
It's Sunday, and the WNBA is back! With Commissioner's Cup games underway, there are two matchups scheduled on the slate today!
(Photo by Geoff Stellfox/Getty Images)
The Connecticut Sun (2-6, 1-3 away) will face off against the Washington Mystics (3-6, 2-2 home) on the road this afternoon. 1-1 in the cup standings, Connecticut is fresh off a gritty 84-76 gritty victory over the Atlanta Dream—just one game after conceding to the Liberty by a historical 48 points. +7.5 point spread underdogs, the Sun will face the Mystics. Although Washington was off to a hot start, Kiki Iriafen and company are riding a three-game skid. 0-2 on the cup standings, the Mystics will meet with the Sun for the second time this season.
For the late showdown, the Minnesota Lynx (8-0, 4-0 away) and Dallas Wings (1-8, 0-4 home) will square up for the third time this season in Arlington. The reigning Commissioner's Cup Champions, the Lynx, are heavy -10.5 point spread favorites on the road. With just one victory on the season, rookie Paige Bueckers is probable with an illness after missing three consecutive games in concussion protocol. Riding a four-game losing streak, the Wings dropped two of those by double-digits or more.
Team vs Team | Moneyline | Spread | Totals |
---|---|---|---|
Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics | +240 / -300 | +7.5 / - 7.5 | O/U 156.5 |
Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings | -600 / +425 | -10.5 / +10.5 | O/U 169.5 |
If you're looking to bet on WNBA props this Sunday, welcome!
The Sun and Mystics matchup is set to tip-off at 3 p.m. ET at CareFirst Arena, located in Washington, DC. The Lynx and Wings will face off at 4 p.m. ET at College Park Center.
Let's take a look at my three best player prop bets and predictions for the June 8 WNBA matchups! Gear up bettors, we are in for an exciting afternoon!
I've placed all three of my best bets within FanDuel sportsbook. I did not parlay my picks for today.
Are you looking to bet on WNBA player props all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here.
GP: 8 | PPG: 16.5 | FG: 45.9 % | FT: 81.8 % | 3PT: 33.3 % | REB: 5.0 | AST: 1.8| STL: 1.0 | BLK: 0.3
My first best bet for today, I placed one unit on Connecticut Sun center Tina Charles to record OVER 21.5 points and rebounds against the Washington Mystics.
Over the course of her career, Charles has been one of the most consistent players in the WNBA. With that, she's coming off a 19-point, 4-rebound performance against her former team, the Atlanta Dream.
Despite Mabrey's season high of 34 points, Charles had 10 first half points alone. Sensational on both ends of the court, no one on the Dream could stop her. Coast to coast and in the paint, it's that classic Tina Charles mid range off one-leg. Taking advantages of several mismatches, she bullied both Griner and Jones in the paint. With Olivia Nelson-Ododa limited to just 12 minutes after an injury, Charles took charge.
Today, Olivia Nelson-Ododa remains questionable with an ankle injury. If she can't lace up, expect Charles to lead a thin front court that includes Haley Peters, Aneesah Morrow, and Kariata Diaby. In fact, rookie Rayah Marshall remains out with an ankle injury.
I'm confident in this prop given Charles is averaging 13.9 field goal attempts, and 4.1 trips to the charity stripe per game. Soaring over this prop line in four games this season, we already saw how efficient Charles's was against Washington.
There's no doubt the Mystics have some frontcourt depth with the return of Shakira Austin and Aaliyah Edwards. Having a historical season, Sydney Johnson continues to pair Kiki Iriafen and Stefanie Dolson in the starting lineup. With Austin ramping up in minutes, it's unclear where Edwards currently fits in this rotation (minutes wise).
The Mystics have surprisingly been a decent middle of the road team when it comes in defense. Second in perimeter defense, the Mystics rank No. 7 in defensive rating. Allowing 80.8 points per game, there are some weaknesses when it comes the defensive side of things.
Last game, Breanna Stewart, of the Liberty, erupted for 26 points and 11 rebounds alone. Against Phoenix, Sabally recorded 12 points and nine rebounds. In the season opener, Brionna Jones and Brittney Griner combined for 34 points and 18 rebounds!
Over their three game skid, the Mystics are allowing opponents to shoot 45.2 percent from the field, and 33 percent beyond the arc. Over that span, they allow the most trips to the charity stripe in the WNBA with 24.3.
From a rebounding perspective, the Mystics allow 33.2 rebounds per game, yet opponents are grabbing 8.4 boards on the offensive end. Although Charles rebound production has significantly declined from previous years (5.0 RPG), the most she had was 10—which came against the Mystics in the Sun season opener.
