WNBA Best Bets Today: 4 Best WNBA Player Prop Bets for September 6

It's Friday, September 6, and there are four games on the WNBA slate to bet on. In a rematch of the 2022 WNBA Finals, the Connecticut Sun (24-9, 13-4 home) will host the Las Vegas Aces (21-12, 10-5 away).

Coming in as -2.5 point favorites on the road, the Aces are winners of three games straight up after a tumultuous last ten games.  The Sun are underdogs for the first time since August 24, and are fresh off a 74-61 home loss against the Seattle Storm.

 (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)

Tied with the Chicago Sky for the 8th and final playoff seed, the Atlanta Dream (11-11, 6-10 home) will face the Dallas Wings (9-24, 2-14 away) at home. Both 4-6 in their last 10 matchups, the Dream are appointed as -2.5 point favorites for tonight's outing. With just one victory in six games, Atlanta gets Dallas, who's dropped two games straight up against the Mystics and Fever.

1. In a highly anticipated matchup, the Minnesota Lynx (24-9, 9-6 away) will play the blazing Indiana Fever (18-16, 10-5 home) on the road.
2. For the first time since 2019, Caitlin Clark and company have found themselves above .500, and they have solidified a playoff spot.
3. Despite a five-game win streak, the Fever are +2.5 point spread underdogs against the Lynx tonight.

For the late game matchup, Angel Reese and the Struggling Chicago Sky (11-22, 4-12 home) get the matchup at home against the Los Angeles Sparks (7-26, 2-15 away). The return of Chennedy Carter should provide the Sky a much needed boost, who've dropped 7 straight games.

In this article, you will find my best player prop bets, along with my best WNBA predictions and odds for Friday, September 6. Let's break them down.

WNBA ODDS ARE CURRENT AS OF SEPTEMBER 6 AT 8 A.M. ET

All WNBA games are set to tip off at 7:30 p.m. and 9:30 p.m. ET. If you're betting on the WNBA tonight, the matchups always air on the Ion Network Friday nights, along with WNBA League Pass.

I've gathered all player prop and betting odds from all legal sportsbooks to formulate my best picks and predictions for tonight. It's important to note, I've placed all bets within FanDuel Sportsbook, and placed bets on spreads and player props that have the best value odds wise.

Are you in search of further sports betting promotions? We have compiled a list of the best sports betting offers here. 

WNBA Best Bets For Friday, September 6

WNBA Player Prop Bet #1: Marina Mabrey

Marina Mabrey Season Stats

PPG: 14 | FG: 40.0 % | FT: 73.2 % | 3PT %: 36.6 | REB: 4.5 | AST: 2.4 | STL: 1.2 | BLK: 0.3

• O 12.5 Points (+102 FanDuel)

One of my favorite props of the night, I've bet on Connecticut Sun Guard Marina Mabrey to score over 12.5 points against the Las Vegas Aces tonight.

1. Averaging 14 points on the season, I can't believe this player prop is available at + money (+102).
2. With the line set well below her season average, I do believe it should be higher.
3. However, I'm more than happy to sprinkle a unit on a play that has exceptional value.

If you're betting on the WNBA tonight, Mabrey has scored over 12.5 points in four of the last five games against the Liberty, Storm and Mystics. Short of her prop line, Mabrey finished with just two points on Tuesday against the Storm.

Although she finished with a rare two points, the Sun guard found herself with four personal fouls, limiting her to 14 minutes played. Therefore, I'm ignoring this stat based off her recent trends and performances.

If you didn't know, Mabrey was traded from the Chicago Sky, where she was a bonafide starter, to the Connecticut Sun. Yes, head coach Stephanie White is experimenting with the starting lineup. As the Sun prepare for the playoffs, Mabrey has come off the bench for several games now.

• Although not anticipated as a starter for tonight's game, Mabrey has been more than effective coming off the bench.
• Although a non starter for a total of six games on the season, the Sun guard is averaging 15.5 points in 24.6 minutes.
• Averaging two points more when not in the starting five, Mabrey is shooting an efficient 47.2 percent from downtown, compared to 34.4 percent as a starter.

In fact, her three-point attempts remain constant, lingering around six per game, and has a stellar 50 field goal percentage.

