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WNBA Odds: Sparks vs Sun Lines and Best Bets on September 10

Publish Date: 09/10/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe
Los Angeles Sparks v Dallas Wings

Photo by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images)

The Los Angeles Sparks look to snap a four-game losing streak while the Connecticut Sun hope to sustain its winning momentum as they battle this Tuesday, September 10, 2024 inside the world-renowned Crypto.com Arena.

This is the second meeting in three days between the Sparks and the Sun. Just last Sunday, the Sun beat the Sparks 79-67 thanks to a massive 24-9 fourth quarter run.

  • Both teams have met thrice this season with Connecticut winning all three. In their previous three meetings, the Sun won by an average margin of 9.7 points.
  • In their previous meeting last Sunday, Connecticut came in as 10.5-point favorites and more than covered the spread by beating Los Angeles by 12 thanks to a 21-point effort by Brionna Jones and a triple-double performance from Alyssa Thomas.

Early Los Angeles Sparks vs Connecticut Sun betting lines suggest a similar outcome. But, first let’s see what went wrong and what went right for both squads last Sunday.

Connecticut is the better team on paper but that does not mean Los Angeles has no chance of pulling off the upset. Keep scrolling as we take a look at the form of both squads heading into this matchup.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Connecticut Sun FanDuel Odds for September 10, 2024

Moneyline

  • Los Angeles Sparks: +390
  • Connecticut Sun: -550

Spread

  • Los Angeles Sparks: +10 (-112)
  • Connecticut Sun: -10 (-108)

Over/Under (Total)

  • OVER 158.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 158.5 (-110)

Los Angeles Sparks vs Connecticut Sun Injury Report

Los Angeles Sparks Injury Report

  1. Cameron Brink – Out
  2. Lexie Brown – Illness – Out
  3. Aari McDonald – Day-to-Day
  4. Layshia Clarendon – Personal – Day-to-Day

Connecticut Sun Injury Report

  1. Tiffany Mitchell – Illness – Out

Best odds for Los Angeles Sparks vs Connecticut Sun

  • The Los Angeles Sparks have covered the spread in two of their three previous meetings with the Connecticut Sun this season. The best Los Angeles Sparks odds to cover the +10 spread are available on LeoVegas at -105.
  • The Connecticut Sun have beaten the Los Angeles Sparks in their past 12 meetings. FanDuel offers the best odds for the Connecticut Sun to cover the -10 spread at -108.
  • The under hit in four of the past six meetings between the Connecticut Sun and the Los Angeles Sparks. The best Los Angeles Sparks vs Connecticut Sun odds for the under are available on BetWay at -105.

Why will the Los Angeles Sparks cover the spread?

Since their 94-88 upset victory over the New York Liberty last August 29, the Los Angeles Sparks have seemingly struggled to regain its winning form. Across its past four games, the Sparks have lost by an average margin of 12.8 points.

With how things are going, finding something positive in Los Angeles’ camp has been a struggle but there’s actually a light at the end of the tunnel for the Sparks here against the Connecticut Sun.

  • While the Sparks lost to the Sun last time, they actually led by three heading into the fourth and even grew it to as many as six thanks to Kia Nurse’s three-point jumper with 9:01 to play. Put simply, Los Angeles has all the tools necessary to beat this Connecticut team as seen by their performance in the first three quarters of their previous matchup.
  • It is also worth noting that Connecticut is among the worst teams in the league as far as ATS records are concerned.

In fact, the Sun is 11-15 ATS when bookmakers have them as the favorites. For context, Connecticut heads into this matchup against Los Angeles as the 10-point favorites.

  • On the flip side, the Sparks are just above .500 ATS when bookmakers have them as the underdogs. It is also worth noting that Los Angeles covered in two of their three meetings this season.

What’s even more impressive is that the Sparks did it away from home.

All things considered, it’s not actually far-fetched to see the Los Angeles Sparks cover the spread here, especially with how they performed against Connecticut in their previous meetings this season.

Albeit last Sunday’s game, the Sparks have shown everyone they don’t fall down easily, making the +10 spread at these current odds an attractive punt.

Why will the Connecticut Sun cover the spread?

After hitting a minor roadblock, the Connecticut Sun returned to the win column in a big way with a 79-67 demolition of the Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday. They will face the same Sparks team again at the same venue and bookmakers seem to expect a similar result, having them as the 10-point favorites here.

  • A significant reason for that is they are taking on a Sparks team that has been historically bad at home in covering the spread.
  • In fact, Los Angeles is the worst team in the league as far as ATS home records are concerned, sporting a 5-10-1 ATS card.

One thing that needs to happen in this matchup though is forward Dewanna Bonner looking for her offense more.

  • In their previous matchup against the Sparks, the 37-year old Bonner had 14 points but only attempted nine shots from the field.

Other than Bonner, Connecticut’s bench also needs to step up in this game. Against Los Angeles last Sunday, sweet shooting guard Marina Mabrey was the only Sun player off the bench to score.

  • The 27-year old sharpshooter finished with 10 points, four rebounds, and four assists.

Should Bonner and the rest of Connecticut starters get their usual numbers and the offensive support from its bench, backing them to win by double digits once again at these current odds could offer a great value.

It is also worth noting that the Sun have beaten the Sparks in their past 12 meetings.

Final Los Angeles Sparks vs Connecticut Sun Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (-110)

The Connecticut Sun is the better team on paper. However, considering the performances of the Los Angeles Sparks against this Sun team this season, I am more inclined towards picking the home team to cover the spread.

Another thing of note is that Los Angeles covered in three of their past five encounters. Give me the Sparks and the free points.

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