WNBA Player Props Today: 3 Best WNBA Best Bets and Odds June 11

It's Wednesday, and there are three Commissioner's Cup games on the WNBA slate tonight! Gear up, bettors—there are three highly anticipated matchups!

(Photo by David Becker/NBAE via Getty Images)

First, the Los Angeles Sparks (3-7) will face off against the Las Vegas Aces (4-3) on the road. Massive -10.5 point spread favorites, the Aces are 1-0 against the Sparks this season.

Former UConn standout and rookie Paige Bueckers is set to return to the Dallas Wings (1-9) tonight. 7.5 point spread underdogs, the Wings will square off against the Phoenix Mercury (6-4) in the Valley.

In the Emerald City, the Seattle Storm (5-4) will host Napheesa Collier and the Minnesota Lynx (9-0) at home. Undefeated at 9-0 on the season, the Lynx are 4.5 point spread favorites on the road.

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BetMGM WNBA Betting Odds And Schedule For Wednesday, June 11

If you're looking to bet on the WNBA and support women's sports, welcome!

All three matchups are slated to tip-off at 10 p.m. ET, and the Sparks and Aces showdown will air on CBSSN. The remaining two outings will air on WNBA League Pass and local networks.

In this article you will find my three best player prop bets and predictions for the June 11 WNBA matchups! It's important to note, I did not parlay my picks. All of my best bets have been placed within DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Let's take a look at my top picks and predictions for today!

Are you looking to bet on WNBA player props all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here. 

WNBA Player Props For Wednesday, June 11

Player Prop Bet #1: A'ja Wilson

A'ja Wilson 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 7 | PPG: 22 | FG: 46.1 % | FT: 91.7 % | 3PT: 25 % | REB: 9.9 | AST: 3.9| STL: 2.0 |  BLK: 2.4

• OVER 24.5 Points (-105 DraftKings)

My first best bet for today, I placed one unit on A'ja Wilson to record over 24.5 points against the Los Angeles Sparks.

There's no doubt Wilson is struggling as of late, shooting just 14-35 (37 %) from the field over the last two outings against the Valkyries and the Storm. And through seven games, Wilson's scoring production has much decreased from last season.

• It's unlike A'ja Wilson to shoot just 46.1 percent from the field.

Let's be real. Averaging 22 points per game may be on the lower side for Wilson, but we are talking about the most elite women's basketball player in the world. A 3x WNBA MVP, Wilson is the second leading scorer in the WNBA behind Napheesa Colllier.

The Aces have growing pains, especially with the arrival of Jewell Loyd and the departure of guard Kelsey Plum. At 4-3, this is still a decent team under coach Becky Hammon. However, there's been minimal offense outside of Wilson at times. This is something that bettors saw last season.

• In a nutshell, Wilson can't continue to lead this team by herself. The team's leader in points (22 PPG), rebounds (9.9 RPG), Assists (3.9 APG), steals (2.0 SPG), and blocks (2.4)—this signals a bigger issue on the offensive end.

Can A'ja Wilson Bring The Aces Back To Life?

This team is too talented to have this many offensive mishaps. Outside of Wilson, Jackie Young, and Chelsea Gray, the offense has been abysmal. With that, Young has struggled greatly beyond the arc.

A guard heavy team, there's minimal help in the frontcourt along side A'ja Wilson offensively. Kiah Stokes is not an offensive player, and Liz Kitley is back from an ACL injury.

• Until Megan Gustafson is back, I expect A'ja Wilson to carry this team as a whole, especially in the front court.

Aside from Wilson, the Aces top seven point producers are considered guards. Even with that, Wilson leads the Aces with 16.4 field goal, and 6.9 free-throw attempts per game.

Scoring 25+ points twice this season, we've seen Wilson explode for 31, 22, and 35 points against the Liberty, Sun, and Sparks. Let's not forget the Valkyries are a gritty team behind Natalia Nakase, former assistant head coach for the Aces.

• There's thing I know—A'ja Wilson has historically dominated against the Sparks. In their first outing of the season, Wilson added 35 points and 13 rebounds. Logging 36 minutes she shot 12-18 from the field, 1-3 from deep, and 10-10 from the charity stripe.

Why A'ja Wilson Can Soar Over This Player Prop

The Jewell Loyd experiment hasn't looked great in Vegas, and that's not to say the Sparks haven't had their struggles. Under head coach Lynne Roberts, the Sparks rank No. 10 in defensive rating, allowing 84.2 points per game. Not to mention, they are one of the least efficient team on the rebounds (32.4 RPG).

