Fresh off its impressive road win against the Phoenix Mercury on Sunday, the Indiana Fever travels to Paradise, Nevada on Tuesday, July 2, 2024 to take on the red-hot Las Vegas Aces at the T-Mobile Arena.
(Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
INDIANA FEVER Vs LAS VEGAS ACES PREDICTIONS: WNBA TEAM ANALYSIS
After being down by as many as 15, the Fever unleashed a 29-15 scoring explosion in the third to turn back the Mercury and grab their eighth win of the season.
- Forward Aaliyah Boston and guard Kelsey Mitchell combined for 33 points while rookie sensation Caitlin Clark finished with a near triple-double, notching 15 points, 12 assists, and nine rebounds.
The Fever will be taking on an Aces team that has been on fire since the return of point guard Chelsea Gray into the lineup.
- Since Gray’s return, Las Vegas has been unbeaten, winning four straight with the last victory being an 88-77 demolition of the Washington Mystics.
In their most recent clash, the Aces came up on top behind A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, and Kelsey Plum, who combined for 71 points. With both teams in high spirits heading into this match, let’s take a look at how bookmakers view this match.
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Continue reading until the end to find our Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces betting predictions.
Indiana Fever
Vs
Las Vegas Aces
DraftKings WNBA
Odds Today
July 2
Moneyline
- Indiana Fever: +650
- Las Vegas Aces: -1000
Spread
- Indiana Fever: +13 (-110)
- Las Vegas Aces: -13 (-110)
Over/Under (Total)
- OVER 171.5 (-110)
- UNDER 171.5 (-110)
Indiana Fever
vs.
Las Vegas Aces
Injury Report
Indiana Fever Injury Report
- No Injuries
Las Vegas Aces Injury Report
- Kierstan Bell – Lower Leg – Out
Best Odds for
Indiana Fever
vs.
Las Vegas Aces
- The Indiana Fever heads into the match as the 13 point underdogs. BetMGM offers the best odds for Indiana to cover the spread at -115.
- The Indiana Fever and the Las Vegas have hit over 172 points in two of their last three meetings. DraftKings offers the best odds for the over market at -110.
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- The Las Vegas Aces have beaten the Indiana Fever by 19 points in their last matchup. BetMGM offers the Aces at -13.5 at -105.
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Why will the
Indiana Fever
cover the spread?
The Indiana Fever heads into this match as 13-point underdogs according to the latest Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces odds. However, that seems generous considering that the Fever has won five of their seven games.
Moreover, in their past two losses, the Fever has only lost by an average margin of 6.5 points.
Las Vegas dominated Indiana 99-80 in their first matchup. But that was earlier in the season when rookie guard Caitlin Clark was still acclimating to the hustle and bustle of the WNBA season.
- With the 22-year old Clark getting the hang of things, Indiana has found itself on the thick of the playoff hunt, currently sitting at the eighth spot with an 8-12 (win-loss) record.
In her first game against the Aces, Clark was only limited to eight points and seven rebounds on a dismal two-out-of-eight shooting from the field. What’s even worse was Clark turned the ball over six times, giving the Aces plenty of opportunities to score.
- Now that Clark has settled on the pace of a WNBA game, the +13 spread should look more appealing at -110 odds.
- Another positive thing that Indiana can take solace is the terrible ATS record of the Aces at home.
In their past nine home games, Las Vegas has managed to only cover the spread three times. If that’s not good enough, the Fever is also 7-7 ATS when bookmakers have them as underdogs and 11-9 ATS overall.
Why will the
Las Vegas Aces
cover the spread?
Plenty of things are going right for the Las Vegas Aces since the return of speedy point guard Chelsea Gray. Over their past four games, the Aces have beaten teams by an average of 11.3 points. They will be taking on a Fever team they have beaten at home by 19 points earlier this season. What’s even more impressive is the Aces have beaten the Fever the last 12 times they faced.
As a matter of fact, the last time the Fever beat the Aces was in 2019.
- Another thing worth noting is that throughout those 12 straight victories, the Aces have beaten the Fever by an average margin of 16.9 points.
An exciting player matchup heading into this match is between guards Kelsey Plum and Caitlin Clark.
- When these last two times last faced, Plum outplayed Clark, scoring 20 points and seven rebounds on seven-out-of-18 shooting from the field.
Also expected to carry the offensive load for the streaking Aces team is former Notre Dame Fighting Irish star Jackie Young, who has been leading the team in scoring in two of their last four wins.
- In their last victory against the Washington Mystics, the 26-year old Young exploded for 26 points and four rebounds on 66.7% shooting from the field.
WNBA MVP candidate and season leading scorer A’ja Wilson is expected to once again deliver the goods for the Aces against the Fever.
- In their past four wins, the 27-year old Wilson has been averaging 23.8 points and 10 rebounds.
She was limited to just 11 points and nine rebounds against Mystics after struggling from the field. After struggling in the last game, expect Wilson to head into the game against the Fever with a chip on her shoulder, which makes the -13 spread at -110 odds an attractive option for punters.
Final
Indiana Fever
vs.
Las Vegas Aces WNBA
Predictions Today: Indiana Fever +13 (-110), Over 171.5 (-110)
The Las Vegas Aces have dominated the Indiana Fever in their last matchup earlier this season. This time around, though, it will be different. Since that 19-point drubbing, the Fever is a completely different team as shown in current play, winning five of their last seven games.
- They have also covered the spread in five of their seven.
- That being said, considering the ATS history of the Aces and the current form of the Fever, I am leaning towards Indiana to cover the +13 spread at -110 odds.
Another thing worth looking at is the over 171.5 market total. In two of their past three encounters, the Indiana Fever and the Las Vegas Aces both hit over 172 points.
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