Greetings WNBA fans and bettors! Are you looking to bet on the best WNBA playoff player prop bets? Here at Ballislife, you've come to the best place.
With the semi-finals knocking on the door, there are crucial matchups between the Minnesota Lynx (1-0) and the Phoenix Mercury (0-1), along with the Indiana Fever (0-1) and the Connecticut Sun (0-1).
(Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images)
Although the slate isn't huge, I was able to compile and gather the best player prop bets with the best value. With two elimination games in sight, I expect to stay hot in the player prop department!
With an WNBA betting record of 167-139 on the season, I am up over 5 units on the season. In fact, I have, I have a betting record of 36-29 over the last month. With some exciting matchups ahead for today, let's break down my four favorite player prop bets for Wednesday, September 25.
WNBA Player Prop Bet: Diana Taurasi
Diana Taurasi Season Stats
PPG: 14.9 | FG: 40.0 % | FT: 85.7 % | 3PT : 33.3 % | REB: 3.8 | AST: 3.4 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.3
- O 1.5 3PTM (-160 FanDuel)
My first player prop of today, I'm betting on Mercury guard
Diana Taurasi to score over 1.5 three-pointers tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. If this is in fact her last career game before retirement, I expect Taurasi to go out with a bang.
And yes, that includes chatter with the refs. Although this prop is juiced at -160 odds, I do think the prop line is too low, and will increase. I have several reasons why I bet on Diana Taurasi to hit at least two trey balls tonight.
Mentioned in my previous article, I don't believe this will be as high of an offensive game between the Lynx and the Mercury. However, Taurasi was a monumental factor in their comeback in game one. Tallying 21 points, Taurasi finished the night on 8-16 field goal shooting (50 %), and 5-10 (50 %) from behind the arc.
- Even at the age of 42, the Mercury guard is the WNBA's scoring leader for a reason.
- And with that said, the UConn legend has three WNBA Championships under her belt, including 72 playoff games.
- With a career playoff average of three trey balls made per game, Taurasi has a lot to play for tonight.
After the Lynx victory, Napheesa Collier jokingly commented post game the Lynx "hope to end Diana Taurasi's career on Wednesday." Rightfully so, the Lynx ultimate goal is to win a championship and move onto the next round.
Whether that provoked Taurasi to come out blazing tonight, I do expect her to shine in what could be her last career game.
First of all, Taurasi is showing no signs of slowing down. Playing a complete 30 minutes in game one, she thrives in Nate Tibbett's system. As we saw time and time again, Brittney Griner is extremely effective in setting drag and flair screens for Taurasi in transition. Second on the team in field goal attempts, Taurasi took ten deep shots, which is a great amount of shot volume.
Final WNBA betting prediction: Diana Taurasi O 1.5 3PTM (-110 FanDuel)
Of her 21 points, nine of them occurred in the third quarter, where the Mercury outscored the Lynx 27-21. Three of five from deep in the third, there's one factor I do know. Diana Taurasi thrives in the moment.
Although the Lynx have the best opponent three-point percentage in the WNBA (30.1 %), Taurasi tallied at least two three-pointers in 50 percent of the games against Minnesota this year.
- While I was inclined to take her points and rebounds, I simply can't ignore this prop.
- Set at 1.5, Taurasi has a season average of 2.4 made threes, on 7.2 attempts per game.
Tonight, I'm betting on the goat to pull several above the break threes, especially in transition. While I don't believe the Mercury can repeat their offensive performance, I don't think asking for 2 three-pointers is a lot.
With Griner pretty much obsoltete against Minnesota, expect Taurasi to step up. In a must win, the Mercury don't have much backcourt depth, especially with Rebecca Allen and Charisma Osbourne out.
With seven made three-pointers in the last two games against Minnesota, Taurasi has at least two made treys in the last five matchups. It's a safe, lovable bet for today.
WNBA Player Prop Bet: Alyssa Thomas
Alyssa Thomas Season Stats
PPG: 10.6 | FG: 50.9 % | FT: 62.8 % | 3PT : 0.0 % | REB: 8.4 | AST: 7.9 | STL: 1.6 | BLK: 0.5
- To record a double-double (-140 FanDuel)
With the semi-finals on the line, I'm betting on Connecticut Sun point forward
Alyssa Thomas
to record a double-double for -140 odds on FanDuel. Truly the engine of this team, I expect Thomas to have a colossal game against the Fever. Although her points production has dipped slightly this season, don't let that fool you.
- Thomas finished with a triple-double in game one, with 12 points, 10 rebounds, and 13 assists.
A large part of the Sun's success, I'm loving this prop for today.
As we know, the Fever struggle defensively, which we saw in game one. Points surely won't be an issue for Thomas, who tallied 10+ in four of the five regular season WNBA matchups against the Fever.
- Although Caitlin Clark is an offensive mastermind, she has struggled defensively at times.
- With a favorable size matchup over Clark, Mitchell, and Hull, we saw Thomas plow through the basket time and time again.
Whether it's rebounds or assists, Thomas was everywhere on the court in game one. Allowing the fourth most assists per game (21.4), Thomas success will be contingent on her teammates success. While I mentioned I expect less offense from Connecticut, the odds are high for Thomas to record a double-double.
Final WNBA betting prediction: Alyssa Thomas to record a double-double (-140 FanDuel)
Over the course of the season, we saw Thomas have some colossal games against the Fever, especially early on. Tallyinng 18 points in July, Thomas indeed spoiled Caitlin Clark's WNBA debut with a triple double.
