WNBA Best Bets For Today: Lynx vs Aces Picks & Predictions (August 2)

It's Saturday, and there's one game on the WNBA slate today!

(Photo by Ian Maule/Getty Images)

Featuring two of the best players in the world, Napheesa Collier and A'ja Wilson, the Las Vegas Aces (14-13, 7-4 home) get the Minnesota Lynx (23-5, 8-4 away) tonight.

4.5-point spread favorites, the Lynx hold the WNBA's best record at 23-5, and have suffered just one loss since July 12. Led by head coach Cheryl Reeve, this is a Lynx team that's one season removed from the WNBA Finals. As the season gears towards the back half, the Lynx have their sights set on winning a championship.

The Lynx bounced back from a 90-86 loss against the Dream to defeat the reigning champion New York Liberty 100-93. Now they get an Aces team, led by A'ja Wilson, who've won two consecutive games. With victories over the Sparks and Wings, will Aces head coach Becky Hammon continue to roll with the starting five?

After all, the Aces swapped Kelsey Plum for Jewell Loyd last offseason, and now Loyd has opted to come off the bench for the Las Vegas. Against the Lynx, there's a possibility Hammon may slide Kierstan Bell into the starting lineup.

Both teams are stacked with talent. While the Collier is the engine to the Lynx, Kayla McBride, Alanna Smith, and the Stud Budz (Courtney Williams and Natisha Hiedeman) highlight this team. Aside from Wilson, the Aces have a core four in Wilson, Chelsea Gray, Jackie Young, and Jewell Loyd.

Before we head into my picks and predictions for today's matchup, can the Aces match the Lynx energy at home? They are 0-5 against Minnesota in their last five meetings.

WNBA: Lynx vs Aces BetMGM Betting Odds And Schedule For Saturday, August 2

If you're looking to bet on the WNBA, including the Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces matchup today, welcome! Set to air on prime time national television (ABC / ESPN+), the showdown will begin at 3 p.m. ET, at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

It's a new month, however, I finished out July with a 86-47 WNBA Betting record. Up more than 10 units, let's carry that energy into August! Over the past week alone, I am up nearly four units betting on the WNBA!

If you are tailing my bets today, I placed all three within FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsbook. Keeping my bank roll management at the forefront, each pick has been placed as a separate bet, no parlays.

Here are my three best bets, picks, and predictions, for the Saturday, August 2 WNBA matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and Las Vegas Aces. My bets feature the spread, along with veteran and star player prop picks.

Are you looking to bet on WNBA player props all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here. 

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WNBA Best Bets: Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces  BetMGM Betting Odds For August 2

MONEYLINE

• MINNESOTA LYNX: -200
• LAS VEGAS ACES: +165

SPREAD

• MINNESOTA LYNX: -4.5 (-120)
• LAS VEGAS ACES: +4.5 (+100)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

• OVER: 166.5 (-120)
• UNDER 166.5 (+100)

2025 Regular Season H2H Matchups: Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces

• June 25, 2025: Lynx 109, Aces 78 (Minnesota -9.5, over 163.5 points)
• June 17, 2024: Lynx 76, Aces 72 (Minnesota -13, under 161 points)

Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

LYNX

1. Karlie Samuelson, G: OUT

ACES

1. Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, F: OUT

*Odds are courtesy of BetMGM*

WNBA Best Bets For Lynx vs Aces (August 2)

• Minnesota Lynx -4.5 (-110 FanDuel)
• Kayla McBride OVER 2.5 Made Threes (+130 DraftKings)
• Napheesa Collier OVER 22.5 Points (-120 DraftKings)
• A'ja Wilson OVER 22.5 Points (-114 FanDuel)

Spread Bet: Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces

Lynx ATS Record: 16-12-1
Aces ATS Record: 11-16

• Lynx -4.5 (-110 FanDuel)

My first best bet for today, I placed one unit on the Minnesota Lynx to cover the favorable 4.5-point spread on the road vs the Las Vegas Aces.

