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WNBA Best Bets Today: 3 of The Best WNBA Picks Today September 15

Publish Date: 09/15/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe
Key Points
  • Los Angeles Sparks are 2-1 ATS vs Seattle
  • There are 6 games on the WNBA slate for September 15

The WNBA season is officially coming to a close, and there are six games on the WNBA slate. With some important games ahead, let's look at the matchups and the best bets for Sunday, September 15!

 (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

With the magic number at one, the New York Liberty (31-6, 16-2) can clinch the number one seed against the Minnesota Lynx (28-9, 12-6 away). With the Lynx trailing the Liberty for the top spot by three games, they find themselves as +4.5 point spread underdogs on the road. 2-1 against spread against New York, can they pull off the offset at the Barclays?

  • In a battle for the eighth and final WNBA playoff spot, the Washington Mystics (13-24, 4-13 home) will host the Atlanta Dream (12-25, 5-13 away).

One of the most important matchups of the week, the Mystics are tabbed as -1.5 spread favorites at home. With a gutsy 72-69 victory over Atlanta on Friday, it was Brittney Sykes who led the Mystics as +4 point underdogs. Just one game out from the playoffs, can the Dream move into the final spot?

With the series split 1-1, the Dallas Wings (9-29, 2-16) will continue their season of misery following seven straight losses.

  • Today they get the Indiana Fever (19-19, 11-8 home), who are appointed as -8.5 point favorites. Officially out of playoff contention, the Wings enter this matchup as heavy +8 point underdogs.

Kicked out of the 8th seed, the injury riddled Chicago Sky (13-24, 6-13 home) will host The Phoenix Mercury at home.

  • With Kahleah Coppper listed as a game time decision, the Mercury are a slim -1.5 point favorites for this matchup.

There Are Several Key WNBA Matchups Tonight

Four games ahead of the Mystics for the seventh seed, it's safe to say Phoenix has clinched a playoff berth. Up 2-0 on the season, can Phoenix win the -115 money line straight up?

  • A rematch of the 2022 WNBA finals, there is a highly awaited matchup between the Connecticut Sun (27-10, 14-5 away) and the Las Vegas Aces (24-13, 11-7 home).

Sneaking away with the 72-67 last matchup against Connecticut, bettors are looking at the Aces as -4.5 point spread favorites at home. Three games ahead of the Aces for the second seed, the Sun look to avoid a series sweep. After an intense, physical and defensive last matchup, I expect no less from both of these teams.

  • For the night game, the Seattle Storm (23-14, 13-5 home) enter the matchup as massive -450 money line favorites against the Los Angeles Sparks (7-30, 2-16 away).

If you're betting on this game, it's important to note Jewell Loyd and Ezi Magbegor will not suit up for the outing. While that could massively persuade bettors to wager on the Sparks, this is still a crucial game for Seattle.

WNBA Odds Are Current As of September 14 at 10 P.M. ET

If you're looking to cash out on the WNBA, you've come to the right place! With a WNBA betting record of 150-123 on the year, I've formulated by best spread bets, along with player prop predictions for today.

Compiling the current odds from all legal sportsbooks, I've placed all my bets within FanDuel sportsbook. Placing 1 unit on each, I'm exciting to share my favorite bets and picks for Sunday.

Are you looking to bet on the WNBA? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here. 

WNBA Best Bets For Sunday, September 15

WNBA Player Prop Bet #1: Rickea Jackson

Rickea Jackson Season Stats

PPG: 13.2 | FG: 46.5 % | FT: 79.2 % | 3PT %: 35.5 | REB: 3.8 | AST: 1.5 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.7

  • Over 15.5 points (-118 FanDuel)

My first WNBA prop bet is Sparks forward Rickea Jackson to score over 15.5 points against the Seattle Storm. Although this prop is slightly inflated, Jackson's prop bet line is well over her season average of 13.2 points.

In the Sparks and Storm's fourth and final matchup of the WNBA season, Jackson continues to be a dominant force for the Sparks, although they continuously fallen short. Although Odyssey Sims is probable for tonight's matchup, the Sparks continue to have a slew of injuries.

  • Emerging as the top scoring option as of late for the Sparks, Jackson has performed well over 15.5 points in four straight games.

I love his WNBA player prop for several reasons tonight. Yes, the Storm are a solid defensive team, limiting opponents to under 80s per game. Although defensive isn't Jewell Loyd's strongest suite, the absence of her and Ezi Magbegor will certainly help her case.

Why Rickea Jackson Can Hit The Over

With inconsistent shot volume in the beginning of the year, it's clear Sparks head coach Curt Miller trusts Jackson.

  • The Sparks scoring leader for several consecutive games, Jackson continues to remain in the rookie of the year conversation. Third in scoring among all rookies, don't sleep on Jackson. She's truly a three-level scorer with a ton of upside.

When you break down her performances against the Storm this year, she's hit over this prop line in two of three games. Aside from scoring only three points back in June, Jackson tallied 16 and 22 points over the last two meetings.

