WNBA Player Props Today (July 30): 3 Best Bets, Predictions & Odds For Wednesday

It's Wednesday, and there are three games on the WNBA slate!

Photo Credit: Getty Images

Last night's games didn't disappoint, and there was plenty of action around the league.

To start the night off, the Indiana Fever (14-12, 8-6 home) will host the Phoenix Mercury (16-9, 7-5 away) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. +135 moneyline underdogs at home, the Fever will continue to be without Caitlin Clark, who is nursing a groin injury. 2.5 games back of the Phoenix Mercury for the third seed, the Fever are fresh off a two-game winning streak.

Although the Mercury are 1-3 in their last four games, Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper, and Alyssa Thomas are all back in action for Phoenix.

Set to air on ESPN, tonight marks a WNBA Finals rematch between the Minnesota Lynx (22-5, 14-1 home) and the New York Liberty (17-18, 5-5 away). Their first matchup since the Liberty captured their first championship in franchise history, the Lynx are heavy 7.5-point spread favorites.

Today Marks a WNBA Finals Rematch Between the Liberty and Lynx

Coming off their first home loss of the season, Napheesa Collier and company get a Liberty team that's dropped two straight! Several players, including Breanna Stewart, Nyara Sabally, and Kennedy Burke remain out with injuries today.

For the evening matchup, Paige Bueckers and the Dallas Wings (8-19, 5-8) get Allisha Gray and the Atlanta Dream (15-11, 7-7 away). -170 moneyline favorites on the road, things got interesting in Atlanta last night to say the least.  Straight off a back-to-back last second loss against the Valkyries, the Dream get the Wings, who are coming off a stunning 92-82 victory over the Liberty.

WNBA BetMGM Betting Odds And Schedule For Wednesday, July 30

If you're new to the WNBA or have been a faithful fan, welcome! Last night, we went a perfect 3-0, and I have a 83-46 WNBA betting record this month. Up nine units, let's finish out the next two days dominant in the betting field!

Set to tip-off at 7 p.m. ET, the Mercury and Fever matchup will be shown on ESPN3. Additionally scheduled to air on ESPN3, the Dream and Wings showdown will begin at 8 p.m. ET. Beginning at 8 p.m. ET, you can find the Liberty and Lynx showdown nationally televised on ESPN.

In this article you find three player prop bets that feature a mix of veterans, and two MVP candidates. Places as separate bets within FanDuel Sportsbook, I did not parlay my picks.

Here are my three best bets, odds, and predictions for the Wednesday, July 30 WNBA matchups!

WNBA Best Bets & Player Props Picks For Wednesday, July 30

Player Prop Bet #1: Napheesa Collier

Napheesa Collier 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 24 | PPG: 23.5 | FG:  53.1 % | FT: 92.2 % | 3PT: 35.2 % | REB: 7.7 | AST: 3.5 | STL: 1.8 | BLK: 1.6

• OVER 21.5 Points (-113 FanDuel)

My first best WNBA bet for today, I placed one unit on Minnesota Lynx star Napheesa Collier to record over 21.5 points vs the New York Liberty.

You may see me betting on Collier often, and there's a reason why. Leading the WNBA MVP conversation, the former UConn Husky leads the league in points per game (23.5 PPG).

It's truly hard to fade Collier, especially today. Fresh off a 32-point, eight-rebound, and seven-assist performance against the Dream, Collier is showing why she's a top Defensive Player of the Year candidate. With six stocks (steals + blocks), she's soared over this player prop line in two straight games.

Since the All-Star break, Phee has been lights out, averaging 25.3 points and shooting 63 percent from the field. In addition to shooting 44.4 percent beyond the arc, she's led the Lynx to two victories since the break.

Is Napheesa Collier the WNBA MVP?

We can go ahead and ignore Collier's 19-point performance in the Lynx's 91-68 blowout victory over the Sky. Overall, she's crushed this player prop line more often than not, 17 times to be exact this season. Again, Collier was named the 2025 wNBA All-Star MVP for a reason.

Collier has a decent matchup with the Liberty, who rank third in defensive rating (98.5). Aforementioned, the Liberty frontcourt will be extremely thin with Stewart and Sabally out. Plus, Jonquel Jones has just returned from injury, and Emma Meesseman has not joined the team yet. Against Dallas, head coach Sandy Brondello started Jones and Isabelle Harrison in the frontcourt.

There's no question the Liberty still retain size with Jones standing at 6 foot 6. However, at 6 foot 1, it's Colliers elite shooting and footwork that makes her lethal.

Collier has an easier path tonight, given the absence of Stewart decreases much needed spacing and rim protection. Even so, the Liberty allow the fifth most points to forwards this season, and fifth most paint points in the WNBA (35.4).

Over the last four games since All-Star break, New York has been one of the least effective teams in the paint, allowing the second most points (40.5) next to Angel Reese and the Chicago Sky.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Napheesa Collier OVER 21.5 Points (-113 FanDuel)

Outscored by the Dallas Wings 42-38 in the paint last matchup, Sparks frontcourt duo Dearica Hamby and Azurà Stevens combined for 34 points the game prior. Given the Sparks scored over 50 points in the paint against the Liberty, Collier has a strong case to soar over this player prop tonight.