Overall, it's the first time Charles will face Austin for extended minutes, and Edwards for the first time. We've seen Kiki Iriafen hold her own against A'ja Wilson and some of the WNBA greats. How will she fair tonight against Charles?
GP: 9| PPG: 14.9 | FG: 51 % | FT: 84.2 % | 3PT: 0 % | REB: 9.9 | AST: 0.9 | STL: 0.3 | BLK: 0.1
My second best bet for today, I placed one unit on Washington Mystics Kiki Iriafen to record over 13.5 points against the Connecticut Sun for +100 odds!
Recently named WNBA Rookie of the Month in May, Iriafen is off to a blazing start. New York Liberty head coach Sandy Brondello already stated "she may be a better pro than she was in college." Whether the verdict is still out on that, Iriafen has made history in the first nine games of her professional career.
Although the Mystics conceded to the Liberty, 87-78 last games, Iriafen was one of the bright spots for Washington. Scoring 17 points in 18 minutes, Iriafen grabbed nine boards against an elite Liberty team.
Shakira Austin's return may impact Iriafen, who logged the least amount of minutes against New York with 18. Logging 27.1 minutes on the season, it will be interesting how the Mystics frontcourt situation plays out.
Regardless, Iriafen has been consistent for the Mystics, which is something I look for when betting on player props. The Mystics second leading scorer, Iriafen leads the team with 9.9 rebounds per game. Plus, she's averaging 11.1 field goal and 4.2 free-throw attempts per game.
No. 3 in WNBA total rebounds behind Angel Reese and Jonquel Jones, Iriafen additionally ranks third in offensive boards per game (3.2 ORPG).Now she faces a Connecticut Sun team—in which she recorded 17 points and 14 rebounds in her second career-game.
I could be wrong, but I'm expecting a battle of the bigs between Iriafen and Tina Charles tonight. Given Kiki averages 9.3 paint points per game, the Sun allow the fourth most interior points per game! (36.8). If Olivia Nelson-Ododa is unable to suit up, the Sun may be in trouble.
Overall, Iriafen was a crucial x-factor in the Mystics comeback win against Connecticut in their first outing. With seven fourth quarter rebounds alone, Iriafen's second chance put back put Washington up late in the fourth.
Even with Charles and Nelson-Ododa, Connecticut is the least efficient rebounding team in the WNBA (30.8 RPG), and that includes boards on the defensive end of things (23 DRPG).
Soaring over this player prop line in seven of nine games this season, Iriafen has crossed this threshold against top tier talent. That includes A'ja Wilson and the Aces, Aliyah Boston and the Fever, and Jones/Stewart and the Liberty.
We are talking about a Connecticut team that allows the second most restricted area points. With that said, opponents are shooting over 60 percent from less than five feet.
GP: 7 | PPG: 11.6 | FG: 61.1 % | FT: 14.3 % | 3PT: 50 % | REB: 3.9 | AST: 2.6 | STL: 1.0 | BLK: 2.1
My third best bet for today, I placed one unit on Minnesota Lynx forward Alanna Smith to record over 13.5 points and rebounds against the Dallas Wings.
If you're a casual bettor, Alanna Smith is one of the most underrated players in the WNBA, and a crucial x-factor on the Lynx. Averaging 11.6 points per game, the Australian native is putting up 3.9 boards per game.
The Lynx are a dangerous team, and we saw Smith record 13 points and six rebounds in her only game against Dallas on the season. I do believe this prop can come from points alone, especially when Minnesota gets going in transition.
Soaring over this player prop bet in five of seven games, I truly believe the books are sleeping on this line—especially given the matchup.
In Paige Bueckers rookie season, the Wings have been disastrous on the defensive end. Allowing a combined 36.2 points per game to forwards, they are shooting 37.5 percent against Dallas from deep.
No. 11 in defensive rating (108.4), the Wings allowed Smith to shoot 5-9 from the field, and 3-7 from deep in their last matchup. The fourth leading scorer on the Lynx behind Collier, Kayla McBride, and Courtney Williams—don't sleep on Smith. We are talking about a player who shoots over 40 percent from above the break three, and Dallas allows the third highest 3-ball percentage in the WNBA (37.7 percent).
This season, we've seen Smith score the most from the restricted area, along with the above the break three. With that the Wings allow opponents to score 57.4 percent in the restricted area, and 31.7 percent from above the break three.
Smith has been fairly consistent, although she got lost with zero points in 26 minutes against the Valkyries. I believe she can soar over this prop from points alone, given she's recorded 13+ points in five of seven games. Although she's had just seven shot attempts over the last two games, Smith will have to capitalize off those threes in transition.
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