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WNBA best bets, odds and predictions for Wednesday June 19

Publish Date: 06/19/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

It's Wednesday, and three games are on the WNBA slate tonight. Looking for their fourth consecutive home victory, the Indiana Fever (5-10, 3-4 home) will host the Washington Mystics (2-12, 1-7 away).

The red-hot Minnesota Lynx (11-3, 7-1 home) will aim to capture their fifth straight victory against the Atlanta Dream (6-6, 3-2 away) at home. For the late-night matchup, the Seattle Storm (9-4, 5-4 away) will face the Las Vegas Aces (6-6, 3-4) on the road.

 (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images)

The WNBA is not terribly top-heavy this season, which makes betting slightly more enjoyable. With several free agency signings among various teams in the offseason, there's a dispersal of talent. While the New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces topped the headlines last season, this year has multiple headliners, including the rookie class.

Speaking of the Aces, can they tie the series with the Seattle Storm, or will they fall below .500 since the 2018 season? Regarding the rookie class, Caitlin Clark torched the Mystics for 30 points back on June 7, can she repeat her 30 piece again?

ODDS ARE CURRENT AS OF JUNE 19  AT 9 A.M. ET.

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If you're inclined to bet on some WNBA action tonight, tip-off between the Fever and the Mystics begins at 7:00 p.m. ET. All three games will air on NBA TV/WNBA League Pass.

I've collected the best odds from a multitude of legal sportsbooks. In anticipation of tonight's matchup, I've compiled all the statistics, analytics, and odds to provide my top player prop and straight bet predictions.

It's worth to note, all of my bets for the WNBA have been placed at FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks. In this article, I will include a list of WNBA Player Prop bets, along with favorable spread bets.

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WASHINGTON MYSTICS VS. INDIANA FEVER FAN DUEL ODDS FOR JUNE 19

MONEY LINE

  • WASHINGTON MYSTICS: +150
  • INDIANA FEVER: -224

SPREAD

  • WASHINGTON MYSTICS: +5 (-110)
  • INDIANA FEVER: -5 (-110)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

  • OVER: 166.5 (-110)
  • UNDER: 166.5 (-110)

BEST ODDS FOR WASHINGTON MYSTICS VS. INDIANA FEVER

  • FanDuel  currently has the best Fever money line odds at -225

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  • The Indiana Fever are 5 point favorites against the Washington Mystics. Caesars currently has the best odds currently at -110
  • The Washington Mystics  are the underdogs by 5 points to cover the spread tonight. Caesars currently has the best odds at -110 for Washington to cover the spread
  • Caesars currently has the best odds for the total, which is set at -110 for the over (166), and for the under at -110 (166)
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 WASHINGTON MYSTICS VS. INDIANA FEVER INJURY REPORT

WASHINGTON MYSTICS INJURY REPORT

  • G,Brittney Sykes, OUT: Left Ankle Sprain
  • C, Shakira Austin, OUT: Hip

INDIANA FEVER  INJURY REPORT

  • F, Damiris Dantas, OUT
  • C, Temi Fagbenle, OUT: Foot

2024 HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS: MYSTICS VS. FEVER

Season Matchups:

  • Game 1: June 7: Indiana 85, Washington 83 (Washington +3.5, Over 161)
  • O/U last 10 matchups: 3-7
  • Fever/Mystics are 5-5 even ATS over the last ten matchups.

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SPREAD BET: INDIANA FEVER -2.5 1H

  • -2.5 (-110 DraftKings)

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I happened to grab this line early, and I was pleasantly surprised when I saw the spread at that value. I do expect the Indiana Fever first half spread to go up by more than 2.5 points.

  • In their first and only matchup with the Mystics, the Fever defeated Washington 85-83 on the road.

Now with home court advantage, Indiana will look for their third straight victory. This time, they will face the Mystics, who are 2-12 on the season. If you're looking to bet on the WNBA, I feel that this bet is a steal.

At first, I was inclined to take the over at 168 points. However, I do feel that number is slightly elevated, and expect the total to fall just below that number.

The first half spread winner in four of the last five against Washington, Indiana has another chance to cover that again tonight. With a 7-8 record against the spread on the season, the Fever once again have favorable odds.

Two of the lowest performing teams, both have a combined four wins within the the past week. Are we finally seeing the chemistry within the Mystics and Fever come to fruition?

THE FEVER ARE LOOKING FOR THEIR THIRD STRAIGHT VICTORY

Overall, the Fever are 4-3 against the spread at home this season, and 2-2 as spread favorites. In their first matchup on the road, Indiana got off to a blistering 28-14 first quarter lead, which resulted in a 2 point lead at the half.

