WNBA Best Bets (July 22): Liberty vs. Sky, Aces vs. Mystics Odds & Predictions

It's the final day before WNBA All-Star Weekend, and the Phoenix Mercury visited the Los Angeles Sparks and Minnesota Lynx stopped in to see the Seattle Storm for Kids Day games early.

Let's focus on the late games that will close out the first half of the 2026 campaign. Tipping off the late card will be the New York Liberty hosting the Chicago Sky, an interesting clash, considering the trajectories of both teams. The Liberty have struggled defensively of late, while Chicago has improved its offense since the return of a future WNBA Hall of Famer. There's certainly value in this 7 p.m. Eastern tip-off that can be seen on League Pass.

(Photo by Candice Ward/Getty Images)

The defending champion Las Vegas Aces head to the nation's capital to play the Washington Mystics. Both teams are in after victories on Monday, as the Aces smashed the Tempo in Toronto and the Mystics shocked the Golden State Valkyries in San Francisco. The game is set to begin at 7:30 p.m. ET and can also be found on League Pass.

Opening the USA doubleheader at 8 p.m. ET will be the Connecticut Sun and Indiana Fever. The Sun roll into Indianapolis riding a 7-2 ATS win streak after splitting a pair in Phoenix, going 1-1 both SU and ATS against the Mercury. The Fever have won six of eight, including wins in their last two, putting up 109.0 points per win, including a 108-88 victory over the Liberty on Saturday.

Finally, in the second half of the nationally televised doubleheader, the Dallas Wings are in Portland to play the Fire in a rematch at 10 p.m. ET tip from the Moda Center. The Fire won the first meeting in this same venue on June 13, when the expansion squad eked out an 84-83 victory. Dallas will not only be in revenge mode, but will be looking to bounce back after having its six-game win streak snapped by the Liberty in Brooklyn on Monday. The Fire have alternated losses and wins the last seven games.

WNBA Best Bets For July 22

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Let's take a look at Wednesday's odds, via FanDuel:

Chicago Sky at New York Liberty

• Spread: Chicago +7.5 (-104) | New York -7.5 (-118)
• Moneyline: Chicago (+235) | New York (-300)
• Total: O/U 178.5 (-110/-110)

The Liberty snapped a four-game skid by sneaking by the Wings on Monday with a 99-98 win in Dallas. It was a much-needed win, and now the struggling Liberty return to Brooklyn before getting some time off for All-Star festivities.

Chicago has been better since opening the season 4-12, having split its last 10 games. But the Sky are 4-10 away from Chicago, including losses in nine of their last 10 road games by an average final of 92.9 to 83.7 — an average margin of 9.2 per game.

• My Best Bet Prediction: New York -7.5 (-118)

Despite its downward spiral, the Liberty can lean on history in this clash, as they've won seven of eight against the Sky, and covered five of those games. True, the Sky have covered three in a row against New York, but two of those games were in Chicago, and all three held double-digit spreads. With the Sky arriving after a disappointing loss in Atlanta on Sunday, the Liberty are catching them in a vulnerable spot. Lay the points.

Las Vegas Aces at Washington Mystics

• Spread: Las Vegas -6.5 (-105) | Washington +6.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Las Vegas (-250) | Washington (+198)
• Total: O/U 164.5 (-108/-112)

The Aces enjoyed eight days of rest before playing in Toronto on Monday, and their swagger was apparent in a 26-point road win over the Tempo. Despite showing futility on defense throughout this season, the defending champs are still one of the top teams in the league, at 18-7, and come in riding a 4-0 win streak away from Las Vegas. In those four wins, they've outscored their guests by an average margin of 13.0 points per win.

The Mystics have undoubtedly been one of the most fun teams to watch this season. The youngest roster in the league at 24 years, 46 days old, coach Sydney Johnson has a dangerous team on his hands. The problem for them tonight is stamina. In a five-day span, the Mystics traveled to the West Coast, split physically challenging games in San Francisco against the Valkyries, and returned home. Now they're back to play the champs, who have been on the East Coast and had all that time off to rest and heal up.

• My Best Bet Prediction: Las Vegas -6.5 (-105)

The Aces haven't forgotten how ugly things got last season, when they opened the campaign 14-14 and had to climb their way back to relevancy. The last thing they'll want to do is head into the break off a disappointing loss, so in winning six of the last eight meetings, and covering the last two, the Aces will get a balanced effort from a healthy bunch for an easy win and cover.

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Connecticut Sun at Indiana Fever

• Spread: Connecticut +10.5 (-115) | Indiana -10.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Connecticut (+370) | Indiana (-520)
• Total: O/U 178.5 (-105/-115)

The Fever went from averaging 88.2 points per game during their 6-5 start to the season to scoring a league-best 99.0 points since, spanning a 10-5 run that has them in the thick of the playoff race. In that same stretch, they're also leading the league with their .494 shooting percentage while they're the only team hitting better than 40 percent from 3-point range.

Kudos to the Sun; they've won five of nine since June 22, turning back an ugly 2-15 start to 2026. Through June 19, the Sun were allowing 89.8 points per game on the league's second-worst .475 shooting. But during its 5-4 spurt, Connecticut is allowing the league's third-lowest 78.0 points per game on just .424 shooting, also third-lowest.

• My Best Bet Prediction: Indiana -10.5 (-105)

As good as Connecticut has been, this is a tough ask, coming into Indianapolis for its third straight road game after back-to-back contests in Phoenix, the second seeing them score just 63 in a nine-point loss. And as good as the Sun have been, they've still lost seven of nine. The Fever have landed in triple digits in two straight and three of their last four and eight of their last 15 games. The Fever offense will be cooking in their fourth straight home game.

Dallas Wings at Portland Fire

• Spread: Dallas -5.5 (-112) | Portland +5.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Dallas (-235) | Portland (+186)
• Total: O/U 175.5 (-115/-105)

The Wings can't be happy after their overtime loss to the Liberty in Dallas on Monday, especially since they were riding a six-game win streak. Though it was a commendable effort without Paige Bueckers, who was injured in the previous game, it was a game they led by nine after three quarters and probably should have won.

The Fire just played four road games in Atlanta, Connecticut, D.C. and Minneapolis, and have to close out the first half against an angry Dallas team that is hoping to finish the season with a top-four seed. Portland opened the season 6-4, and appeared to be a potential contender, but the fact remains this team has had its issues while losing 11 of its last 16 since June 5.

• My Best Bet Prediction: Dallas -5.5 (-112)

The Wings have been one of the most efficient teams offensively since late May, after a troubled 3-3 start to the campaign. Over their 14-6 win streak, they've scored 90.5 points per game while shooting the league's fourth-highest .465 clip from the floor. During the same span, the Wings rank second with 35.2 rebounds per game and also with 21.9 assists per game. Neither is good news for the Fire, who are the W's second-lowest 31.2 rebounds per game since June 2. They also have the third-worst defensive rating (111.7) in that same stretch.

W.G. Ramirez is a veteran sports writer from Las Vegas and a Senior Staff Analyst at Ballislife Bets. Follow him on X at @WillieGRamirez.