
It's Sunday, and there's a highly anticipated nationally televised matchup between the Indiana Fever (6-6, 2-3 away) and the Las Vegas Aces (5-7, 3-3 home).

(Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
Their first head-to-head matchup of the season, the Aces are fresh off a three game losing streak, despite the return of A'ja Wilson from injury. Unable to secure victories against the Storm, Lynx, and Mercury, the Aces are in the midst of a brutal schedule. It doesn't get any easier against Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever, who are 2-1 in their last three games.
Although the Aces may be struggling, they are two time WNBA champions for a reason. As much as the offense hasn't clicked, the defense hasn't been as efficient. Either way, their success on the court runs through A'ja Wilson. No. 9 in offensive and defensive rating, the Aces will face a Fever team that is in the top four in those categories.
Overall, the Aces are coming off a 90-83 loss against the Seattle Storm, and the Fever were stunned by the Golden State Valkyries Thursday, 88-77. With that, the books are anticipating a close matchup today, and the Aces are slim, 1.5 point spread favorites at home.
The Aces are 10-0 in their last ten matchups against the Indiana Fever. With Caitlin Clark leading the helm, can the Fever break the streak on the road? Or will the Aces finally break the losing skid? A'ja Wilson and Clark may headline both teams, however, there's a ton of talent on both sides. Gear up, bettors, this should be an exciting showdown today!
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If you're looking to bet on the Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces matchup, welcome!
With tip-off scheduled for 3 p.m. ET, the matchup between the Fever and Aces will take place T-Mobile Arena, located in Las Vegas, Nevada. Furthermore, the showdown will air on ESPN, ESPN+, and Disney +.
In this article, you will find that I'm been switching things up in the betting world! Here is my three-leg, same game parlay and best bets for the Fever vs Aces game. Keeping bank roll management in mind, there's more risk when a parlay is involved. Therefore, I placed one unit on my predictions and picks.
Let's take a look at my SGP (Same Game Parlay) for the Fever vs Aces showdown.
MONEYLINE
SPREAD
OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)
GP: 9 | PPG: 20.8 | FG: 44.1 % | FT: 100 % | 3PT: 45.5 % | REB: 10.1 | AST: 3.8 | STL: 2.0 | BLK: 2.7
My first best bet for my SGP, I have Aces star A'ja Wilson to record over 19.5 points vs the Fever.
Wilson is back in action after missing three games due to concussion protocol. The third leading scorer in the WNBA, Wilson is averaging 20.8 points on the season.
There's no doubt Wilson's overall scoring production has decreased, and that includes shooting percentages (44.2 % from the field, 23.5 % from three). Either way, Wilson hasn't been at full health, and is STILL among the top three in scoring.
Through nine games, Wilson has recorded 20+ points four times. That includes last matchup against the Storm, in which Wilson notched 20 points on 6-11 field goal shooting. Coming off a 54.5 % shooting performance, it makes me believe her shooting woes are in the past.
We are talking about the best player in the world, a three-time WNBA MVP. It's rare bettors see Wilson shoot 2-12 and 9-22 against the Storm. Although I will say, the frontcourt trio of Ezi Magbegor, Dominique Malonga, and Nneka Ogwumike in Seattle is straight up scary.
The Aces roster is newly revamped, and looks drastically different from last season. Until the Aces can effectively include Jewell Loyd in the offensive game plan, it's clear the offense must run through Wilson. The team's leading score, Wilson leads the Aces roster with 15.3 FGA and 7.9 FTA per game.
While I do believe Wilson will continue to bounce back on national television, I love the matchup against the Fever. Sure, the Fever have Aliyah Boston and Natasha Howard holding it down in the frontcourt. However, they allow a combined 23.9 points to forwards per game. To to mention, forwards are averaging just 7.0 free-throw attempts per game against Indiana.
This is a prime spot for Wilson, who has 31 trips to the charity stripe over the last three games. With 24 points alone coming from the free-throw line over that span, the Fever allow the third most free-throw attempts in the WNBA (22.8 FTA).
With that said, the Fever are a solid defensive squad. In fact, they rank No. 3 in defensive rating (97). However, this is where Wilson can exploit their weaknesses, especially given Indiana allows the fourth most paint points per game (36.2 PPG).
Although Wilson has various spots to shoot from on the hardwood, she thrives the most from the less than five foot range (68.2 %). She equally shoots from the 5-9 foot range, which she's struggled from this season (41.8 %). However, this may be a chance for Wilson to soar over this player prop.