When I placed my bet on this prop, I was very impressed with her matchup with the Storm last week. Whether it was a tough midrange jumper, or shot from downtown, Jackson was getting second chance buckets. Not only that, we saw Jackson fighting in the paint for boards over Magbegor.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Rickea Jackson O 15.5 points (FanDuel)

At 6'2 Jackson's shown her strength and resilience when getting to the paint, and her ability to utilize screens. Stellar in back door reads against Seattle, Jackson should have a much easier matchup, especially since Seattle is thin at the frontcourt. If Storm head coach Noelle Quinns opts to stat Mercedes Russell, that could be an advantage for Jackson, especially speed wise.

If you're betting on the WNBA, we've overall seen her scoring points trend upward, which makes over 15.5 points a solid bet for tonight.

  • Averaging 19.5 points over the last four games, not only are we seeing the increase in production, but steady shot volume.

Although Jackson's shot percentages are slightly down, the Sparks is currently averaging 16 points through September. With the most field goal attempts since July (14),

Overall, I'm very encouraged by Jackson's 22 point performance this week, which she shot over 50 percent from the floor and downtown against Seattle.

  • Playing over 33.6 minutes through this month, this prop has a hit rate of over 50 percent. Given she had 14 paint points alone in their last matchup, expect another solid matchup tonight.

 

WNBA Player Prop Bet #1: Gabby Williams

Gabby Williams Season Stats

PPG: 8.7 | FG: 47.1 % | FT: 75 % | 3PT %: 23.8 | REB: 3.6 | AST: 3.3 | STL: 1.4| BLK: 0.3

  • Over 9.5 points (-130 FanDuel)

If you're reading this article, Im leaning heavy on the Sparks and Storm game for player prop bets tonight.

  • My second prop bet tonight, I've placed 1 unit on Storm forward Gabby Williams to score over 9.5 points against the Sparks.

Back with her third stint with Seattle, the Storm signed Williams after her brilliant, yet dominating performances for France in the Olympics. Although it was her foot that stepped on the line, Williams was a step away from beating team USA in the gold medal game.

Primarily known as a defensive juggernaut, Williams is well versed on the offensive side. Having averaged 15.5 points in the Olympics, the former EuroLeague MVP brings a ton of versatility to the Storm.

  • I especially love her matchup tonight, especially since the Sparks are one of the worst defensive teams in the league.

Earlier in the season, Williams return to the WNBA was looking highly unlikely. However, now in nine games with the Storm, she's had an immediate on the team. Pressed into the starting lineup in eight of those, Williams average of 8.7 points per game is slightly below the prop line.

  • With Jewell Loyd and Ezi Magbegor out of the lineup, the Storm will be missing a good chunk of their offense, in fact 40 percent for that matter.

With an WNBA worse -8.1 point differential, there's no better timing for Williams to step up. And luckily for Williams, she's already been battle tested against the Sparks just four days ago.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Gabby Williams O 9.5 points (-130 FanDuel)

Matching her season high of 17 points, Williams finished the night shooting 6-10 from the field, and 3-5 from deep. Racking up 34 points on the court, the former UConn Husky was an absolute headache on the defensive end.

Truly one of the most underrated players in the WNBA, she was all over the court against the Sparks. Ready in the corner, or pulling up a mid range fadaway, she blew past Dearica Hamby and Azura Stevens on several occasions.

Initially I almost took Williams assist prop, however, there's a clear scoring opportunity. Although the flow of offense may not be the same, Williams can create her own shot and score in ways she knows how. With Skylar Diggins-Smith playing the way she has been, I expect the Sparks to trap her the best they can. If that's the case, the floor is wide open for Williams.

Overall, if you're betting on the WNBA, this is an exciting player prop! Coming off 10 points, Williams made the best of her opportunities, shooting 5-8 from the floor. The Storm forward has already proven she can score well over 9.5 points against the Sparks, let's cash on it yet again.

 

WNBA Spread Bet: Los Angeles Sparks

  • Sparks +2.5 1Q spread (-106 FanDuel)

My final best bet of the day is the Los Angeles Sparks to cover the +2.5 first quarter spread against the Seattle Storm. +8.5 point spread underdogs, it's truly a toss up who will cover, especially with the amount of injuries. For -106, I love the value of this spread bet, especially at nearly plus money.

  • 17-19-1 ATS this year, the Sparks have won the first quarter outright in three of the last four matchups.
  • Averaging 20.1 points in the first quarter, they now face a Storm team that nearly averages the same amount of points scored.

With the fourth best first quarter three-point percentage in the WNBA (37 %), the Sparks have won seven first quarters this year. Although that's a season low in the WNBA, it's clear the Spark's are a much competitive team in the front half of games.

Overall, the Sparks have a significant drop off in offensive production, especially in the second and fourth quarters.

  • With a 1-1-1 first quarter record against the Storm, the Sparks came within the +2.5 point margin in all but one game.
  • Winning the quarter by an +8 point differential on Wednesday, it was Rickea Jackson that led the way with seven first quarter points.

Final WNBA Spread Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks +2.5 1Q (-106 FanDuel)

The key will be for the Sparks to take advantage of the injuries and get Jackson and Hamby going early. Overall, they've covered the +2.5 first quarter spread in two of three games against the Storm.

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