If Ty Harris is unable to suit up for today's game, I expect Thomas to take the reigns here. With 14 double-doubles on the season, Thomas is surely locked in.
How can we forget, Thomas was the first player to record a triple-double in the 2022 finals against the Aces.
- With a playoff average of 15.5 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 6.3 assists, she was a huge x-factor why the Sun out rebounded the Fever.
Shooting over 40 percent against the Fever, Thomas has a great rebound matchup with the Fever, especially the place they play at. Playing heavy minutes in game one (37), her shot volume is high enough on the points side (6-15).
I wouldn't be surprised if Indiana let Thomas blow right by them, especially since the guard doesn't take three-pointers.
Then again, can anyone on the Fever stop Thomas?
WNBA Player Prop Bet: Aliyah Boston
Aliyah Boston Season Stats
PPG: 14 | FG: 52.9 % | FT: 73.6 % | 3PT : 26.9 % | REB: 8.9 | AST: 3.2 | STL: 0.9 | BLK: 1.2
- To record a double-double (+130 FanDuel)
This prop is a bit of a stretch. However, I bet on Fever center
Aaliyah Boston
to record a double-double against the Sun tonight. With +130 odds on FanDuel, this is incredible value at plus money.
This is the sophomore's first playoff run, which she very well could collapse. However, Averaging 14 points and 8.9 rebounds on the season, Boston is coming off a 17 points, 11 rebound performance in game one. With Smith taking a backseat in minutes, it was all Boston in the paint.
- Recording just one double-double against Connecticut, Boston tallied 14 points and 12 rebounds in their 89-72 defeat back in June.
Again, that was a game where Smith's minutes where limited, and her production was abysmal. With Christie Sides formulating a small three guard lineup, Boston should have plenty of rebounding opportunities. This is especially because the Fever are facing elimination.
Overall, I'm not terribly worried about Boston's scoring, she's tallied 10+ points in three of four regular season games against Connecticut.
- As we witnessed in game one of the WNBA playoffs, Boston had success driving on Brionna Jones, which is not an easy task.
As a whole, Boston looked pretty solid in her playoff debut. I expect her to have a heavy presence in the paint, especially on the defensive boards. It won't be an easy matchup with Brionna Jones, however, we saw how she performed in game one. Facing elimination, expect Boston to nearly play the entire game and give everything she has.
WNBA Player Prop Bet: Natasha Cloud
Natasha Cloud Season Stats
PPG: 11.5 | FG: 39.7 % | FT: 82.6 % | 3PT : 30.8 % | REB: 4.1 | AST: 6.9 | STL: 1.4 | BLK: 0.6
- O 19.5 Points and Assists (-160 FanDuel)
My fourth and final player prop of the day, I have Mercury guard Natasha Cloud to tally over 19.5 points and assists for -160 odds against the Lynx. As we witnessed in game one,
Cloud
exploded for 33 points, 15 of which came in the second half. With nine fourth quarter points, it was Cloud that nearly propelled the Mercury to a victory.
- Although her production from a betting perspective has been inconsistent at times, Cloud as recorded over19.5 points and assists in four of five games, including 43 total in game one.
The Lynx are going to be tough to run through, and as I mentioned before, I expect their defensive clamps to be out on all fronts. Although it hasn't translated into much success, the Mercury have a ton of scoring options. With Taurasi and Copper at the helm, it's impossible to nearly guard all three. That's why I love this prop for today.
Why This Player Prop Can Hit The Over
Do I expect Cloud to repeat her incredible performance? Absolutely not. Finishing 14-23 from the field is outstanding in itself, along with 38 minutes. While 23 is a high volume of shots, I do believe that will decrease in game two. However, Cloud isn't new to the playoffs, and has made history.
If you're betting on the WNBA, do you remember Cloud's tenure with the Washington Mystics. In fact, she tallied 33 points and nine assists against the Liberty in the 2023 playoffs.
Making history, according to ESPN, Cloud is the first player in WNBA history to record two consecutive 30 point and 5 assist games. And with that, I don't expect Cloud to fall below this prop line tonight.
Final WNBA betting prediction: Natasha Cloud O 19.5 points and assists (-160 FanDuel)
Minimally, I love Cloud's 11.5 point prop line, which has hit in three straight games against Minnesota. Exactly her season average, the Mercury will heavily rely on Cloud taking part in the pick and rolls and getting downhill.
- While that mid-range jumper was truly unstoppable, it will especially be up to how Brittney Griner sets the screens.
I firmly believe the score of the game will dictate how Cloud produces from a betting perspective today.
Down 23 points, the Mercury had to create actions and plays in desperate times.
- Either way, I do believe Phoenix will trail the Lynx today, giving Cloud the opportunity to repeat her assist total.
With 18 total assists against the Lynx over their last two matchups, expect Cloud to at least have 7-10 assists on the night. Again, the key factor will be minutes played. Coming off a 38 point game, I don't envision Tibbet's resting Cloud for an extended period of time.
- In fact, when the point guard plays at least 35 minutes on the season, this prop soared over in 12 of 16 games this season.
Dating back to 2023, Cloud's cleared this prop in four straight against Minnesota. While I do believe 19.5 is on the lower side, the guard hasn't totaled less than 20 points and assists. In an elimination game, Cloud should more than hit the over on this prop.
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