Overall, I'm not terribly worried about Mabrey's production alongside several stars, including Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner, and Brionna Jones, just to name a few. This team is loaded with talent, however, Mabrey is the consistent sharpshooter and scorer this team badly needed.

• Putting up an average of 11.7 shot attempts over the last nine games, this is a prop i'll take, especially a player who's shooting well over 36 percent from the three-point line.

Although yet to face the Aces as the member of the Sun, Mabrey was extremely effective against them as part of the Sky.

• In two games against Vegas, she's averaged 18 points in 35.9 minutes of game play.
• Futhermore, she's shot an average of 37.5 percent from downtown, on 8.0 three-point attempts per game.
• And even on the road, this prop soared well over 12.5 points.

If you're interesting in WNBA betting, Marina Mabrey hit well over this prop in 7/10 games, and averaging 15.5 points over the last six games.  Although the Aces seem to be getting back in their groove, defense certainly hasn't been their strong suit.

Allowing opponents to score 82.4 points per game, they allow opponents to shoot over 36 percent from the three-point line. With serious issues with defending the perimeter, I'm even more confident in this prop tonight.

Overall, this Vegas team allowed Allisha Gray, Kahleah Copper, and Arike Ogunbowale to all score over 12.5 points.

Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Marina Mabrey O 12.5 Points (+102 FanDuel)

Mabrey is a gritty player who's not afraid to put up shots in big moments. I expect this game to be close tonight, and for her to provide a spark for coach White off the bench for + money.

WNBA Player Prop Bet #2: A'ja Wilson

A'ja Wilson Season Stats

PPG: 27.5 | FG: 52.6 % | FT: 85.9 % | 3PT %: 33.9 | REB: 12.1| AST: 2.4 | STL: 1.9 | BLK: 2.7

• O 39.5 Points + Rebounds (-114 FanDuel)

One prop I've failed to fade is A'ja Wilson points, which hit the over in my last article. The clear cut MVP of the 2024 WNBA season, I'm taking the Aces start to record over 39.5 points and rebounds against the Sun tonight.

With decent -114 odds on FanDuel, I feel there's value in this prop, and it's not terribly juiced.

This line is set at 39.5, which is low in my opinion, considering Wilson's recent production. Clearing the line in four straight games, the former Gamecock has an average of 48 points and rebounds against the Wings, Dream, Mercury and Sky. More than eight points over tonights line, yes she's cooked up against subpar teams.

• However, Wilson has been dominant all season long no matter who she faces, and that includes Connecticut.
• Overall, this prop line is pretty fair, considering Wilson averages 27.5 points and 12.1 rebounds on the season.

While this prop didn't clear in one matchup last year against the Sun, this year has been a different storyline. If you don't know, Connecticut remains a defensive menace of a team, although that hasn't stopped Wilson from producing from a betting perspective.

• In the lone game against Connecticut at home, Wilson put up an impressive 26 points and 16 rebounds, which totaled 42 points and rebounds.
• Averaging a double-double on the season, Wilson's been a rebounding machine, tallying 12 defensive boards against the Sun alone.

Normally, I would fade points and rebounds, especially since the Sun rank 1st in the WNBA in opponent rebounds and points. However, Wilson's proven time and time again, she's in a league of her own. Truly one of one, she's destroying opponents, especially on the betting side.

1. If you're worried about Wilson's production on the road, she's hit over this player prop total in 6/8 road games, and is averaging more efficient numbers away from the Aces home court.
2. In fact in 15 games, the former MVP is putting up 29.7 points and 12.6 rebounds per game.
3. Combined, that's an average of 42.3 points and rebounds on the road.

That in itself should speak volumes on this prop.

While Wilson's points and rebounds line has varied from game to game, she's cleared over points and rebounds in five straight games. Averaging a total of 40.9 over the last ten games, yes she does have a tough matchup with the Sun, especially on the interior.

Much stronger than DeWanna Bonner, Wilson will battle against Brionna Jones, who's a big body in the paint.

Final WNBA Betting Prediction: A'ja Wilson O 39.5 Points and Rebounds (-114 FanDuel)

Overall, I expect nothing less from A'ja Wilson, who's been extremely helpful in building my bankroll. One of the most reliable players on the betting and performance side, she's taken her game to new heights this season. With the dominance she's had, expect her to crush this prop tonight.

