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WNBA Playoffs Best Bets Today: 2 of The Best WNBA Picks Today September 24

Publish Date: 09/24/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The WNBA playoffs are here, and the stage is set! Eight teams are locked in the playoffs, with only one crowned winner. Sunday was an unforgettable first day of matchups. With several near upsets, will an underdog advance?

Let's quickly break down the matchups with two games on today's slate. It's important to note, when betting on the WNBA, the first round of the playoffs is a best-of-three series.

 (Photo by Catalina Fragoso/NBAE via Getty Images)

Up 1-0, the number one seed, New York Liberty (32-8, 16-4 home), dominated the Atlanta Dream ( 15-25, 7-13 away) 83-69 at home. In true Liberty fashion, head coach Sandy Brondello made things interesting for bettors.

  1. By tabbing rookie Leonie Fiebich into the starting lineup, the German native replaced veteran guard Courtney Vandersloot in the starting five.
  2. Ultimately, that turned into a fantastic decision, considering Fiebich finished with a career-high 21 points on 7-8 field goal shooting.
  3. Finishing a perfect 4/4 from the three-point line, it was the story of Fiebich and New York's stifling defense.

Entering game 2 as +12.5 point favorites, can the Dream cover?

After all, Dream head coach Tanisha Wright pulled her starters from the entire fourth quarter.

The second matchup between the Seattle Storm (25-15, 11-9 away) and the Las Vegas Aces  (27-13, 13-7 home) was one for the books! Pulling out a 78-67 victory over Seattle, it was the Aces defense that came up clutch.

If you're betting on this WNBA game, I'll elaborate more my picks and predictions for this series! Heavy 9 point favorites, the Aces once again get the Storm for game 2 at home.

WNBA Odds Are Current As of September 23 at 1 P.M. ET

If you're in search of the best WNBA playoff bets, you've come to the right place! Here at Ballislife, I give my best analysis and predictions for the WNBA playoff games. With a betting record of 164-136, I am up nearly five units on the year.

Searching for the best odds in all legal sports books, I've placed all of my WNBA bets within FanDuel. Stick around for my best two picks and predictions for today!

  • In this article, I've provided the best WNBA playoff spread and totals bets for Tuesday, September 24.

For the WNBA matchups, the Dream will tip-off at 7:30 p.m. ET at the Barclays Center. If you're interested in some late night action, the Storm and Aces will begin at 9:30 p.m. ET. Looking to bet today? Each matchup will air on ESPN.

Are you looking to bet on the WNBA? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here. 

WNBA Best Bets For Tuesday, September 24

WNBA Spread Bet: Seattle Storm +9 (-108 FanDuel)

Seattle Storm 2024 WNBA Record:  25-15, 11-9 away

Game one was certainly a thriller between the Storm and the Aces! Entering the game as 9.5 point favorites, the Aces walked away with the victory, thanks for a colossal fourth quarter.  Able to cover the spread, they are again heavy 9 point favorites for today.

  • One of my favorite bets of the day, I'm betting on the Storm to cover the spread against the Aces.

A classic four and five seed matchup, the Storm got off to a blazing start, commanding an 11 point lead over the Aces.

  1. Shortly after receiving the WNBA MVP award, A'ja Wilson was unrecognizable the first half of this game.
  2. Hitting just 1-8 field goal attempts, it was the Skylar Diggins-Smith show early on.
  3. Successful in driving to the basket, it was the Storm who outscored the Aces 18-9.

With 12 lead changes, it was truly a battle between both squads. With Nneka Ogqumike leading the Storm was 13 points at the half, it was Chelsea Gray and Tiffany Hayes would combined for 22 points by the end of the second quarter. Winning the rebounding battle by more than half, it was Seattle who held A'ja Wilson to just four first half points.

The energy shifted for the Aces into the third quarter, and well into the fourth. Once A'ja Wilson gets going, it's truly hard to stop that caliber of player, especially the MVP of the WNBA. Limiting the Storm to just two fourth quarter points, the Aces defense limited them to 0-12 from the field.

With playoff Chelsea back, it was the Gray and Hayes show that sealed the victory. With Kelsey Plum struggling with scoring and personal fouls, it was Hayes that stepped up for Becky Hammon.

Why the Storm Can Cover The Spread

As we get deeper into playoff matchups, I do expect the margins to narrow, especially with a four and five seeded matchup. Yes, the Aces undeniably earned that first victory by 11 points.  However, we can't forget the Storm completely collapsed after carrying a one point 65-54 leading into the fourth quarter.

Sure, the reigning champions are aiming for their first ever three-peat. With increasing chemistry, this is a team that's been in this position before.

The June signing of Tiffany Hayes out of retirement has proven to be the most crucial and important for the franchise.  Let's face it, this team has looked lopsided at times, inconsistent in their guard play and injury to Chelsea Gray.

While they have the most talented team on paper, there's been some question marks, especially when it comes to Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young.