2-0 against the Aces on the season, this is a Lynx team that last defeated the Aces 109-78 on July 25. Not only that, the Lynx covered the large 9.5 point spread. Fueled by a 34-point quarter, the starters were benched, and it was Jackie Young that led the starting five with 27 minutes. Leading the way with 15 points, It was A'ja Wilson who was left on her own island for Las Vegas.

A brutal shooting performance, the Aces shot just 38 percent from the field, and 30.8 percent from three.

Truly, was there any chance of stopping a Lynx team, who scored 109 points? Shooting 54.4 percent from the field, and 40 percent from deep, Collier led the way with 25 points, and five players scored in double-figures.

The line originally opened at Lynx -5.5, and the books are expecting a fairly close matchup at 4.5. And sure, the Aces are coming off two straight wins. But let's face it, it's the Wings and the Sparks. Routed by the Lynx twice this season, the Aces hold a -45 point differential in two losses against Minnesota.

A Matchup To Watch: A'ja Wilson vs Napheesa Collier

Big deal, the Lynx lost to the Dream last week. This is a team that's well polished, and let's face it—they didn't make many off season moves. 16-12-1 ATS this season, not only do the Lynx lead the WNBA in offensive (109.1) and defensive rating (95.9), they are the in a league of their own. With a 13. 2 net rating, it really shows just how dominant the Lynx are on both sides of the ball.

Compare that to an Aces team, who ranks No. 9 in defensive rating (102.6), and No. 7 in offensive rating (102). While they've improved very much so on both sides of the ball over the last five games, the Aces are simply too inconsistent for me. With a new starting lineup, they are facing a Lynx team who's mainly kept the same starting lineup since their championship run last year.

Overall, this team has momentum after defeating the reigning champs, and although they are on the road, the Lynx are 4-1 against the spread over the last five games. We can discount the first game, it was a low scoring affair in which the Lynx held on, 76-62. Without A'ja Wilson, the offense was pretty much abysmal.

Let's look at the numbers. In two matchups this season, the Lynx are averaging 92.5 points , on 45.8 percent field goal shooting. The offensive production, along with the defense, is night and day.

 WNBA Lynx vs Aces Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Lynx -4.5 (-110 FanDuel)

In two matchups against Minnesota, the Aces are averaging 70 points per game, on 37 percent field goal shooting. Shooting 25 percent behind the arc, it's a true testament to the Lynx's dominant defense. The difference maker among both teams, these two teams are far apart.

• I'm taking the Lynx to cover the 4.5-point spread today. Let's not overthink this— the Lynx are 6-6 ATS on the road, and are 5-0 ATS against the Aces in their last five matchups. While the Aces bench has some heavy hitters, this is not the same team as years past. With a +83 point differential over the last five games, I'm laying the points with the Lynx.

Player Prop Bet #1: Napheesa Collier

Napheesa Collier 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 25 | PPG: 23.8 | FG: 53.7 % | FT: 90.6 % | 3PT : 35.9 % | REB: 7.7 | AST: 3.4 | STL: 1.8 |  BLK: 1.7

• OVER 22.5 Points (-120 DraftKings)

My second best bet for today, I placed one unit on Lynx star Napheesa Collier to record over 22.5 points against the Aces.

This isn't a perfect matchup for Collier, going up against A'ja Wilson is a tall task. However, she's the clear cut MVP leader as of now in the WNBA, and she's only getting better as the season progresses.

Coming off back-to-back 30+ point performances against the Liberty and Dream, that's not a small feat. The Liberty and Dream are two elite teams this year, and over the last four games, she's averaging an elite 26.5 points per game.

On the outside, interior, no one's been able to stop Phee, as she's shooting an impeccable 63.7 percent from the field, and nearly 48 percent from beyond the arc! Not to mention, she was named the 2025 WNBA All-Star game with a record 36 points.

