WNBA Odds: Chicago Sky O/U 2026 Season Wins Prediction

It has been rough for Chicago Sky fans the last few years. Yes, they won the WNBA Championship in 2021, but since then, things have gone downhill. They missed the playoffs the last three seasons, winning only 18 games in 2023, 13 in 2024, and just 10 games last season.

So, the Chicago Sky's win total for 2026 must be pretty low, right? It is in that they don’t have to be a .500 team to for the over to hit. But considering they won only 10 games last season and there has been significant roster turnover, it may be asking a bit much. What is the Sky's win total for the 2026 WNBA season?

(Photo by Dave Eggen/NBAE via Getty Images)

Let’s discuss the number and how the team may go over it or why they’ll finish under it.

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WNBA Odds: Chicago Sky O/U Wins Total

Shopping around is a great idea when it comes to team win totals, as it is not unusual to see one book carry one wins total while another has a higher or lower number. If the number is the same, the odds may be different. Since the point here is to win money, you want the most advantageous odds you can find and the best total.

If one book has the total set at 19.5 and the other at 18.5, and you are thinking about taking the under, you want the higher number. But in this case, most of the major online sportsbooks have the same total for the Chicago Sky, but the odds differ:

Chicago Sky Regular Season Wins

• Over 18.5 at +100 (FanDuel)
• Under 18.5 at -130 (Caesars, bet365, and BetMGM)

If you are leaning towards under, you can find the best odds at Caesars, bet365, and BetMGM. So, who do you bet with? If you have a personal preference, great — go with that one. If you don’t and you don’t mind opening a new account, check out the welcome bonus offer.

As for which one is the best, it depends on what you like, but that’s a whole other conversation. So, what will it be, the over or the under?

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Roster Rebuild Does Not Predestinate a Team to Losing

For the third time in three seasons, the Chicago Sky underwent a roster rebuild:

• Angel Reese was traded away for two first-round draft picks.
• Jacy Sheldon was acquired in exchange for a future first-round pick.
• Ariel Atkins was traded for Rickea Jackson.
• Michaela Onyenwere and Rebecca Allen signed elsewhere.
• The team acquired Skylar Diggins, Azurá Stevens,  and DiJonai Carrington via free agency.

Second-year head coach Tyler Marsh has a lot of new faces to work with. If the last two rebuilds are any indication, fans may not want to hold their breath in anticipation of a win. The rebuild did not go well last season, after all. Why should we believe this season can go any better?

A better question may be, how can it get worse? Last year’s squad finished last in scoring (75.8), last in defensive rating (109.9), 10th in points allowed (85.8 per game), and was second in rebounding despite having the best rebounder in the WNBA on the roster (Reese).

They were not good at hitting 3-pointers (33%, No. 9), allowed opponents to hit 36.6% of 3-point attempts (tied for second to last), ranked 11th in effective field goal percentage (47.6%), and had the highest turnover rate in the league (21.7%) while their opponents had the lowest (15.2%).

A bad team can always get worse, but with the bar already so low, they’ll have a hard time not improving.

My Pick: Over 18.5 (+100, FanDuel)

There are so many things that could be better that it is almost hard for the Sky not to improve.

They didn’t have a go-to scoring threat last season. But UCLA standout Gabriela Jaquez could help out in that regard right away. Skylar Diggins averaged 15+ points per game over her last two seasons in Seattle, but nearly 20 points per game in her final season with Phoenix (2022).

Kamilla Cardoso improved to 13.6 points per game last season after averaging 9.8 points per game as a rookie. Should she continue to progress in her development, the Sky could have a force to be reckoned with at center. Azurá Stevens was good for 12.9 per game with the Sparks last season. Rickea Jackson averaged just under 15 points per game for the Sparks. Former TCU standout Hailey Van Lith was seldom used in her rookie season but could become a playmaker for the Sky.

So, the offensive potential for this team is real. With a veteran floor general like Diggins running the show on the court, I think fans should be optimistic about this team. I wouldn’t expect much more than 20 wins. But based on the potential offensive improvements alone,  I like their chances of going over this total.

At +100, it’s a solid, value play in my book.