WNBA Best Bets Today: 3 Best Player Props & Odds for May 29

It's Friday, and there's a fully loaded WNBA slate. In this article, I will include my best bets, player prop picks, and plays for May 29.

(Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)

We are fresh off an exhilarating Thursday night of matchups, where the Dallas Wings defeated the Las Vegas Aces, thanks to Jessica Shepard's historic triple-double. In the Golden State, the Valkyries handled Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever.

Today, we have four matchups to bet on. The Phoenix Mercury (2-6, 1-3 away) will once again face the New York Liberty (4-4, 2-3) at Barclays Center. Just two days ago, a shorthanded Liberty team trounced the Mercury 84-74 and will host them for the second consecutive game. While New York is 1-3 in its last four games,  Phoenix can't find any rhythm. Led by Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper, Phoenix has dropped four straight games and is well under .500 on the season.

Friday, the Liberty are 2.5-point favorites and -245 on the moneyline.

Next, the red-hot Los Angeles Sparks (3-3, 2-0 away) will face the Washington Mystics (3-3, 0-1) in Washington D.C. Although fresh off a two-game win streak, the Sparks will be without Kelsey Plum for one week due to an ankle sprain sustained in practice. With both teams set to match up for the first time this WNBA season, the Mystics have lost two of their last three games. With a 0-1 record at home, Washington is a 2.5-point favorite and -142 on the moneyline tonight.

The Friday WNBA Slate is Loaded With Four Games

Set to take place in the Windy City, the Chicago Sky (3-4, 0-3 home) will host the Minnesota Lynx (5-2, 3-0) as they search for their first home victory. Four returning players? No problem. Even with Napheesa Collier out with injury, the Lynx have sailed to a 5-2 record and have won three straight. Conversely, the Sky have lost three straight games as they've been plagued by injuries.

The Lynx are 4.5-point favorites and -192 on the moneyline.

Last, Angel Reese and the Atlanta Dream (4-2, 2-1) get the Portland Fire (5-3, 3-2 home). Today will mark the first matchup between the two teams, as Portland is the WNBA's newest expansion franchise. Perhaps the most delightful surprise of the season, the Fire are above .500 and have won three straight games. 2-1 on the road, the Dream looks to bounce back from a 96-81 loss against the Lynx.

The Fire have covered the spread all season, but oddsmakers don't expect this to be a close one. Today, the Dream are favored by 8.5 points and -420 on the moneyline.

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WNBA Betting Odds And Schedule For Friday, May 29 (FanDuel)

If you're betting on the WNBA games today, welcome!

The Mercury vs. Liberty, Sparks vs. Mystics, and Lynx vs. Sky matchups all tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The late-night clash between the Dream and Fire will begin at 10 p.m. ET. All games will air on the ION Network/WNBA League Pass.

If you're tailing my bets, I've placed all of my picks in FanDuel, Fanatics, and DraftKings Sportsbook.

WNBA Best Bets & Player Props For Friday, May 29

• Jonquel Jones OVER 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-115 Fanatics)
• Chicago Sky UNDER 84.5 Points (-118 FanDuel)
• Natasha Howard OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-131 DraftKings)

Mercury vs. Liberty Best Bets

Player Prop Bet: Jonquel Jones Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds

As my first best bet for today, I placed one unit on Jonquel Jones to record over 20.5 points and rebounds against the Mercury.

I placed this bet prior to Satou Sabally rejoining the lineup, but here's why you should lock in this prop ...

There's no question that Jones has had trouble with personal fouls at times this season. She fared well in the last matchup with 17 points and 12 rebounds, but struggled while shooting 5-of-16 (31.3%) from the field, 3-of-7 (42.9%) from deep, and 4-of-4 (100%) from the free-throw line.

The Liberty will face the Mercury once again, and Jones led the team in shot attempts (16) while Leonie Fiebich worked her way into the lineup.

Marine Johannés was such a force that she was drawing the double, so Jones was wide open on the 3-point line. In such fashion, Jones happened to record 1,000 career rebounds with the franchise that game.

Why Jonquel Jones Can Soar Over This Player Prop Line

It wasn't an easy scoring night for Jones, but we really saw her erupt for 10 points during New York's massive 23-0 third-quarter run. From a rebound perspective, Jones grabbed an easy 12, and three of those came on offense alone.

It's been a rough start for Phoenix, and rebounding isn't its strongest suit. Natasha Mack has found her groove with a defensive presence, but the frontcourt size and depth to challenge Jones drops off. Not only does the Mercury rank No. 10 in rebound rate (49.5%), but they also allow the fifth-most opponent rebounds per game (33.9).

We are talking about a Mercury team that gives up 11.0 rebounds to Centers per game. Jones ended up with 12. This season, Dearica Hamby (15) and Angel Reese (10) dominated on the boards.

From a points perspective, we've seen the offense flow through Jones, who shot over Mack from deep, along with Kyara Linskens. Naturally, she has the size advantage and can stretch the floor.

Do I expect Jones to go 5-of-16 again? No. Sabally and Fiebich are back, but it's unclear who will start and how head coach Chris DeMarco will integrate them into the blueprint. What I do know is that Jones gets a Phoenix team that allows 17 points and 11 rebounds to centers.

Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Jonquel Jones OVER 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-115 Fanatics).

Overall, her usage rate is solid (22.2%), and her true shooting rate is 55.5%. Her field goal percentage isn't the most efficient (41.3%), and the 3-point shot hasn't come as easily (32.3%). However, her minutes are solid (28.9), and Jones boasts a 22.2% usage rate. We are talking about a 6'6" stretch big, who's averaging 13.1 points on 10 shot attempts per game and 8.4 rebounds per game.

