WNBA Best Bets For Today: Lynx vs Sparks Picks & Predictions (July 10)

WNBA is back, and there's an early afternoon matchup scheduled between the Minnesota Lynx (17-3, 6-3 away) and the Los Angeles Sparks (6-13, 1-7 home).

(Photo by Jordan Johnson/NBAE via Getty Images)

Napheesa Collier and the Lynx are coming off a 79-71 loss against the Mercury, marking their third defeat on the season. Sitting atop the league standings, Minnesota is a 6.5-point spread favorite on the road. Today is Camp Day, where the Sparks will host young boys and girls from summer camps. With a 1-7 home record, the Sparks are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Coming off a gritty 89-87 victory against the Indiana Fever, it was Rickea Jackson and Azurà Stevens who sealed the game with clutch free throws. Today, they will face the Lynx for the fourth and final time of the 2025 regular season.

Today's contest will feature multiple 2025 WNBA All-Stars, including captain Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams, and Kelsey Plum.

WNBA: Lynx vs Sparks Schedule For Thursday, July 10

If you're looking to bet on the Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks July 10 matchup, welcome!

Given it's Camp Day, the showdown will begin at 3 p.m. ET, located at Crypto.com Arena. Additionally, the game will air on WNBA League Pass and in local markets.

In this article, you will find a mix of spread and prop bets, all placed within DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook. Keeping my bankroll management in mind, I chose not to parlay any of my bets.

Here are my three best player prop picks, predictions, and best bets for the July 10 WNBA matchup featuring the Lynx and Sparks!

Are you looking to bet on WNBA player props all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here. 

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WNBA Best Bets: Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks BetMGM Betting Odds For July 10

MONEYLINE

• MINNESOTA LYNX: -300
• LOS ANGELES SPARKS: +240

SPREAD

• MINNESOTA LYNX: -6.5 (-118)
• LOS ANGELES SPARKS: +6.5 (-102)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

• OVER: 163.5 (-110)
• UNDER 163.5 (-110)

2025 Regular Season H2H Matchups: Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks

• June 21, 2025: Lynx 82, Sparks 66 (Minnesota -8.0, Under 162.5)
• June 14, 2025: Lynx 101, Sparks 78 (Minnesota -11.5, Over 164)
• May 18, 2025: Lynx 89, Sparks 75 (Minnesota -6.0, Under 165)

Minnesota Lynx vs LA Sparks Injury Report

LYNX

1. Karlie Samuelson, Guard: OUT

SPARKS

1. Cameron Brink, Forward: OUT

*Odds are courtesy of BetMGM*

WNBA Best Bets For Lynx vs Sparks (July 10)

Player Prop Bet #1: Napheesa Collier

Napheesa Collier 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 17 | PPG: 23.9| FG: 52.8 % | FT: 95.5 % | 3PT : 33.9 % | REB: 7.8 | AST: 3.2 | STL: 1.5 |  BLK: 1.5

• OVER 21.5 Points (-130 DraftKings)

Today, I placed one unit on Minnesota Lynx star Napheesa Collier to record over 21.5 points against the Sparks.

• Leading the MVP conversation alongside Alyssa Thomas, should we call Collier M-V-Phee? The WNBA's and Lynx's leading scorer, I don't have Collier slowing down any time soon.

Aforementioned in previous articles, betting on Collier has been almost automatic at this point. Not only is she one of the most dominant players in the WNBA on both sides of the ball, she's one of the most consistent.

• Even through back injuries, Collier is performing at an elite level. Through 17 regular season games, she's soared over 21.5 points in 12 games, including four of the last seven.

Naphessa Collier WNBA MVP?

In fact, Phee is averaging 25 PPG over the last six games, and is shooting 60.7 percent from the field!

• Mind you, Collier is recording these elite level of stats, all while shooting just 0-8 from 3-point over the last two games.

Oddly enough, Collier has produced more effectively on the road, averaging 25.4 points on 49.2 percent field goal shooting, and 97.3 percent from the free throw line. Now, she has a prime matchup with the Sparks.

Despite Azurà Stevens and Dearica Hamby holding down the frontcourt for the Sparks, Los Angeles have been one of the bottom tier teams on the defensive end.

• Ranked no. 11 in defensive rating, this is a Sparks team that allows the fourth most paint points with 36.7.

 WNBA Lynx vs Sparks Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Napheesa Collier OVER 21.5 Points (-130 DraftKings)

Overall, the Sparks allow the most points to forwards, who are shooting a combined 48.1 percent from the field against LA. Last matchup, Fever backcourt duo Natasha Howard and Aliyah Boston combined for 44 points alone!

A true three-level threat, Collier is shooting 76.7 percent from the restricted area, a range where opponents shoot 66.9 percent from against LA. Her midrange threat and footwork alone is enough to put Collier on her own island.

• Today, I'm taking Napheesa Collier to record over 21.5 points. In two games against the Sparks, Collier is averaging 27.5 points, on 67.6 % field goal shooting, and 71.4 percent from beyond the arc. Soaring over this player prop line, Collier erupted for 23 and 32 points against the Sparks.  Mind you, Phee erupted for thay many points in two blowout matchups against Los Angeles. 

