WNBA Best Spread Bets For Friday: WNBA Predictions & Odds June 6

If you're betting on the WNBA, welcome! There are two games on the WNBA tonight! With the Commissioner's Cup underway, each team will fight to move up in the standings.

(Photo by Jeff Bottari/NBAE via Getty Images)

If you've never heard of the Commissioners Cup—think of an in-season tournament. With money, charity, point differential, and a trophy on the line, every game matters!

If you missed my last article, I gave out my three best player prop bets for today. Switching gears, I will focus on team spread and totals bets.

Set to air on Ion, the Atlanta Dream and Connecticut Sun will square off once again. Without Paige Bueckers, the Dallas Wings will host the Los Angeles Sparks for the first time this season.

Here are my top predictions and best bets for the Friday, June 6 WNBA matchups. Focusing on spread and totals bets, let's cash out tonight!

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WNBA Best Bets For Friday, June 6

WNBA Spread Bet: Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun

Dream ATS Record: 5-2
Sun ATS Record: 2-5

• Atlanta Dream -9.5 (-130 DraftKings)

My first best bet for today, I placed one unit on the Atlanta Dream to cover the 9.5 favorable point spread against the Connecticut Sun on the road.

Let's face it, the Connecticut Sun suffered the largest margin of defeat in the 100-52 outing against the New York Liberty. Just 1-6 on the season, the Sun are undoubtedly in rebuild mode.

• They have just one lone win on the season, defeating the Indiana Fever, 85-83 on the road. Without Caitlin Clark in the lineup, the Sun managed to cover an 11 point underdog spread.

We've seen glimpses of what this Sun team can be. They have promising rookies in Saniya Rivers, Aneesah Morrow, and Rayah Marshall (who's out for tonight). Struggling to form an identity under new head coach Rachid Meziane, Marina Mabrey and Tina Charles remain strong veteran presences.

Through seven games, the Sun hold the worst point differential in the WNBA (-18.2), and have struggled massively on both sides of the ball.

• Among 13 WNBA teams, Connecticut ranks dead last in offensive (89), and defensive rating (112.8).

The Connecticut Sun Are In Full Rebuild Mode

On top of it, the Sun hold one of the lowest field goal (38.2 %) and 3-point (29.7 %) percentages in the league. It's safe to say the Sun is feeling the wrath of WNBA free agency. During that period, Connecticut lost all five starters—Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner, DiJonai Carrington, Brionna Jones, and Ty Harris.

I can't imagine a world where Connecticut's confidence is super high, although I do expect teams such as the Liberty to cover the spread by a large margin. Routed by New York, the Liberty shot 62 percent from the field. and 59 percent from beyond the arc. With 11 players scoring a bucket for New York, Connecticut had zero answers defensively.

• Offensively, the Sun shot just 31 percent from the floor, and 21 percent from three. Other than Tina Charles and Jacy Sheldon, no other Connecticut player scored in double figures.

Aside from the win against the Indiana Fever, the Sun have lost four of the first seven games of the season by double digits or more. Although conceding to the Lynx, the Sun kept things close within six points or less in both matchups.

• In losses to the Liberty, Wings, Dream, and Aces, the Sun hold a  -119 point differential. Over than span, that's -29.8 point margin of defeat.

Overall, we've seen the Sun cover massive 16 and 11 point spreads against the Lynx and Fever. However, they've continued to trend in the wrong direction. As a team, they have a 2-5 record ATS.

Why The Atlanta Dream Is A Scary Team

This season, we've already seen Dream route the Sun, 79-55. In a low scoring affair, Atlanta covered the 7 point favorable spread, and held a 24 point margin of victory.

• Mind you, Atlanta pulled this off without Brittney Griner and Te-Hina Paopao. Better yet, the Dream had just EIGHT players available.

It wasn't the prettiest game for Atlanta—the Dream were held to 40.8 percent from the field, and 28.6 percent from long range. Dominating on the boards, 52-34, the Dream took advantage in the paint, 38-24.

I'll gladly take the points with Atlanta in a Commissioner's Cup matchup today. Fully healthy, the Dream get back Griner, Paopao, and Jordin Canada.  Without Leila Lacan, Lindsay Allen, and Rayah Marshall— guard Bria Hartley is listed as questionable for the Sun.

• One of my dark horse teams in the WNBA, the Dream are riding a four game win streak and have a 4-1 record over the last five games. With victories over the Storm, Sparks, Sun, and Wings, they hold a +45 point differential.

Led by Allisha Gray, the Dream are 4-0 ATS over the last four games, covering large 7.0 and 7.0 favorable spreads against both Connecticut and Dallas. During the win streak, Atlanta is averaging 86 points per game. Not to mention, they are limiting opponents to 74.8 points per game!

Behind Gray, Brionna Jones, Rhyne Howard, and Brittney Griner, the Dream are 5-2 on the season. With a start starting five, I love their versatility off the bench with Naz Hillmon, Maya Caldwell, Shatori Wallker-Kimbrough, Paopao, and Nia Coffey.

Final WNBA Best Bets & Prediction: Atlanta Dream -9.5 (-130 DraftKings)

• Second in the WNBA in offensive rating (106.9), the defensive could be better (No. 8 defensive rating). However, over their four game win streak, they are third in defensive rating (96.1), and No. 3 in offensive rating (109.1).