• While Wilson can shoot from anywhere on the court, she's shooting 72.2 percent from less than five feet from the basket. Ironically, opponents are shooting 62.9 percent from that area. That's where A'ja thrives, and where I think she'll succeed against LA today.

In addition, teams are shooting 62.9 percent from 5-9 feet, which is another area here Wilson thrives. The Aces may produce the least points in the paint with 28.9 points per game—however, the Sparks allow 34.8 paint points per game.

It's not sustainable for Wilson to continue to carry this team all 44 games. However, Wilson should have continue success, even with Rickea Jackson back in the lineup.

• Overall, this is a Sparks team that's allowing a combined 36.2 points to forwards, and 13.4 points to centers. Sure Dearica Hamby and Azura Stevens are forces down below, but this is a team that was on a 23-2 run.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: A'ja Wilson OVER 24.5 Points (-105 FanDuel)

Right now, the Aces hardly mimic a team that defeated the Sparks by 15 points just a few weeks ago. For Wilson, she's soared over this line in four straight games against the Sparks, averaging 33.8 points per game over that span.

In fact, Wilson has scored 30+ points all all four head-to-head matchups against LA dating back to last season. Given she had three offensive rebounds in their first matchup—This is a Sparks team that allows the most second chance points in the WNBA with 11.5 per game.

Without Cam Brink, this is a Sparks team that's had difficulty containing forwards this year. Satou Sabally (24) and Napheesa Collier (23) are just a few players that have recorded over 20 points against the Sparks.

• I'm taking A'ja Wilson to record over 24.5 points tonight. Although Wilson may not be able to fix it all, she's due for a bounce back game. Forwards are shooting a combined 45.9 percent against the Sparks this season. Plus, they allow 8.0 free-throw attempts to that position alone. At least 8-10 points can be produced from the free-throw line from Wilson. 

Player Prop Bet #2: Kayla McBride

Kayla McBride 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 5 | PPG: 17| FG: 94.7 % | FT: 81.8 % | 3PT: 54.8 % | REB: 3.4 | AST: 4.0| STL: 1.6 |  BLK: 0

• OVER 17.5 Points + Assists (-122 FanDuel)

My second best bet for today, I placed one unit on Minnesota Lynx guard Kayla McBride to record over 17.5 points and assists against the Seattle Storm.

The Lynx are a 9-0 on the season, and McBride has been a crucial part of the team's success. Kayla McBride isn't just a WNBA player—she was one of the best in Unrivaled, and plays basketball (overseas) nearly year round.

• Now in her 12th WNBA season, McBride is averaging the most points per game (17) since the 2018 season as a member of the Las Vegas Aces (18.2 PPG).

Under coach Cheryl Reeve, she's shooting a career-best 53.2 percent from the field, and 54.8 percent from beyond the arc. Second behind Kennedy Burke with the highest 3-point percentage in the WNBA—McBride ranks top ten in field goal percentage. Mind you, she's played just five games!

I truly believe the books are sleeping on this line, and a majority of this player prop total can come from points alone. McBride is a three-level scorer, not just a sharpshooter. Aggressive in getting downhill, McBride is averaging 3.8 free-throw attempts per game.

• Recording 15+ points in four of five games this season, I expect this line to increase as the day goes on. With 10 assists in the last two games, we saw McBride have a complete game against a stingy defensive Mercury team with 13 points and 7 assists.

Why Lynx guard Kayla McBride Is One Of The Most Underrated In The WNBA

McBrides first game of the season ironically came against Seattle, where she recorded 15 points and three assists. Logging 31 minutes, McBride shot 4-8 from the field, and 3-6 from downtown. Since, her shot volume has dramatically increased, especially from the 3-point line.

Coming off 10 3-point attempts against the Wings, McBride has 15 attempts beyond the arc over the last two games. She's the Lynx second leading scorer for a reason behind Collier.

• Amongst a team with a ton of depth, McBride only averages 9.4 field goal attempts per game. It's her impeccable percentages and shooting versatility that makes me love this prop.

Today, McBride and company get the Storm, who are a much better team than their last opponent, the Wings. Seattle is knocking on the door, sitting behind the Lynx in the Commissioner's Cup standings at 2-1. I expect this to be a close game, and with that, I expect McBride to be heavily involved.

At 5-4, the Storm possess a ton of talent, but have their fair share of inconsistencies this season. With Skylar Diggins and Erica Wheeler in the backcourt, this is a Storm team that allows a combined 41.8 points to guard this season. It's important to point out, guards are shooting a combined 39.3 percent from the field, and 33.6 percent beyond the arc against Seattle.

