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WNBA Player Props (July 12): Best Bets, Odds & Predictions Featuring Marina Mabrey

Publish Date: Jul 12, 2026
Fact checked by: Matt Moreno
Key Points
  • Marina Mabrey has scored 21 or more in only six of her 25 career appearances against the Liberty. Her point total for today, however, is 20.5. Will she go over?
  • Arike Ogunbowale is averaging a career-low 13.2 points this season. She's also scored 14 or more points in 18 of her 21 career meetings against the Chicago Sky. Her point total today is 13.5 points.
  • NaLyssa Smith ranks 19th in the league with 6.2 rebounds per game. Will she go over 5.5 rebounds today, when the Aces host the Fever?

Four games for Sunday's WNBA card, with a pair of 3 p.m. Eastern tips opening the day, an early-evening clash in Dallas and the nightcap in Las Vegas.

The Seattle Storm and Washington Mystics meet in the CareFirst Arena in a game that will be broadcast on WNBA League Pass. The Mystics close a four-game homestand after a six-day layoff, hope to rebound from a 62-49 loss to the Golden State Valkyries on Monday. The Storm will play their third straight road game after stops in Los Angeles on Monday and Atlanta on Thursday. Seattle is also on a 2-0 ATS run, while the Mystics have failed to cover three of their last four.

Marina Mabrey Toronto Tempo WNBA

(Photo by Michael Chisholm/Getty Images)

The New York Liberty travel to Toronto to face a feisty Tempo squad that will be hungry for a win after losing its last four. This is their sixth straight in Canada during a nine-game homestand. The Tempo and Dallas played before a record crowd in Montreal on Friday. The Liberty, who lost 90-85 in Minnesota on Saturday, have lost six of their last eight. Despite their skid, the Liberty have covered three of their last four.

A look at the late games

The Wings will host the Chicago Sky, who arrive in Dallas after Friday's 102-87 loss in Los Angeles. Tonight will be the Sky's fourth and final road game during a 10-day trip that ventured through Las Vegas, Phoenix and L.A. The Wings, meanwhile, continue to surge as they completed a four-game road sweep with Friday's win in Montreal. The Wings, who are 2-0 in the first two meetings with the Sky this season, are in on a 3-0 ATS win streak.

Finally, in a revenge spot for the defending champions, the Aces will look to avenge a home loss to the Indiana Fever inside T-Mobile Arena last Sunday. The Aces absolutely mauled the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday, and have now won two in a row and five of six. The Fever are also in off a win over the Mercury, Thursday in Phoenix, and have now split their last eight games.

Let's take a look at my best prop bets for Sunday's slate.

WNBA Player Props for July 12

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Here are the odds for Sunday's games (odds via FanDuel):

New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo

  • Spread: New York -6.5 (-118) | Toronto +6.5 (-104)
  • Moneyline: New York -290 | Toronto +225
  • Total: O/U 177.5 (-115/-105)

Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics

  • Spread: Seattle +5.5 (-112) | Washington -5.5 (-108)
  • Moneyline: Seattle +172 | Washington -215
  • Total: O/U 161.5 (-115/-105)

Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings

  • Spread: Chicago +9.5 (-108) | Dallas -9.5 (-112)
  • Moneyline: Chicago +330 | Dallas -450
  • Total: O/U 178.5 (-106/-114)

Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces

  • Spread: Indiana +4.5 (-112) | Las Vegas -4.5 (-108)
  • Moneyline: Indiana +148 | Las Vegas -184
  • Total: O/U 181.5 (-110/-110)
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Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Marina Mabrey OVER 20.5 points (-125)

Marina Mabrey answered a pair of uninspiring performances, scoring "just" 11 and 19 points in losses to Dallas to Golden State, respectively, with a 34-point showing in the rematch against the Wings. She's now scored 23 or more points in four of her last six games, bolstering her 21.2 points per game average. In 11 home games this season, Mabrey is averaging 22.3 points per game on .430 shooting.

Mabrey, who was named an All-Star, has shouldered the burden to lead the Tempo with veteran Brittney Sykes and rookie Kiki Rice on the shelf, scoring an average of 23.1 points over her last 12 games. Yes, she's scored 21 or more in only six of her 25 appearances against the Liberty, but 13 of those games she played secondary roles for the Sky and Sun. With Toronto depending on Mabrey's offense, she'll surely get more than 20 points today at home.

Arike Ogunbowale OVER 13.5 points (-122)

With Paige Bueckers and Azzi Fudd in the lineup, Arike Ogunbowale hasn't been under as much pressure as the focal point of Dallas' offense, which is why she's averaging a career-low 13.2 points per game. But her No. 1 target during her career has been Chicago, which she's averaging 23.4 points against over 21 games.

In the Wings' two games against Chicago this season, she's scored 23 and 12 points, but she's scored 14 or more in 18 of the 21 meetings. Ogunbowale snapped a scoring skid that saw her score an average of 7.4 points per game with a 20-point showing during Friday's 13-point win in Toronto. And while the Sky have the league's third-worst scoring defense (89.4 points allowed), that number inflates to 94.0 since June 11, fourth-highest in the league. Expect Ogunbowale to have another big performance against Chicago.

NaLyssa Smith OVER 5.5 rebounds (-146)

NaLyssa Smith has played against her former team four times, and never has she grabbed fewer than seven rebounds. In three of the four meetings she's registered 10 rebounds. With A'ja Wilson and Aliyah Boston dancing in the paint, neutralizing one another, it will leave Smith free to clean the glass.

Smith, who ranks 19th in the league with 6.2 rebounds per game, has cleared the 5.5 mark in just 7 of 23 games this season, but there's also last Sunday's loss to the Fever to consider, when the Aces grabbed just six offensive rebounds. Smith had one of them. She also had nine on the defensive end, where the Aces rank No. 1 with 27.2 defensive boards.

W.G. Ramirez is a veteran sports writer from Las Vegas and a Senior Staff Analyst at Ballislife Bets. Follow him on X at @WillieGRamirez.

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