It's game 2 of the WNBA playoffs, and there are two matchups to bet on tonight! Are you looking to bet on the best WNBA player prop playoff bets? If so, you are in the right place!
(Photo by Ian Maule/Getty Images)
Today, the New York Liberty (1-0) will host the Atlanta Dream (0-1) at home. Best of three games, the Liberty hold a 1-0 series lead. For the evening matchup, the Las Vegas Aces (1-0) lead the series over the Seattle Storm (0-1).
In this article, I've diligently researched my best player prop bets for today's matchup. Along with my analysis, you will find my three best predictions and player prop bets for the WNBA playoffs. Let's take a look at the WNBA slate for Tuesday, September 24.
With the playoffs underway, the Liberty are the heavy favorites to win the 2024 WNBA Championship at +125 odds. The Aces have the third best odds to win it all at +280 odds. The Dream have the highest odds to win a title at +100000, and the Storm, +9500 on FanDuel.
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WNBA Props For Tuesday, September 24
WNBA Player Prop Bet #1: Chelsea Gray
Chelsea Gray Season Stats
PPG: 8.6 | FG: 40.8 % | FT: 81.3 % | 3PT : 33.8 % | REB: 2.9 | AST: 4.9 | STL:1.3 | BLK: 0.7
- 6+ assists (+104 FanDuel)
If you've read my previous articles, this has been one of my favorite player props as of late. Today, I'm betting on Aces guard
Chelsea Gray
to dish out 6+ assists against the Seattle Storm for +104 odds on FanDuel.
There's one tip I wanted to share with all my readers when it comes to finding the best odds in the books. While over 5.5 and 6+ assists are essentially the same player prop, they have different odds. Although it doesn't happen often, every now and then you can catch the books sleeping. For example Gray over 5.5 assists is listed as +102 odds, while 6+ assists is listed at +104 odds.
While that may not seem that much, that's a dollar difference for $50 wagered.
Time and time again, I've bet hot on Gray's player prop lines, especially since the "point gawd" is fully healthy. With playoff Gray activated, there's a reason why the point guard ranks fifth all-time in playoff assists (272).
In game one, bettors saw the best version of Chelsea Gray we seen in quite some time. Finishing with 16 points and team high seven assists, it was Gray that truly kept this Aces team alive. Although she's shown some inconsistencies during the regular season coming off that injury, we know Gray's balled out against the Storm.
Why This Player Prop Can Hit the Over
Although Gray only averaged 4.9 assists on the season, I do believe that number is inaccurate, and the prop should be set quite higher. Overall, she's hit over this player prop in two of three games against Seattle, including six and seven assists back in June and July. Averaging exactly six assists in three regular season matchups vs the Storm, I love the odds, especially at plus money.
Known for showing emotions on the court, Gray didn't disappoint in game one. With elite court vision, it was Gray who came up with several weak side passes, recognizing defensive mis reads. We especially saw the two player connection between Gray and Alysha Clark. First, she passed up the trey ball to find Clark in the corner. And several plays later, Gray turned a Seattle turnover into a touchdown pass to Clark at the other end.
And what I love about Chelsea Gray, is her no look, bounce passes. There's a different feel in the air, and the playoffs are a whole new atmosphere. While the Aces want to take game 2, expect the offense to entirely run through Gray. By running the offense, Gray is the engine behind the offensive production. Don't let the regular season stats fool you, Gray has a post-season career 6.8 assists average in four seasons with the Aces.
One aspect that impressed me last game, was Gray's ability to stay patient and wait for the actions. Part of Tiffany Hayes success was in large part to Gray and her facilitating capabilities. The timing, the back door cuts. Gray, made sure to hit Hayes with the dime perfectly on time after a set screen. And the no look makes it impossible for the Storm to guard those baseline cuts.
Final WNBA betting prediction: Chelsea Gray 6+ assists (+104 FanDuel)
Off the bat, we saw the increasing chemistry between Gray and Hayes, along with A'ja Wilson. Tallying seven total assists, that was with the struggles of Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young. I truly can't imagine her assists total, once Plum breaks out of her shooting slump.
Overall, the Storm rank 4th in the WNBA with the least assists, and are known for shutting down the passing lanes at times. However, with Gray's history against them, the value is simply to good to turn this prop down. I'm betting on Gray to dish out well over six assists today.While every game is a must win, expect the Aces and Storm to battle until the end.
With that said, expect Gray to play heavy minutes. If you're betting on the WNBA playoffs, this is a prop that's worth a look today.
WNBA Player Prop Bet #2: Gabby Williams
Gabby Williams Season Stats
PPG: 10.3 | FG: 48.1 % | FT: 73.7 % | 3PT : 32.3 % | REB: 4.0 | AST: 3.7 | STL: 1.7 | BLK: 0.3
- Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130 FanDuel)
For -130 odds on FanDuel, I bet on Storm forward
Gabby Williams
to tally over 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists against the Aces.
