WNBA Championship Odds & Predictions: Liberty, Aces Favored In 2026 Season

After an active offseason that included a new CBA, an excellent draft class, and a good number of players finding new homes via free agency, it is time to see what all the fuss was about. I’m talking about the start of the regular season and the march to the 2026 WNBA Finals.

With the season getting underway, it feels like a perfect time to take a look at the latest WNBA Championship odds and make some picks and predictions. So, let’s get started!

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2026 WNBA Championship Odds

Here are the odds for each team to win the 2026 WNBA Championship (via DraftKings):

• New York Liberty +220
• Las Vegas Aces +390
• Indiana Fever +450
• Atlanta Dream +650
• Minnesota Lynx +800
• Los Angeles Sparks +1400
• Phoenix Mercury +3000
• Dallas Wings +3000
• Golden State Valkyries +4500
• Chicago Sky +10000
• Washington Mystics +15000
• Toronto Tempo +20000
• Seattle Storm +25000
• Portland Fire +40000
• Connecticut Sun +50000

For the second season in a row, the WNBA has expanded. The Golden State Valkyries were added last year. This season, the league welcomes the Portland Fire and Toronto Tempo. The Valkyries set a high bar with their success last year, but neither the Fire nor the Tempo are expected to contend in their inaugural season.

Las Vegas has won the title in three of the last four seasons, with New York winning it in the Aces’ off year. With both teams bringing back a solid core, it is not shocking to see them with the shortest odds.

But who should you bet on? Since 2015, there haven’t been too many surprises when a champion was crowned in the end. Eight of the 11 winners since then were among the preseason favorites with odds of +475 or shorter; most had odds shorter than +300. Only three had +1000 odds or longer: the 2021 Chicago Sky (+1000), the 2018 Seattle Storm (+2500), and the 2016 Los Angeles Sparks (+1500).

Does this mean you should focus on the teams with odds shorter than +1000? Not necessarily.

For most of the season, the Minnesota Lynx looked like the team to beat last year, and they had +6000 odds in the preseason. They ended up losing in the semifinals. So, a massive longshot has yet to rise up and win the title, but someone will eventually become the first…

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WNBA Championship Odds: My Pick(s)

If you just want to bet on one team and you are more concerned with just winning and not so much winning a lot, there are only two choices: the Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty. Between the two of them, they’ve won the last four championships, and there is no reason to think they’ll be missing from the conversation this year.

A solid case can be made for both. New York has two of the best shooters in the league, Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu. The Liberty acquired Satou Sabally in the offseason. While she can be inconsistent at times, Sabally is a solid scoring threat when she’s on.

As for Las Vegas, the Aces didn’t make a big move like adding Sabally, but they didn’t need to. A’ja Wilson is the best player in the WNBA. As long as she is healthy and on the floor, the Aces will be favored to win every game. If Jewell Loyd can pick up where she left off, Vegas will have one of, if not the most formidable offense in the WNBA.

No one will fault you for picking either the Liberty or the Aces. I’m taking the Aces. From a statistical perspective, there is not much difference between the Aces and the Liberty. But A’ja Wilson may be the most clutch player in basketball. I’ll bet on any team she plays on to win the title.

Longshot/Darkhorse Picks

As dominant as the Aces and Liberty have been, it’s kind of boring just betting on the favorites. Besides, you don’t need to put much on a longshot/dark horse for a decent payday. So, for those of you looking for someone to roll the dice on, I like these picks:

Los Angeles Sparks (+1400): They were 21-23 last season and missed the playoffs. But they also shot themselves in the foot by starting the season 5-12. Had the squad that finished the season 16-11 shown up in game one, they could have made some noise. If they can get off to a good start this year…

Washington Mystics (+15000): There is a lot to like about this Mystics roster.  Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen are a solid pair to build around. Georgia Amoore was the No. 6 pick in the draft last year but never played because of a torn ACL. This year’s draft class includes UCLA’s Lauren Betts and Angela Dugalić, along with former Ole Miss forward Cotie McMahon who is dealing with an injury to begin the season. If second-year head coach Sydney Johnson can get this roster on the same page, I love the potential it has to make some real noise this season (and maybe even contend).