I'm not worried about minutes, unless it's a blowout, which I'm not expecting. Since the All-Star break, Collier is shooting over 68 percent from the field, and putting up anywhere from 12-18 shots since All-Star Weekend.

It may just be a regular season game, however, it's the first time these two teams will meet since the finals. This line is a tad low, and Collier will have something to prove once again against New York.

• I'm going with Napheesa Collier to record over 21.5 points today. Crushing this line in just two of the last 11 matchups against the Liberty, injuries change the landscape tonight. Plus, Collier is the top MVP candidate this year, very few teams have been able to contain her. 

Player Prop Bet #2: Brionna Jones

Brionna Jones 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 26 | PPG: 12.5 | FG:  50.2 % | FT: 73.5 % | 3PT: 25.7 % | REB: 7.4 | AST: 2.5 | STL: 1.0 | BLK: 0.6

• OVER 9.5 Points (-114 FanDuel)

My second best WNBA bet for today, I placed one unit on Atlanta Dream forward Brionna Jones to record over 9.5 points against the Dallas Wings.

Snubbed from WNBA All-Star weekend, Jones has cooled off quite a bit in the back half of July. This is mainly due to Brittney Griner's resurgence, and the fact the Dream have several talented moving pieces.

This line is a bit low, especially since Jones averages 12.5 points per game. If we analyze the stats, Jones  is averaging just 7.5 points in four games post All-Star. With that, her shot volume and minutes haven't been great.

Why Brionna Jones Can Soar Over This Plater Prop vs Paige Bueckers And The Dallas Wings

Jones has been hovering around 7-8 points, which isn't far off from this player prop line. Next, we have to look at the matchup.

Sure, the Dallas Wings have improved as of late, knocking of the New York Liberty. However, they rank tenth in defensive rating (106.9), and allow the third most points in the WNBA (86.4 PPG).

Under first year head coach Chris Koclanes, the Wings have utilized several various lineups, and went small against New York. While the starting five in unknown for tonight, the Wing's have vastly reshaped their frontcourt with Li Yueru and Lusia Geiselsoder. With the change, Tearia McCowan has seen limited minutes, and Myisha Hines-Allen has been coming off the bench.

Just last matchup, the Wings allowed Jonquel Jones to score 18 points, and Isabelle Harrison, 10. The matchup prior, Vegas trio A'ja Wilson, NaLyssa Smith, and Kierstan Bell combined for 44 points.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Brionna Jones OVER 9.5 Points (-114 FanDuel)

Jones has been consistent post All-Star break, which is something I look for when researching player props. Plus, she has another matchup against Dallas, a team she recorded 11 and 12 points against this season.

Given both teams haven't matched up since late June, rosters have changed, and last matchup detailed a poor shooting, low scoring affair for both teams. Tonight, Jones will face a entire new frontcourt for the Wings.

• I'm taking Brionna Jones to record over 9.5 points today. I think this line is too low given the matchup.  Whether Jones is there to cleanup or in transition, I'm expecting her to soar over this line. 

Player Prop Bet #3: Alyssa Thomas

Alyssa Thomas 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 20 | PPG: 15.7| FG: 52.7  % | FT: 67.9 % | 3PT: 0 % | REB: 8.0 | AST: 9.4 | STL: 1.5 | BLK: 1.1

• OVER 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130 FanDuel)

My third best WNBA bet for today, I placed one unit on Phoenix Mercury star Alyssa Thomas to record over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists against the Indiana Fever.

The books aren't projected a fairly high nor scoring game, with the total set at 166.5 points for both teams. Either way, I'm expecting Alyssa Thomas to be heavily involved in tonight's matchup.

The engine and leader of any team she's on, sure the Fever will once again be without Caitlin Clark. However, the books are expecting this game to be fairly competitive.

Why Alyssa Thomas Should Be Considered For MVP

If we look at the stats, Thomas is coming off two monstrous performances against the Liberty and Mystics. Flirting with triple-doubles, Thomas has recorded two straight double-doubles, and has eclipsed 40+ PRASs in two consecutive games (43.5 average PRA).

Even without Clark, there's very few players in the WNBA that can stop Thomas, especially coast to coast in transition, Considered a point forward, the Fever allow the fourth most points to forwards. What they excel at is shutting down passing lanes.

Whether a member of the Connecticut Sun or Phoenix Mercury, I'm not fading Thomas here. She's currently second in the MVP race and historically has performed extremely well against Indiana. In fact, dating back to last season Thomas is averaging 36 PRAs over the last six matchups with the Fever.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Alyssa Thomas OVER 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130 FanDuel)

We know Thomas is going to score, and with the assist part, look at the talent in Phoenix. Satoun Sabally, Kahleah Copper, DeWanna Bonne—that doesn't include the bench and role players! With Clark out the Fever are 6-7 without her, and have suffered on both ends of the court at times.

• I'm taking Alyssa Thomas to record over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists today. Putting together a career-year in Phoenix, this is a strong player prop bet.