• I'm taking Jonquel Jones to record over 20.5 points and rebounds today. 36% of her shots come from the restricted area, where she's shooting 60%. 34% of her shots come from above-the-break 3, an area where opponents are shooting 39% against the Mercury. I like the matchup and size advantage tonight. 

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Lynx vs. Sky Best Bets

Total Bet: Chicago Sky UNDER 84.5 Points

The Minnesota Lynx and Chicago Sky will meet today for the third time this season. Both teams know each other well, and at this point, the Lynx are one of the most surprising teams. At 5-2, only four players returned from last season, but the Lynx boast the second-best defensive rating (101.2) in the WNBA.

This is why I'm locking in the Sky to score under 84.5 points tonight. Azurà Stevens returned to the lineup, but this team has been plagued by injuries. Courtney Vandersloot and DiJonai Carrington are rehabbing from injuries, and now Rickea Jackson is out for the season.

Now, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud (illness) are questionable, and Gabriela Jaquez will miss her second straight game.

The Sky have managed to stay afloat, but haven't been the most dominant team on offense. They rank No. 11 in offensive rating (105.2), averaging just 86.3 points per game. Although not at full strength, this team posts the lowest 3-point clip of any team in the WNBA (26.3%) and averages six threes per game.

This is a team that thrives on fast-break points (11.7) and trips to the free-throw line. No team gets more free-throw attempts per game than the Sky (27).

Although Chicago is 4-3 in over/unders, they face a Minnesota team that means business on the defensive end. Behind Olivia Miles, Courtney Williams, Kayla McBride, and Natasha Howard, teams are scoring just 82.1 points per game against them this season.

Only one team has scored over 90 points this season, and Minnesota has limited the Dream, Sky, and Tempo to an average of 76 points over the last three games.

It's not every day that you see the Dream score just 14 first-quarter points and Rhyne Howard shoot just 4-14 from the field.

Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Chicago Sky UNDER 84.5 Points (-118 FanDuel)

Given that the Lynx are 4.5-point favorites, the books aren't expecting a blowout. However, the Sky are averaging 80.5 points per game against Minnesota this season. Failing to score over 90 points, Chicago's shooting percentages have been dreadful against the Lynx. In two outings, they are shooting just 37.9% from the field and 24.5% from beyond the arc.

• I'm taking the Chicago Sky to score under 84.5 points tonight. They are missing several key players, and several are questionable to lace up. Minnesota has been one of the best teams on the perimeter and anchored inside by Natasha Howard. A team defined by defense, Minnesota is an absolute pest. While Sydney Taylor has shown her value for Chicago, the Sky had minimal offense outside of Cardoso and Diggins in their last matchup. This line seems steep for a banged-up team that's about to face an elite defense, again. Against top defenses, Chicago is averaging just 76.6 points per game.

Player Prop Bet: Natasha Howard OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds

I'm riding with Natasha Howard until the wheels fall off. She's reunited with the Lynx, and it's honestly been the perfect fit. A two-way force, Howard has been elite in the absence of Napheesa Collier.

Through 7 games, Howard is putting up 17.7 points, her best numbers since the 2024 season. In addition, she's averaging a career-best 8.3 rebounds per game, along with 4.0 assists.

The Lynx also remain without Dorka Juhasz and lost Emma Cechova for the season. While the team recently announced the signing of Teaira McCowan, that shouldn't affect Howard's prop tonight. Here's why.

Howard is the Lynx's leading scorer and rebounder, which is something I did not see coming. She's been consistent this season, and the word here is efficient. Howard doesn't lead the team in field goal attempts (11.7), but is shooting an improbable 67.1% from the field. Her numbers are stellar, even with a mere 48.3% free-throw rate.

Game after game, we've seen Howard dominate teams.  Not only has she scored 22+ points alone in 3 of 7 games, but she's combined for 48 points over the last two matchups against the Dream and Sky. Mind you, that's against prominent bigs in Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso.

Speaking of Cardoso, Howard was feasting in their last matchup, scoring 26 points, while shooting 11-of-15 from the field. Adding 14 rebounds, it's safe to say that Howard got the better of that matchup despite the size disadvantage. Just days before, Howard erupted for 17 points and 9 rebounds against Chicago on May 17.

Chicago hasn't seemed to have an answer for Howard, even with Elizabeth Williams and Kamilla Cardoso. Today, Cardoso is questionable to play and has looked tired during stretches this season. As efficient as she's been, her minutes have slowly decreased, with a season low of 22 minutes against the Tempo on Wednesday.

I locked in this line early and expect it to rise. Howard has tallied a combined 70 points and rebounds against the Sky over two matchups. She again gets a friendly matchup against a Sky team that gives up 18.9 points and 11.9 rebounds to centers.

In case you missed it, Tempo Center Nyara Sabally went on a tear, tallying 35 points and rebounds, along with a career-high 29 points against the Sky. I've truly never seen her expand her range that much, and she took advantage of the non-Cardoso minutes.

Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Natasha Howard OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-131 DraftKings)

It's hard to fade Howard, who boasts a 27.3% usage rate under head coach Cheryl Reeve and is averaging 14.9 of her 17.7 points in the paint. Chicago not only allows over 37 paint points per game, but also allows opponents to shoot 62% inside, where 70% of Howard's points come from.

• If Cardoso is out, I like Howard's rebounds even more, as she's tallied 22 in two games against Chicago. Unless this is a blowout, I don't see how Howard doesn't hit this line. She's averaging 29.2 points and rebounds per game, which is way over this line. Minnesota is one of the most efficient teams in transition, and expect Howard to hold down her two-way interior presence. 

Other Bets I Like: Washington Mystics -2 (-120 Fanatics)