Overall, I'm taking this team any day of the week. However, it's hard to predict who's going to have an off night, especially since the Aces have shown some inconsistencies. Aside from A'ja Wilson, who's played through a historic MVP season, it's next player up for the Aces. Although Hammon doesn't have the strongest bench, the addition of Hayes, again, has been lifesaving.

  • As we inch closer into the playoffs, you'll see the rotations shrink, meaning the starting players usually take on hefty minutes.
  • With little room for error, I don't see game 2 as a huge gap margin between these two teams.

On paper, yes, the Aces are one of the most feared and dangerous. However, the Storm have key pieces in Nneka Ogwumike, Syklar Diggins-Smith, and Jewell Loyd who is coming off an injury. Not to mention, the recent signing of Gabby Williams, who poured in 14 points in game 1.

On the downside, the Storm have been without Ezi Magbegor, who's been in concussion protocol. Losing a huge piece on the defensive end can be tough, however, the Storm have the players and the strength to keep up with the Aces, we saw that in game one.

Final WNBA betting prediction: Seattle Storm +9 (-108 FanDuel)

5-5 ATS as underdogs, the Storm get the Aces, who are 21-19 against the spread as favorites. While stats are dandy, everything resets in the playoffs. Although, if we're looking at stats, the Aces were 4-1 against the spread against Seattle this year.

  • With an season average of -5.5 point differential over Seattle in four meetings, I'm heavily pushing the Storm to cover today.

I'm not quite sure if the Storm will come away with the victory, but they won't give up without putting down a fight.

  1. Head Coach Noelle Quinn has been in this situation, and I expect Seattle to score more than 2 fourth quarter points.
  2. Not hitting a single shot in 12 field goal attempts, that is certainly a rarity in basketball.
  3. Given they were held to such few points, and the Aces won by 11, I'll gladly lay the points with the Storm tonight.
  4. Seattle finished the third quarter, shooting 8-18 (44.4 %), and 2-4 (50 % from the field).

Similar to game one, I expect to be a nail biter, all the way down to the end.

WNBA Totals Bet: Atlanta Dream Vs New York Liberty Under 156.5 Points (-112 FanDuel)

Dream vs Liberty 2024 regular season over/under record: 1-4

Tonight, I'm betting on the Atlanta Dream and the New York Liberty to score under 156.5 points today. While the total was 156.5 for game 1, the Liberty and Dream soared under that total at 152 points. While the over has hit just once in four regular season meetings, I'm expecting this to be a low scoring affair between the two teams.

If you're betting on the WNBA, the Liberty defense was absolutely suffocating. The top defensive team in the league, New York surely did not disappoint bettors on Sunday. Is it slightly concerning since the Dream starters didn't see a lick of the fourth quarter?

  • Yes. However, this is a Liberty team that held the Dream to just 39.7 % from the field, and 3-16 (18.8 %) from downtown.

While I do expect this game to play out slightly different, I'm expecting Atlanta to keep this game in control at arms length. While Wright has some stars in Tina Charles, Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard, and Jordan Canada, their offensive is quite perplexing.

Although Canada missed nearly half the season, this is a Dream team who ranked dead last in the WNBA in offensive rating. Putting up a league low 77 points, the task won't get any easier in game 2.

Why Betting The  Under Can Cash Out

A large reason why Atlanta lacks offense is their less than average percent from the three-point line (30.8 %). Dead last in the WNBA with a 40.8 field goal percentage, the lack of offense is concerning at times. Aside from Tina Charles, Rhyne Howard was the only other player to put up points in double figures (14).

  • Absent in the first half, if was the second half surge that propelled Howard to 14 points.

Overall, the Dream have two of the best defensive guards in Jordin Canada and Rhyne Howard. That alone should give the Liberty some trouble. The Liberty were truly unstoppable in that first half, with Fiebich and Sabrina Ionescu combining for 29 points.

  • In fact, New York shot well over 50 percent from the field and downtown, which was steady throughout the game.

While I do expect those percentages to come back to Earth, it was Atlanta that shot 0-8 from three, and 36.4 percent through the second half. Although the starters were resting for the entire fourth quarter, it was the bench that somewhat provided a spark. However, for a team that struggles to hit their deep shots, they are never going to tally the over hitting just a few three-pointers all game.

Final WNBA betting prediction: Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty under 156.5 points (-112 FanDuel)

I purposely veered away from the spread, although I am anticipated a close matchup. I also vision the Liberty defense locked in, a unit that held Atlanta to 72.3 points per game in the regular season. Given the Dream outscored the Liberty in the 38-28 in the paint, the under will surely hit if this happens again. With Fiebich now in the starting lineup, the Liberty guards won't give them any grace.

Expect the Dream to struggle on the offensive end, especially without Ariel Powers and Cheyenne Parker-Tyus.

  • Allowing Atlanta to score a season high 78 points against them last week, both teams averaged 153 points scored in four regular season matchups.

While the Liberty bench didn't produce much offensively, Atlanta faces an elite squad who excels in limiting the opposition on the defensive rebounds and second chance points.

Can the Dream light it up against a Liberty team who ranks among the top in several categories, including opponent field goal and three-point percentage? This bet should soar under 156.5 points today.

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