOMAS EMERGES AS WNBA MVP CANDIDATE

In her first season with the Phoenix Merc19-ury, Alyssa Thomas spent the first 10 years of her career with the Connecticut Sun.

Although hampered by injuries early on in the season, Thomas as emerged as a legitimate MVP threat. Underlooked her entire career, they don't call her the triple-double queen for nothing.

Leading the Mercury to a 19-11 season so far, Thomas is the first player in WNBA history to record THREE consecutive triple-doubles. All doing so without the ability to shoot from long range due to shoulder issues.

Thomas has been in the MVP conversation for years, and is making her case known! Snubbed as an All-Star starter, she recorded those three triple-doubles against the Fever, Sun, and Chicago Sky.

Not to mention, Thomas is a menace on the defensive end, and fills the stat sheet in every which way. Not only is she a crucial leader for the Mercury, her ability to impact the game is so much more than scoring.

Nicknamed "the engine," Thomas is considered of the the toughest players in the WNBA. Plus, she leads the Mercury in rebounds and assists. Performing at this level her entire career—this may be the first-time Thomas earns her first WNBA MVP Award.

Alyssa Thomas MVP Odds Surge

Through 25 games with Phoenix, Thomas is averaging career-highs in points (15.9 PPG), assists (9.2), and field goal percentage (53.3 %). With Clark out with injury, Thomas has taken the lead as the league's assist leader (9.2), and ranks third in rebounds per game behind Angel Reese and A'ja Wilson.

It's truly hard to ignore Thomas's historic season, as she is averaging 17.4 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 8.4 assists in eight games post All-Star break.

Keep an eye out for Alyssa Thomas, who has great odds at +260 to win the MVP. As the gap continues to narrow, it may come down to Collier and Thomas, and possibly Allisha Gray.

WNBA MVP ODDS & HISTORY

Both Napheesa Collier and Alyssa Thomas are searching for the first career WNBA MVP Award. A three-time MVP, both A'ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart have dominated the past few years. However, Thomas finished second in MVP voting in 2023 behind Stewart with 439 total points.

Winning the award unanimously last season, Collier and Thomas were very much in the conversation, ranking second and fifth in MVP voting.

Although Thomas lacks size compared to Wilson and Stewart, she is technically considered a point forward.

There's only been one member of the Phoenix Mercury to win MVP, and that was Diana Taurasi in 2009. In the midst of the 2010's dynasty, Lynx stars Sylvia Fowles and Maya Moore took home the award in 2017 and 2014.

DARK HORSE MVP CANDIDATES

• Allisha Gray, Atlanta Dream
• Sabrina Ionescu, New York Liberty
• A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson joins Lisa Leslie, Lauren Jackson, and Sheryl Swoopes to win three WNBA MCP awards. Can she emerge as the favorite and become the first player in the WNBA history to win four? Although longshots, Wilson and Sabrina Ionescu still stand a slim chance.