Yes, the Mystics are 6/8 first half losers, and the Fever 6/7 first half spread losses over the past 7-8 games. However, the Fever are scorching, putting up 91 back-to-back points on the Chicago Sky and the Atlanta Dream.

Averaging 84.7 points over the last their last three matchups, the Fever haven gotten considerable offensive help outside of Caitlin Clark. Named Eastern Conference Player of the Week, Aliyah Boston has been monumental on both ends of the floor, putting up an average of 23 points and 13.5 points over the last two games.

  • Limited to just 10 points and 6 rebounds against Washington, look for Boston to continue her roll tonight.

Tonight, the Mystics will be without star guard Brittney Sykes, who suffered another set bet with a left foot sprain.

  • Additionally, Shakira Austin will remain out for tonight's matchup, which will make their front court even thinner.

Combining for over 22 points per game, that will be tough to replace for Washington.

THE INDIANA FEVER ARE 4-3 AGAINST THE SPREAD AT HOME

Overall, I don't expect Indiana to blow out Washington tonight. However, despite riding a two game win streak, the Mystics have the second worst net rating in the league, ahead of the Fever.

  • The worst offensive rating in the WNBA, the Mystics struggle to put points up on the board with 75.9 points per game.

Additionally, Washington has the worst free-throw percentage of any team (76.5 %), including the rebounding category. Although Indiana doesn't rank much higher, they have health on their side.

While Julie Vanloo has impressed in her first season in the WNBA, I do have concerns how well this squad can matchup with Indiana. I expect Ariel Atkins to carry a majority of the workload tonight, along with Aaliyah Edwards.

I like this spread for one reason, and one reason only. Forget all of the stats. Nalyssa Smith, Aliyah Boston, Kelsey Mitchell, Kristy Wallace, and Caitlin Clark are nothing to sniff at.

These athletes are hoopers, and it truly comes down to the outside noise and chemistry. With Erica Wheeler and Katie Lou Samuelson coming off the bench, I do think the talent level is much higher on this Fever squad.

  • Although the Fever have one of the worst defenses in the league, I'm betting on them to cover the 2.5 first half spread.

Up by four points at the half against Chicago, Indiana found themselves with a 15 point cushion over Atlanta.

  • Averaging 39.4 points over the first half this season, the Fever are ranked no. 8 in offensive efficiency, compared to the Mystics, who rank last.

 WASHINGTON MYSTICS VS. INDIANA FEVER BETTING PREDICTION: FEVER -2.5 1H SPREAD -110 DRAFTKINGS

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WNBA PLAYER PROP BET #1: AALIYAH EDWARDS

AALIYAH EDWARDS SEASON STATS

PPG: 9.1  | FG: 52.1 % | FT: 65.1 % | REB: 6.4 | AST: 1.1 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 1.1

  • 8+ Rebounds (-138 FanDuel)

No, I'm not being a UConn homer, I love Aaliyah Edwards in this matchup tonight, and bet on her to grab 8+ rebounds against the Fever. The battle of two mid teams, Edwards has been a bright spot for this team, especially as a rookie.

  • Averaging 6.4 rebounds on the WNBA season, the rookie is coming off 16 point and nine rebound, and three block performance in Friday's matchup against the Chicago Sky.
  • Getting more comfortable in the flow of things, Edwards put up a career-high 23 points and 14 points just a few weeks ago against Chicago.

If you're betting on the WNBA tonight, I love this prop, although it is slightly juiced.

  • Having already put up a double double (10 points, 12 rebounds) in her first matchup against Indiana, the Fever allow the fifth most boards in the WNBA with 35.5 per game.
  • Similar to the Mystics, the Fever are in the basement when it comes to the rebound battle (32.3 RPG).

Without Temi Fagbenle and Shakira Austin on the floor tonight, Edwards should see plenty of rebounding opportunities.

AALIYAH EDWARDS GRABBED 12 REBOUNDS AGAINST THE FEVER

Yes, head coach Eric Thebault runs a double big lineup with veteran Stefanie Dolson and Edwards. However, Edwards far cleared over eight rebounds in four of her last six games.

A 63 percent hit rate without Austin in the lineup, Edwards will have a battle with both Nalyssa Smith and Aliyah Boston down in the paint. Although road games aren't her strong suit when it comes to rebounding, the UConn alum had a total of three offensive boards, and nine rebounds in her first matchup with Indiana.

  • Although the Mystics are the worst rebounding team in the WNBA, they surprisingly rank 5th in least rebounds allowed per game (34.6).

Getting the starting nod in place of Austin, Edwards has put up impressive numbers over the past 6-7 games. Averaging 9.6 rebounds in her place, I'm confident in her rebound totals tonight.