Player Prop Bet #2: Courtney Williams

Courtney Williams 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 20 | PPG: 13.9| FG: 43.2 % | FT: 80.8 % | 3PT : 39.2 % | REB: 4.9 | AST: 5.9 | STL: 1.5 |  BLK: 0.2

• OVER 19.5 Points + Assists (+100 FanDuel)

My second best bet for today, I placed one unit on Minnesota Lynx All-Star Courtney Williams to record over 19.5 points and rebounds against the Sparks.

• For plus money, it's extremely hard to fade a player who not only has a favorable matchup, but has been playing extremely well.

After an inconsistent June, Williams has been dazzling— averaging 16.4 points, and 5.0 assists through July. Not to mention, Williams is a combo guard, meaning she excels on and off ball.

• With that said, Williams is coming off back-to-back 21+ point performances against the Mercury and Sky.

With Kelsey Plum and Julie Allemand leading the backcourt for the Sparks, LA is middle of the road against guards. This season, they are allowing a combined 41.9 points and 12.6 assists to guards, which is the most of any position.

Courtney Williams Was Named To The 2025 WNBA All-Star Game

Aside from Napheesa Collier and Courtney Williams, the Lynx have some heavy hitters, especially with Kayla McBride and Alanna Smith. However, McBrides production has taken a hit, averaging just 9.2 points over the last five games.

Emerged is Courtney Williams, who is the teams third leading scorer with 13.9 points per game. Leading the Lynx with 5.9 assists per game, we are talking about a player who's usage has only increased.

• Behind Collier, Williams ranks second on the roster in FGA (13.2), and FGM (5.7).

What is so elite about Williams game is her ability to score from the midrange, and create her own shot. From a scoring perspective, a hefty amount of shots come from the midrange, where she's shooting 41.5 percent.

• Next is from above the the break 3, where Williams is shooting nearly 40 percent.

Luckily for Williams, teams are shooting the sixth high percentage from the midrange against the Sparks (38.5 %), and 34.4 percent from above the break 3. With this matchup, Williams has the speed to catch the Sparks at the nail.

 WNBA Lynx vs Sparks Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Courtney Williams OVER 19.5 Points + Assists (+100 FanDuel)

In three head-to-head matchups agains LA, Williams is averaging 16 points and 6.0 assists (22 points + assists). Not to mention, over the last two games, she's averaging 28.5 points and assists.

Flirting with double-double and even triple-double type numbers as of late, Williams has been consistent, which is key. I've been even more impressed by her facilitating, minutes, and increased shot volume (14.2 FGA over the last five games).

• I'm taking Courtney Williams to record over 19.5 points and assists today as one of my best player prop bets. 

Spread Bet: Minnesota Lynx vs LA Sparks

Lynx ATS Record: 11-10
Sparks ATS Record: 7-11

• Minnesota Lynx -6.5 (-112 DraftKings)

My third best bet for today, I placed one unit on the Minnesota Lynx to cover the 6.5-point spread against the LA Sparks.

With a WNBA best record of 17-3, it's been a brutal stretch for the Lynx. Tonight starts a three game road stand, in which the Lynx have played four games in seven games.

Even coming off a back-to-back, I simply like the Lynx here, even on the road. Sure, the Mercury handed the Lynx their first loss of the season yesterday, in which Alyssa Thomas erupted for 29 points. Even worse, the Mercury scored 56 points in the paint, and finished the game with just one 3-pointer.

• Overall, the Lynx defensive effort on the perimeter was solid, and held the Mercury to 1-16 (6. 3%) 3-point shooting.  Massacred in the paint, turnovers and fast break points did them in.

Are The Minnesota Lynx Poised To Win The 2025 WNBA Championship?

Today, they get a Spark's squad, who have massively underachieved under first year head coach Lynne Roberts. In a mix of veteran and rebuild mode, they've been hampered with injuries. With players back from Eurobasket and injuries, we even saw the Sparks defeat the Indiana Fever, 89-87 without Caitlin Clark.

Overall, I'm taking the Lynx, given these two teams massively differ in terms of defensive efficiency. We are talking about the No.1 team in defensive rating (Lynx 94.3), against a Sparks team, who ranks in the basement (108.2).

• Not to mention, the Lynx hold the highest net rating in the WNBA (13), while the Sparks have the third worst rating in the league (-6.2).

Is there a chance the Sparks can upset at home? Sure. However, I doubt it considering Minnesota leads the regular season series 3-0, and which neither game as been close. Although Commissioner's Cup games played an affect, the Lynx boast a +53 point differential over the Sparks this season.

With that, the Lynx average 90.7 points per game against LA, and have held the Sparks to 73 points through three outings. Plus, Napheesa Collier was ruled out last matchup, in which the Lynx took care of business, 82-66 at home.

 WNBA Lynx vs Sparks Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Lynx -6.5 (-112 DraftKings)

Minnesota has already proven they can come up victorious in LA, and are shooting 52.8 percent and 41.8 percent from beyond the arc as a team. Defensively, the Sparks have shot just 39.3 percent from the field, and 33.3 percent from deep. Mind you, that's with Kelsey Plum, Azurà Stevens, and Dearica Hamby all playing at an All-Star level.

• I'm taking the Minnesota Lynx to cover the 6.5-point spread today. Given they have a 11-10 record ATS, the Lynx have covered the straight in three consecutive games against the Sparks. Plus, they are.  10-7 ATS when favored against seven points or more. Overall, the Lynx are the better team all around, and have one of the best coaches in Cheryl Reeve. The Lynx and Sparks are two teams that are trending in opposite directions. 

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