Why Napheesa Collier Is The Leading WNBA MVP Candidate

Even in the Lynx's 109-78 blowout over the Aces last week, Collier recorded 26 points in 26 minutes. 7-12 from the floor, and 1-2 from deep, Collier finished 10-13 from the charity stripe! Let's not forget those 3-pointers sunk by Collier to extend the halftime lead to 51-35. Even with the addition of NaLyssa Smith alongside Wilson, there were zero answers for Collier.

Although Wilson didn't lace up their first matchup, Collier left the same matchup with a back injury. Scoring just seven points, she's averaging 16 points in the season series so far. Back and healthy, I'm not fading Phee, especially on national television.

Collier should have her way, considering the Aces allow the seventh most points to forwards. Plus, she's soared over this player prop line in three straight games now. Averaging 29 points per game over that span, she faces an Aces team as the top scorer in the entire WNBA. No. 7 all-time in WNBA 3-pointers made (682), I'm not fading the vet here.

 WNBA Lynx vs Aces Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Napheesa Collier OVER 22.5 Points (-120 DraftKings)

This is a highly anticipated matchup between Collier and Wilson, two of the best in the league. Soaring over this prop in two straight road games, Collier somehow get's better on the road. In 10 road games, she's averaging 25 points, shooting 37.8 percent from downtown.

• I'm laying the points with Napheesa Collier tonight. The Aces defense has been shaky, and Collier continues her incredible MVP caliber season. 

Player Prop Bet #3: Kayla McBride

Kayla McBride 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 24 | PPG: 14.4 | FG: 42.1 % | FT: 93.7 % | 3PT : 38.4  % | REB: 2.5 | AST: 3.3 | STL: 1.2 |  BLK: 0.1

• OVER 2.5 Made Threes (+130 DraftKings)

My third best bet for today, I'm taking Lynx star Kayla McBride to record over 2.5 made threes against the Aces.

For plus money at +130 odds, I can't fade this prop, and here's why.

McBride may have had a slow start to the season, but she's ramping up as we gear towards the back end. Coming off a 24-point performance against the Liberty, the Lynx were pouring it on the reigning champs. With that, McBride hit a crucial five 3-pointers in the matchup!

Widely considered one of the most elite flamethrowers in the WNBA, McBride has been lights out post All-Star break, averaging 15 points. Shooting 42.3 percent from beyond the arc in four games since the break, McBride averaged 6.8 3PA alone in July!

Is Kayla McBride One Of The Most Elite Shooters In WNBA History?

I know the Lynx have a ton of snipers, especially with Courtney Williams, Bridget Carleton, Alanna Smith, and Collier. However, McBride not only leads the team in 3-point attempts (6.8), but 3-pointers made (2.6) as well.

Am I really going to fade a player who's soared over this line in three of the last four games. Averaging 3.6 threes against the Sky, Aces, Liberty, and Dream—I do believe the books are disrespecting this line a bit.

Not to mention, McBride has ample minutes and shot volume, and is shooting 35.4 percent from deep over the last four games!

Now she get's another matchup against her former team, who have struggled defensively to say the least. Aforementioned, the Aces are back on track, however, they sixth highest 3-point percentage (33.4 %) among opponents in the WNBA. After all, she's one of the most pristine shooters to ever grace the hardwood in the history of the WNBA.

 WNBA Lynx vs Aces Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Kayla McBride OVER 2.5 Made Threes (+130 DraftKings)

The Aces are stingy, allowing the third fewest 3-pointers made to guards, However, last matchup against the Aces, McBride recorded 13 points on 3-7 3-point shooting.

The Aces did hold the Sparks to just 4-24 (16.7 %) 3-point shooting last game, and Dallas 4-19 the game prior. While Las Vegas has stepped up their perimeter defense, McBride is one of the best off curl screens with a quick release.

• Give me Kayla McBride to record over 2.5 made threes today.  Clearing this player prop line in 5/7 games, I'm riding with McBride for plus money. 

Bonus Bet: A'ja Wilson OVER 22.5 Points (-114 FanDuel)