  • With increasing minutes, Edwards is logging 30.5 minutes over the last five games.
  • With hefty minutes, this prop has a 80 % hit rate when she plays 30 minutes or more.

If you're betting on the WNBA tonight, I placed one unit on this prop bet with -138 odds on FanDuel.

WNBA Player Prop Bet #2: AALIYAH EDWARDS 8+ REBOUNDS -138 FANDUEL

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WNBA Player Prop Bet #2 : ALANNA SMITH

ALANNA SMITH SEASON STATS

PPG: 12.4 | FG: 51.6 %| 3PT: 43.6 % | FT: 79.5 % | REB: 4.9 | AST: 3.2 | STL: 1.7 | BLK: 1.9

  • 6+ Rebounds (+148 FanDuel)

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When it comes to picking WNBA player prop bets, I try my best to find bets I'm either confident in, or have great value. Alanna Smith 6+ rebounds has great value at + money, and it's a prop I simply can't ignore tonight.

In fact, I expect the line to move shortly, and consider +148 odds on FanDuel a complete steal.

  • A perfect fit in her first season with the Minnesota Lynx, yes, this prop line is way over her season average of 4.9 rebounds.
  • However, Smith is coming off two colossal games, with 9.0 and 7.0 rebounds against the Dallas Wings and the Los Angeles Sparks.

Mind you, the Dallas Wings are the third most efficient team on the boards, and that's without Natasha Howard. So for her to put up those numbers against Dallas, is quite impressive.

THE WNBA PLAYER PROP VALUE IS TOO GOOD AT +148 TO PASS UP

Sitting at 11-3 on the season, the Lynx aren't the most efficient team on the rebounds, averaging a fourth-worst 33.7 boards per game. 6-6 on the season, the Dream grab 34 boards per game, allow the fourth most rebounds per game with 35.6.

Although Smith grabbed four rebounds in one matchup against Atlanta, she's grabbed at least six rebounds in five of the last matchups against the Dream.

In fact, if Bridget Carlton is unable to suit up, this may very well work in her favor. With increasing points in the paint, I can't help but notice Smith's increase in minutes on the floor.

Coming of 38 minutes of playing time against Dallas, the Lynx forward is averaging 29.6 over the last five games.

For the value, I'll sprinkle half a unit on it. It's definitely a prop to look out for tonight, especially for a team that will be without Aerial Powers. Since Atlanta has switched up their starting lineup, I like the value for this tonight.

WNBA PLAYER PROP BET #3: CAITLIN CLARK

CAITLIN CLARK SEASON STATS

PPG: 16.1  | FG: 38.3% | 3PT % 32.8 % | FT: 90.6 % | REB: 5.1 | AST: 6.2  | STL: 1.3 | BLK: 1.0

  • O 17.5 Points (-128 FanDuel)

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There's no question Caitlin Clark's player prop odds were slightly inflated or "juiced" at the beginning of the WNBA season. While I like her prop tonight, I do want to point out, I cover the WNBA as a whole, and aim to shed light on all players and their prop values on the season.

  • Leading all rookies with 16.1 points per game, there's no question Clark has had a rocky first season, which is expected.
  • What we do know, is that Clark is able to cook up terrible defenses, in which she's dropped a 30 bomb on both the Mystics and Sparks this season.

I don't believe 17.5 points at -128 odds is overly inflated, and I do like the value tonight. Although it was unclear when Fever head coach Christie Sides benched her starters last week, the Fever are starting to click.

  • Coming off back-t0-back 35 and 37 minutes, Clark put up 23 points, on 7-11 field goal attempts against the Sky.

CAITLIN CLARK PUT UP 30 POINTS VS. THE MYSTICS LAST GAME

What I do know, is that the Fever had a brutal stretch of intensive games in a short time span to start off the season. Perhaps with three days rest, it will give Clark and the rest of the Fever players to catch their breath a bit.

Although Clark's shot volume has decreased significantly since May, the guard is still averaging 11 shot attempts per game over the month of June.

Given the Mystics aren't the best perimeter defending team, they allow opponents to shoot over 33 percent from beyond the arc. And without Brittney Sykes tonight, I expect that number to increase.

Another reason why I like this prop is Clark's willingness and aggressiveness to get to the charity stripe. Over a 90 percent free-throw shooter, Clark is coming off a six free-throw attempt night against the Sky.

  • Combine that with the Mystics, who allow the most free-throw attempts per game (22).
  • Given Washington allows 23.1 three-point attempts per game, look for Clark to light it up once again against the Mystics.
  • Averaging 35.5 minutes played over the last two matchups, Clark has a 70 percent hit rate when playing a high volume of minutes.

WNBA Player Prop Bet #3: CAITLIN CLARK O 17.5 POINTS -138 FANDUEL

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