Overall, opponents are shooting 57.2 percent from the less than five foot range against the Fever, and 36.4 percent from the 5-9 range. Now without DeWanna Bonner, the frontcourt has gotten a bit thinner. Same with the Aces, who need desperate help alongside Wilson.
Although Wilson's shot volume has been a bit volatile, she's averaging 12 FGA over the last three games. Coming off 34 minutes, I'm confident Wilson will continue to log heavy minutes, in addition to free-throw attempts.
Not to mention, the former South Carolina Gamecock standout loves to perform at a high level against the Fever. Over their last seven head-to-head matchups, Wilson has easily cleared 20+ points in six of them, averaging 25.4 PPG over those matchups.
GP: 12 |PPG: 13.8 | FG: 59.8 % | FT: 64.7 % | 3PT: 50 % | REB: 4.5 | AST: 3.9 | STL: 0.4 | BLK: 1.7
My second best bet for my SGP, I have Indiana Fever star Aliyah Boston to record over 7.5 rebounds against the Aces.
Averaging 8.1 rebounds on the season, Boston leads the Fever in that category by a mile. Now in her third WNBA season, she has a prime matchup against the Aces.
The Fever aren't an elite rebounding team, not are the Fever. Respectfully, the Fever rank No. 9 in rebounds per game (33.8 RPG), while the Aces rank No. 10 (33.1 RPG). Both teams are missing key frontcourt pieces. For the Aces, they continue to be without Megan Gustafson and Cheyenne Parker-Tyus. For the Fever, DeWanna Bonner will miss her fourth straight game.
Coming off 12-rebound performance in just 30 minutes against the Golden State Valkyries, we've seen Boston have some enormous performances on the boards. Soaring over 7.5 rebounds in 6/12 games this season, she's cleared this line in three straight games.
That said, the Fever rank second behind the Dallas Wings in second chance points per game (12.8). Not to mention, they are the leading paint scoring team in the WNBA (38.8 PPG). Fifth in second chance points per game (3.2 PPG), Boston can absolutely expose the Aces in this area.
There's no doubt A'ja Wilson needs help in the frontcourt, and the Aces Rank No. 12 in opponent paint points per game (38.2). Needless to say, I'm expecting Boston to be active down below today. It's safe to say this matchup is favorable considering the Aces give up the second most rebounds to centers.
Overall, the Aces are allowing 17.4 combined rebounds to forwards per game, and 7.5 boards to center. Kiah Stokes and A'ja Wilson make up the starting frontcourt. However, Seattle Storm's Nneka Ogwumike and Gabby Williams combined for 24 rebounds last matchup against the Aces.
In the previous matchup against the Lynx, Alanna Smith and Napheesa Collier combine for 19 boards against the Aces. Now with Caitlin Clark back on the hardwood, Boston has soared over this player prop line in six regular season games.
GP: 12 |PPG: 17.1 | FG: 41.3 % | FT: 70.8 % | 3PT: 26.8 % | REB: 1.7 | AST: 2.4 | STL: 1.0 | BLK: 0.1
My third best bet for today, I have Indiana Fever guard Kelsey Mitchell to record over 14.5 points against the Aces.
There's no doubt Mitchell has had an up and down season from a shooting percentage perspective. Shooting just 26.8 percent from beyond the arc, and 41.3 percent from the floor, Mitchell's scoring production is down a bit.
That's not to say she's one of the most speedy guards in the WNBA, and her ability to time cuts is unmatched. Now with Caitlin Clark back in the lineup, Mitchell can continue to thrive off-ball. That also includes in transition and at the corner three.
Coming off 16 points against the Valkyries, Mitchell is averaging 16.6 points over the last five games. Not to mention, she's soared over 14.5 points in 10 of 12 games this season.
The three ball may not be falling, Mitchell has shot a combined 6-32 (18.9 %) from beyond the arc over the last five games. However, she's made up for it in other ways. Over the last three games Mitchell has shown signs of life, shooting 47.3 percent from the field against the Valkyries, Sun, and Liberty.
The Fever's second leading scorer behind Caitlin Clark, Mitchell is a high volume shooter (15.3 FGA per game). With that, she's logged 31+ minutes in three of the last four games.
It's known the Aces have struggled defensively, allowing a combined 36.6 points to guards per game. Allowing the sixth most points to shooting guards, I think Mitchell is going to be key here. Last matchup against the Storm, the Aces allowed guards Skylar Diggins and Erica Wheeler to combine for 41 backcourt points.
I'm taking Kelsey Mitchell to score over 14.5 points today. The Aces allow the 11th highest field goal percentage among opponents (45.6 %), and the 10th highest 3-point percentage (34.6 %).