Over the streak, Allisha Gray leads the WNBA with 24.5 points per game. With Rhyne Howard and Brionna Jones amongst the top 40 in scoring, this is a dangerous team. Smesko stated the importance of 3-point shooting, and the Dream are third in the WNBA in 3-pointers per game (30.7).

That may just work in their favor against the Sun, who are one of the worst teams among the perimeter. This Dream teams is far superior to the Sun in both the front and backcourt—especially if Griner can log hefty minutes tonight.

• Top to bottom, these teams simply don't compare. I'll take the points and for Atlanta to cover the 9.5 point spread today. 

WNBA Spread Bet: Los Angeles Sparks vs Dallas Wings

• Sparks 1H -0.5 (-112 DraftKings)

My second best bet for Friday, I placed one unit on the Los Angeles Sparks to cover the first half -0.5 spread tonight against the Dallas Wings.

Aforementioned, the Wings will once again be without rookie and former UConn standout Paige Bueckers (concussion protocol).

With a 1-7 record on the season, it doesn't get much worse for Dallas. Although they attempted to come back against the Seattle Storm last game, they've dropped three straight. That includes back-to-back losses against Angel Reese and the Chicago Sky.

• Holding a -4.4 point differential, this is a team that's faced tough opponents early on in the season. That includes the Lynx (twice), Dream, and Storm.

Even so, the Wings struggled greatly on defensive, shooting just 35 percent from the field, and 25 percent from three. Without Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale shot just 4-15, and DiJonai Carrington—9-21.

Dallas hasn't been terrible, averaging 42.1 first half points this season. In the first half, they surprisingly rank No. 4 in offensive rating. However, the defensive side of things is where it gets ugly.

• Through the first half, Dallas ranks No. 12 in defensive rating and a -4.7 net rating.

Similarly, the Sparks have been a top five offensive team in the first half of games this season. Just 2-6 on the season, the Sparks have a solid core with Dearica Hamby, Azura Stevens, and Kelsey Plum. With injuries to Cam Brink, Rae Burrell, and Rickea Jackson, we've never seen this team at full strength.

• Jackson will return to tonight, which provides an instant books for the Sparks. Although they couldn't come up with a lead, we saw the Sparks hold a 50-37 halftime lead against the Mercury.

Although the Sparks covered halftime spreads against the Mercury, Sky, and Valkyries, they've lost the first half spread more often than not. However, this is a far superior team in my eyes top to bottom. Especially given the Wings are without Bueckers.

Final WNBA Best Bets & Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 1H -0.5 (-112 DraftKings)

LA may be riding a three game skid, however, they've kept each game between the Mercury and Dream within six points. Overall, the Sparks are a middle of the road offensively (No. 7 offensive rating), yet struggle on the defensive end (No. 10 defensive rating).

At one point, the Sparks were +1.5 full spread UNDERDOGS.  Although I'm not making excuses for a lack of defense, LA far surpasses the Wings in field goal (42.6 %), and 3-point percentage (34.6 %). Where I think they will thrive is the pick and roll game, along with getting to the free-throw line.

I'll take the Sparks, given Dearica Hamby (17.6 PPG), and Kelsey Plum (22.9 PPG) have been the most consistent. With Dallas, the offense often looks unorganized and unpredictable. The same goes for the defensive side of things.

• I'll take the Los Angeles Sparks to cover the -0.5 first half spread tonight on the road.  Plus, they are coming off four days of rest. 

WNBA Totals Bet: Los Angeles Sparks vs Dallas Wings

Sparks O/U Record: 4-3
Wings O/U Record: 3-4

• Los Angeles Sparks vs Dallas Wings OVER 173.5 points (-110 FanDuel)

My third best bet for Friday, I placed one unit on the Sparks vs Wings matchup to total OVER 173.5 points.

Both teams haven't been at full strength, rank among the bottom of the WNBA standings. Both having revamped rosters in the offseason, Lynne Roberts and Chris Koclanes are challenged with steering a new ship. With a new coach, comes new players, and so forth.

There's not doubt both teams lack defensively. Respectfully, the Sparks rank No. 10 in defensive rating, and the Wings—No. 11. We are taking about two teams that allow opponents to score 84.3 points and above.

• Soaring over in three of the last four games, the Sparks are allowing 86 points over that span. Last month, the Aces erupted for 96 points, and the Dream with 88 points.

As for the Wings, they've shown signs of life offensively without Paige Bueckers, except for last game. Breaking 90+ points in three of the last four outings, they've allowed opponents to score over 92 points per game over that span.

Final WNBA Best Bets & Prediction: Sparks vs Wings OVER 173.5 Points (-110 FanDuel)

I expect plenty of scoring, considering the weakness on defense among both squads. Plus, the Wings own the second best pace record in the WNBA. Overall, the Wings have soared over points in three of their last four outings.

Offensively, the Wings are top five in points per game (84), and the Sparks put up 81.5 PPG. Based off the defensive trajectory of both teams, this number is a bit high. However, Both teams have enough pace and offensive firepower to soar over.

• I'll take the Sparks and the Wings to total over 173.5 points tonight.