WNBA Player Prop Bet #3: Kelsey Mitchell

Kelsey Mitchell Season Stats

PPG: 19 | FG: 46.4 % | FT: 83.8 % | 3PT %: 39.1 | REB: 2.6 | AST: 1.9 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 0.2

• O 20.5 Points (+100 FanDuel)

Another prop I love for tonight is Fever guard Kelsey Mitchell to score over 20.5 points against the Minnesota Lynx. One of the most underrated guards in the WNBA, Mitchell has been a consistent producer on the offensive end for bettors.

Although she was just shy of her points total last game against the Sparks, Mitchell finished a rare 8-18 from the field. Just 2-7 from downtown, I expect her to produce tonight, and overcome those shooting woes.

Mentioned in previous articles, Mitchell has always been a consistent scorer for the Fever in her seven year career. Set to test out free agency, she's proven everything she's worth and then some.

• At this point, she's averaging her most field goal attempts (15.0) since the the 2021 season.
• Even alongside Caitlin Clark, Mitchell is averaging a career high 46.4 percent from the floor, and an efficient 39.1 percent from downtown.

In addition to a career-high 19 points per game, she has a 84.4 percentage of field goals made assisted, which is in large thanks to Caitlin Clark and her facilitating capabilities.

If you're placing bets on the WNBA, Kelsey Mitchell is a straight up bucket, who's hit over the 20.5 point prop line in 7/8 games. She's been especially efficient post All-Star break, averaging 25.9 points per game, which well clears the line at 20.5 points tonight.

• If we talk about value, this is another gem of a prop I found at + money (+100) on FanDuel.

Yes the Lynx are not only a scary team, but a pest on the defensive end. Clearing 21 points in each of her matchups against Minnesota on the season, she's averaged over 46 percent from the field.

I do want to point out that Mitchell's cleared this line against the Lynx only hitting 26.3 percent of her shots from downtown. A season 39.1 percent three-point shooter, she's draining three's from a 50 % clip post All-Star break.

Depending on the matchup, Mitchell may have a tough one against Courtney Williams. However, if Williams switches onto Clark, she'll get some breathing room. Hitting over 20.5 points in seven of the last ten games, I expect her to bounce back tonight. Fresh off a five game win streak, no one is hotter than Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever.

Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Kelsey Mitchell O 20.5 points (+100 FanDuel)

At plus money, I know this line is slightly higher than Mitchell's season average of 19 points per game. However, under head coach Christie Sides, Mitchell and Clark are establishing themselves as one of the most lethal backcourts in the WNBA.

It's extremely hard to avoid her recent production, averaging well over 8.0 three-point attempts post All-Star and Olympic break. Given the Lynx have a strong front court, expect Mitchell to put up the points tonight.

WNBA Spread Bet: Minnesota Lynx

• -3 (-112 FanDuel)

Several bettors are looking forward to tonight's matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and the Indiana Fever. Winners of five straight games, Indiana gets another shot at home, where they have a 10-5 record.

• The hottest team in the WNBA, the Fever are +3 underdogs tonight against the Lynx.

Both excellent against the spread, the Lynx hold a 21-12-1 record, while the Fever have a 20-14 record. With some reverse line movement, I do believe the Lynx are the better team here, despite the Fever's recent 5-0 record and playoff push.

1. Overall, the Lynx are one of the most talented teams under head coach Cheryl Reeve, and possess a 11-5 ATS record on the road.
2. Although the series and spread is split 1-1 this season, the Lynx defeated the Fever 90-80 on August 24, and won the -5 point spread.

In this meeting, their defense held Indiana to an abysmal 24 percent from downtown, and 43 percent from the field.

• In fact, Napheesa Collier led the way with 31 points, and the Lynx had five players with points in double figures.

Although the Lynx lost two large spreads against the Wings and Sky, they have a 6-3-1 spread record over the last 10 matchups, and are 12-10 ATS as team as the team favorite.

3-2 against the spread over the last 5 outings, I'll gladly back the Lynx with the points here, and take the more efficient team on the defensive end. Allowing opponents to score 76.1 points on the season, the Lynx once again get a Fever team, who's not as stellar defensively.

Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Minnesota Lynx -3 (-112 FanDuel)

I do believe tonight will be a close game, however, I think the Lynx spread is too low, and will end the Fevers five game win streak overall. It's nothing against Indiana, but Minnesota is a serious contender for the WNBA Championship.