The New York Liberty looks to score a measure of revenge against the team that denied them the WNBA Commissioners Cup title while the Minnesota Lynx hopes to sustain its momentum as both teams duke it out on Tuesday, July 2, 2024, at Barclays Center.
NEW YORK LIBERTY Vs MINNESOTA LYNX PREDICTIONS: WNBA TEAM ANALYSIS
New York, which holds a league-leading 16-3 (win-loss) record, has been firing on all cylinders this season but their winning run came to a screeching halt last June 25, losing 94-89 to the Lynx in the WNBA Commissioner's Cup Finals.
The Liberty set the tempo early until the third when they found themselves on the back of a searing 19-10 Lynx run, ultimately losing control in the dying seconds of the game.
- They will take on a Lynx squad, who is coming off a 70-62 victory against the Chicago Sky last June 30.
After going on a seven-game winning streak, Minnesota hit a roadblock on June 28, losing in shocking fashion to last-place Dallas Wings.
The Lynx hopes to build on that win against Chicago when it takes on a familiar foe and a team they have beaten twice this season in the New York Liberty.
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Will the Lynx continue its dominance against the Liberty and hand them its fourth loss of the season?
Or will New York finally score a victory against their old tormentors? Let’s look at how the current New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx odds look as we head into this exciting matchup.
New York Liberty
Vs
Minnesota Lynx
DraftKings WNBA
Odds Today
July 2
Moneyline
- New York Liberty: -238
- Minnesota Lynx: +195
Spread
- New York Liberty: -5.5 (-110)
- Minnesota Lynx: +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (Total)
- OVER 163.5 (-110)
- UNDER 163.5 (-110)
New York Liberty
Vs
Minnesota Lynx
Injury Report July 2
New York Liberty Injury Report
Minnesota Lynx Injury Report
WNBA Best odds for
New York Liberty
Vs
Minnesota Lynx
- The Minnesota Lynx have beaten the New York Liberty in all of their meetings this season. BetMGM offers them at +195 to repeat their performance and complete the sweep in the season series.
- The New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx hit a total of 183 points the last time they faced. BetMGM offers the over 163.5 total at -110.
- The Minnesota Lynx are 7-2 against-the-spread (ATS) on the road this season. BetMGM offers the best price for the Lynx to cover +5.5 spread at -110.
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Why will the
New York Liberty
cover the spread?
The New York Liberty is the best team in the league for a good reason. They know how to overcome obstacles and come out on top.
After losing the WNBA Commissioners Cup title to the Lynx, New York immediately bounced back and scored a 81-75 win against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday.
However, that victory didn’t come easily. In fact, the Liberty even found themselves down by as many as 16 in the first half.
- But stellar plays by Breanna Stewart and Betnijah Laney-Hamilton kept New York within striking distance before the Liberty went on a 10-0 run at the start of the final quarter to seal the victory.
- Stewart, who became the fastest player to reach 5,000 career points, led Liberty with 22 points and 12 rebounds while Laney-Hamilton chipped in 18 markers.
While the Liberty hasn’t picked up against the Lynx this season, an encouraging thought for New York is the return of sharpshooting guard Courtney Vandersloot to the starting lineup.
- The 35-year old Vandersloot returned to the lineup when the Liberty last played the Lynx but she came off the bench and only played a mere 13 minutes.
In her return to the starting lineup against the Dream, Vandersloot registered seven points, seven assists, and two steals. Besides Vandersloot, the Liberty will also need a big game from prized guard Sabrina Ionescu against the Lynx.
The 26-year old Ionescu was limited to only 10 points against the Dream but an encouraging thought is she always shows up in big games, most notably tallying a 23-point and 10-rebound double-double effort the last time New York battled Minnesota.
Why will the
Minnesota Lynx
cover the spread?
The Minnesota Lynx have all the confidence in the world heading into this matchup with the New York Liberty. Not only have they beaten the Liberty twice this season, the Lynx are also taking one of the worst ATS teams in the league.
Throughout 19 games this season, the Liberty is 7-12 ATS, which is dead-last in the league.
- This pales in comparison to the Lynx’s league-leading 13-5 ATS record.
Minnesota, which has won nine of their 10 games, is expected to once again rely on the frontcourt trio of Bridget Carleton, Alanna Smith, and MVP candidate Napheesa Collier to deliver the goods against a New York squad that leads the league in scoring at 88.1 points per game.
- In their last matchup against the Liberty, the trio combined for more than half of Minnesota’s total point production, scoring 50 out of the team’s 94 points. Also expected to step up against New York is guard Kayla McBride.
- The 32-year old McBride was sensational in the Lynx last win against Chicago, dropping 16 points, five rebounds, five assists, and two steals while shooting 42.9% from the field.
One thing worth noting is that Minnesota also has a good history against New York, winning seven of their last 11 meetings against the Liberty.
The Lynx also has beaten the Liberty by an average margin of 6.9 points, proving that the former has all the ability in the world to match the well-oiled offense of the latter.
Final
New York Liberty
vs.
Minnesota Lynx
Prediction: Minnesota Lynx +5.5 (-110)
Taking into account Minnesota’s history against the New York Liberty this season, picking them outright to win is not a bad idea. It is, however, worth noting that the last time these two teams played together, the Liberty was not playing in their home court.
While it was technically in New York, the Liberty had to play the Lynx in the UBS Arena in Elmont after the Barclays Center was deemed unavailable.
This time around, the New York Liberty will play the Minnesota Lynx at the Barclays Center. However, I still have doubts of the Liberty covering the spread considering their ATS history.
Put simply, this game is basically a pick-em regardless of how the current New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx odds suggest. When that happens, I always lean on the dogs.
So, right now I am picking the Lynx to cover the +5.5 spread. If I’m feeling risky, I might even take the Lynx to win outright at +195.
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