Signed to the Storm in June, William's return to the WNBA was unlikely. That was until, Williams became the olympic hero for France. Leading her country to a silver medal, she was one one step away from forcing overtime against the USA. Truly an unforgettable olympic run, It's easy to see why the Storm were quick to resign her.
If you're betting on the WNBA playoffs, there's one aspect of this bet that I know. Although Williams only played 12 regular season games, one of them came against the Aces. In that lone matchup, Williams soared over the 23.5 PRA prop line, tallying 14 points, five rebounds, and five assists.
An extremely athletic and versatile player, it's Williams who's quickly earned her way into Noelle Quinn's starting five. Although Jewell Lloyd is back in the starting lineup for the Storm, it's unclear how healthy that knee truly is. With that said, Williams tallied 14 points, eight rebounds, and two assists in game 1. With a strong 37 minutes played on the court, it was encouraging to witness Williams with 15 total field goal attempts.
Given the Aces started a smaller guard lineup, Williams matches up well with Las Vegas. Always ready on the three-point line, Williams often took advantage of the Aces help defense. Standing at 5 foot 11, we know Williams will be all over the court defensively. And often times, defense turns into offensive opportunities.
Final WNBA betting prediction: Gabby Williams OVER 20.5 PRA (-13o FanDuel)
One reason why I love this player prop tonight is the sole fact that Williams put up 99 % of her stats before the fourth quarter. We all know the Storm scored an abysmal two fourth quarter points, which came from Skylar Diggins-Smith. Had Williams made one of her three attempts, or her teammates for that matter, her points and assist line could've finished much higher.
Tallying 24 PRAS in the last two matchups against the Aces, Williams has been a crucial x-factor for this Storm team. Soaring over this prop line in the last five straight games, Williams had a strong campaign to the 2024 WNBA season. At such a low line of 20.5, I love this prop for the points alone. Tied second in shot volume, the allowance for points is certainly there. Able to facilitate the ball at the point, Williams has a pretty decent rebound average. If you watch Williams play, she's always crashing the boards.
A speedy player, Williams is never afraid to shoot in the biggest moments, as we saw in the olympics. We saw Williams pull up against A'ja Wilson, that in itself should speak volumes. In a must win game for the Storm, look for Williams to be heavily involved in this game as much as possible. A true three level scorer, Williams can score anywhere on the court. When playing on ball, expect the Storm guard to be heavily involved in the high pick and roll actions.
WNBA Player Prop Bet #3: Betnijah Laney-Hamilton
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton Season Stats
PPG: 11.8 | FG: 45.6 % | FT: 90.6 % | 3PT %: 40.2 | REB: 4.2 | AST: 3.3 | STL: 1.1| BLK: 0.0
My last WNBA player prop of the day is a bit of a dice roll. However, I like it for the value. Tonight, I'm picking Liberty forward Betnijah Laney-Hamilton to score 10+ points against the Atlanta Dream. Similar to the last prop, Laney-Hamilton's point prop line is set at 9.5, which is going for -113 odds. For better value, I bet on 10+ points.
As we know, Laney-Hamilton is coming off knee surgery and isn't 100 percent fully healthy. However, she finished with exactly 10 points, on 5-10 field goal, and 0-3 three-point shooting. Playing 30 minutes, that was the most the Liberty forward has averaged since the end of August. Trending upward in minutes, I expect Laney-Hamilton to be heavily involved in game 2.
Overall, ten points isn't a lot, especially for Laney-Hamilton, who's averaged 11.8 points per game. Having the capability to take over games, it's unlikely that will happen. However, Laney Hamilton has a great track record against Atlanta, hitting well over this prop in seven of ten games against them. If you ask me, I think this prop line is set too low, especially for a player who has a career 13.8 points in 16 post season games.
With head coach Sandy Brondello inserting Leonie Fiebich into the starting lineup, that should benefit Laney-Hamilton. Often taking on the task of guarding the strongest opponent on ball, Laney will most likely have a size advantage once again against Atlanta. Known for her defensive prowess and offensive versatility, we saw the Liberty forward make some tough mid range buckets.
As we saw in a few transition plays, hooping alongside Fiebich should increase her points prop upside. Explosive in getting to the rim, Laney-Hamilton excels in creating her own shot, especially from mid-range. Able to score from anywhere on the hardwood, that makes this low set point prop much more enticing.
With three straight games with 10+ points scored, this prop soared over in 9 of the last 20 matchups. Expect Laney-Hamilton to be an integral part on both ends of the court, as we've seen in last year's playoffs.
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