WNBA Odds: Dallas Wings O/U 2026 Win Total Prediction

Some would say that the good thing about the Dallas Wings winning only ten games in 2025 is getting the No. 1 pick in the 2026 WNBA Draft. Others, like myself, would contend that there is nothing good about losing 34 games of a 44-game season, just a silver lining and the knowledge that it can only get better.

Technically, they could still get worse and win fewer than 10 games this season. But the changes made to the Dallas roster during the offseason are encouraging. Enough so that sportsbooks saw fit to set a high bar for the Dallas Wings' win total for the 2026 season.

(Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)

That win total is set at 21.5 or 22.5 wins, depending on the sportsbook. It’s a big step up from 10 last season and nine the year before. So, can they do it? Can they go over that mark, or are they doomed to finish under it before the season even starts? Valid questions; let’s discuss odds and answers.

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WNBA Odds: Dallas Wings O/U Wins Total

Before the season gets underway is the best time to bet on win totals. Until play gets rolling, all we have is speculation as to how well some teams will play. Speculation can often result in differences in a market’s total and in the price set for it. But once the season gets underway and we see teams play well or flop, that variance often goes away rather quickly.

Sportsbooks are not quite in agreement about the Dallas Wings' win total. But most have the same number, just with different prices. Here is what BetMGM has for the Dallas Wings' win total:

• Over 21.5 at -130
• Under 21.5 at +100

DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, and bet365 all have the total set at 22.5 wins to start the season. All four have a better price for the Over (but with a higher total), with bet365 offering the best at -110. If you prefer the cushion an extra win provides and prefer to bet the Under on 22.5 wins, the best price is at FanDuel (-108).

So, we are talking about a team needing to win 12-13 additional games than it won last season. That is not an easy task. While a retooled roster and new head coach may make that easier, it can also be why a team struggles. But such a change or improvement is not unheard of.

Last season, the Los Angeles Sparks went from eight wins in 2024 to 21. Atlanta went from winning 15 in 2024 to tying Las Vegas for the league's second-best win total (30). On the other end of the spectrum, Connecticut went from 28 wins in 2024 to 11 in 2025.

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How Far Can Winds of Change Carry Wings?

There wasn’t much that went right for the Dallas Wings last season outside of drafting Paige Bueckers with the No. 1 selection in the 2025 WNBA Draft. They won only 10 games, averaged 81.7 points per game (ninth-best). Dallas had one of the worst defenses in the league, ranking 12th in points allowed (88 ppg) and defensive rating (109.1).

Obviously, changes were needed, and the franchise started with the head coach. They let Chris Koclanes go after one season and hired Jose Fernandez from South Florida. They added some depth and a solid defensive presence to the frontcourt in Jessica Shepard and Alanna Smith.

Outside of those changes,  they brought back a number of players. They re-signed Arike Ogunbowale, giving the Wings some impressive talent in the backcourt in Paige Bueckers, Ogunbowale, and the No. 1 pick of the 2026 WNBA Draft, Azzi Fudd. Dallas also resigned Aziaha James, Maddy Siegrist, and Awak Kuier.

Is that enough change to bring about a 12-13 game improvement? It could be. Fernandez wants the Wings to pick up the pace and has a backcourt that can excel in doing so. Defensively, they could have one of the better frontcourts in the league. Their potential for success will depend on how quickly the team can grasp and implement the new system. But the potential for a 12-13 game jump is certainly there.

We’ll get a much better idea once we see them in action in their season opener (May 9) against the Indiana Fever.

My Pick: OVER 21.5 (-130, BetMGM)

All the changes have me concerned. It takes time for teams to learn a new system. It is harder to do so when they are also learning/gelling with new teammates. They’ve got some tough games right out of the gate with Indiana, Atlanta, and Minnesota to start the season.

We may not see this team start to live up to its potential until early June, 8-10 games into the season. If they split those games and go 4-4 or 5-5, they’ll need to go .500 the rest of the way (18-18 or 17-17). With 16 games from June 1 to the end of the regular season against expansion teams and last season’s other non-playoff teams, I like their chances of winning 22 games.