• No. 7 in defensive rating, this is a Storm team that allows 78.8 points per game. This certainly won't be a walk in the park for McBride. However, guards are averaging 10.6 assists per game against the Storm this year.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Kayla McBride OVER 17.5 Points + Assists (-122 FanDuel)

We already saw how McBride faired in her first debut against the Storm. With more games under her belt, she's soared over this player prop line in five straight games dating back to last season. Mind you, in her debut against Seattle, she has just once practice under her belt.

If we go all the way back to June of 2024, McBride has recorded over 17.5 points and assists in 6/7 head-to-head matchups against the Storm. Over that span, that's an average of 20.6 points and assists.

Although Jessica Shepard plays a much different position than McBride, her absence (Eurobasket) should boost McBride from a betting perspective.

• I'm taking Kayla McBride to record over 17.5 points and assists today. With a thin spread of 4.5 points, I'm expecting McBride to play full minutes against Seattle. Logging 33+ minutes in three games this season, McBride is averaging 22.3 points and assists when logging that many minutes. 

Player Prop Bet #3: Satou Sabally

Satou Sabally 2025 WNBA Stats

GP: 10 | PPG: 20.5 | FG: 39.9 % | FT: 80.3 % | 3PT: 25 % | REB: 7.7 | AST: 3.0| STL: 1.7 |  BLK: 0.6

• OVER 21.5 Points (-108 FanDuel)

My third best bet for today, I placed one unit on Phoenix Mercury star Satou Sabally to record over 21.5 point. What better way to erupt against her former team—the Dallas Wings.

• There's no doubt Satou Sabally is having an incredible season, averaging a career-high in points (20.5 PPG) in her first season with the Mercury. Of course, that's been without Alyssa Thomas, Natasha Mack, and Kahleah Copper.

Although Sabally isn't shooting the most efficient (39.9 %), she's struggled from beyond the arc (25 %). Even so, she's the Mercury's leading scorer, rebounder, and is averaging 16.8 field goal attempts per game.

Without Thomas in the lineup, the shot attempts dip well below 10, with Lexi Held averaging 8.7 shots per game. With career-highs in scoring and shot volume, there's more reasons why this is a strong player prop bet for today.

Satou Sabally Has A Prime Matchup Against Her Former Team—The Dallas Wings

Alyssa Thomas and Mack are both probable for tonight, which could mean limited minutes under head coach Nate Tibbetts.

Even so, Sabally is coming off a 30 minute performance, in which she recorded 22 points on 7-20 field goal shooting against the Seattle Storm. Over the last four games, Sabally is averaging 17 shot attempts! Not to mention, she's had an average of 4.8 looks beyond the arc over that span.

If anything, Thomas's return would boost Sabally, given her exceptional ability to run the offense and facilitate the rock. In five games with Thomas in the lineup, Sabally erupted for back-to-back 26 and 24- point performances against the Storm and Sparks.

• Soaring over 22 points in three games this season, this is a Commissioner's Cup matchup. That means point differential counts. 2-2 in the Western Conference Cup standings, the Mercury trail the Storm and Lynx.

Shooting 7-20 isn't great, and Sabally is shooting 36.4 percent from the field this month. While that concerns me a bit, we have to analyze the matchup. This is a Wings team, who's just 1-9 on the season. With Myisha Hines-Allen and NaLyssa Smith named starters in the frontcourt, Dallas is without center Teaira McCowan tonight (Eurobasket).

With that said, I do expect Maddy Siegrist and Luisa Geiselsoder to see increased playing time tonight.

Final WNBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Satou Sabally OVER 21.5 Points (-108 FanDuel)

Although the Mercury run a "positionless" type system, there's no doubt the Wings have struggled under first year head coach Chris Koclanes. Ranked No. 11 in defensive rating, this is a Wings team that allows 88.1 points per game.

With that, Dallas allows opponents to shoot the rock 38.3 percent from beyond the arc, and 46.3 percent from the field. Overall, they are giving up a combined 33.3 points to forwards this season.

This should be an easier matchup for Sabally, given forwards are shooting 48.5 percent against the Wings this year. Fifth in scoring, Sabally is an extremely versatile scorer. This is a Dallas team that ranks no. 8 in paint points per game with 35.6.  In addition, they allow the most second chance points per game with 13.

• I'm taking Satou Sabally to record over 21.5 points today against her former team. For nearly plus money, Dallas has been atrocious against forwards. In their last matchup, Napheesa Collier erupted for 28 points agains the Wings. In the matchup prior, Sparks Dearica Hamby and Azura Stevens combined for 41 frontcourt points.