WNBA Playoffs Best Bets Today: 2 of The Best WNBA Picks Today September 25

The WNBA playoffs first round continues, and we have two highly awaited matchups tonight! With the Las Aces Aces vs.  New York Liberty semi-finals set, bettors will watch both games unfold tonight.

Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

With tip-off set at 7:30 p.m. ET, the Connecticut Sun (1-0, 1-0 home) will once again host Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever (0-1, 0-1 away) at home. With their backs against the wall, the Fever ultimately face pressure to win, especially since the series is best-of-three.

Six-point favorites, the Connecticut Sun, are one victory away from advancing to the next round.

For the evening matchup, the Minnesota Lynx (1-0, 1-0 home) get the Phoenix Mercury (0-1, 0-1 away). Starting at 9:30 p.m. ET, the Lynx are one win away from advancing to the WNBA playoffs semi-finals.

In what could be Diana Taurasi's final career game, can Phoenix win the +350 money line straight up?

WNBA Odds Are Current As of September 25 at 8 A.M. ET

If you're looking to bet on the WNBA playoffs, in this article you will find the best bets and predictions for today. Providing a mix of spread bets. I've compiled the best odds from all of the sportsbooks.

Below are my two best predictions for the WNBA playoff games on Wednesday, September 25! If you plan on tailing, I've placed all of today's bets within FanDuel Sportsbook. All of the WNBA matchups on Wednesday will air on ESPN.

Are you looking to bet on the WNBA? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here. 

WNBA Best Bets For Wednesday, September 25

WNBA Spread Bet: Minnesota Lynx -8.5 (-110 FanDuel)

Game one between the Mercury and Lynx was one for the books! Quite a surprising sequence of events, the Lynx allowed Phoenix to put 95 points on them. Sneaking away with the 102-95 victory, it was Bridget Carleton who hit the cold blooded corner three for the Lynx.

If you're a bettor, we were all sweating out this game up until two minutes in the fourth quarter.

• Thanks to Alanna Smith's weak side block, that sealed the game for the Lynx.
• Overall, this is a Lynx squad that ranked second in the league in defensive rating.

To put it simply, under head coach Cheryl Reeve, this is a team that's held opponents to under 76 points per game all season. Truly, a good portion of their success has been the suffocating defense. With that said, I'm betting on the Lynx to cover the -8.5 favorite point spread tonight against the Mercury.

1. We can't forget, this Minnesota team completely erased a 23 point lead, which is a rarity for this team.
2. Outscoring the Mercury 56-42 at home, it was looking like a easy victory for the Lynx.

This is a perfect example how basketball is a game of runs, and why betting can be extremely tricky. However, I do believe this spread should be higher in favor for the Lynx, and I'll explain why.

Why the Lynx Can Cover The Spread

Sure, 8.5 points is a large spread, especially in the playoffs. However, this is a Mercury team that lost by seven points by totaling over 50 percent from the floor and the three-point line.

• Mainly fueled by Natasha Cloud with 33 points, nine of which came in the final quarter, along with Kahleah Copper.

If Phoenix lost by seven points with those incredible shooting percentages, I expect the point spread margin to be much higher. In fact, I expect the Mercury to come back to earth.

1. After all, this is a team that averaged 32.5 percent from beyond the arc, and 43.7 percent from the field.
2. In a nutshell, it's safe to say they over achieved in game one, and doing so against the best defensive team.

Rest assured, from a betting perspective, the Lynx won't allow 95 points again. While the Dallas Wings were the lone team to put up 94 points on the Lynx, this is the first time they've allowed 95 points all season. Limiting opponents to 70.6 points in the last five games of the regular season, I expect to see the defense come out with a vengeance.

Final WNBA betting prediction: Minnesota Lynx -8.5 (-110 FanDuel)

If you're betting on the WNBA today, the Lynx won the the regular season series against the Mercury 3-1, and finished with a 3-1 ATS record. With Phoenix scoring as much as 80 points in their lone June 7 victory, the Lynx had a +39 point differential over those four meetings.

In fact, that averages out to +10 spread per game for Minnesota. For that reason, I'm laying the points with the Lynx today.

With only five players returning this season, no one ever imagined the success the Lynx would have.

1. With defense in focus, Alanna Smith has been an incredible addition to Napheesa Collier in the front court.
2. As we saw in game one, Smith came up clutch in several defensive sequences down the stretch.
3. Second in the WNBA in steals (8.6), Courtney Williams will lead the Lynx in the back court.

Most of all, it's the Lynx bench that's additionally been stellar defensively. In four regular season WNBA meetings, the Lynx held the Mercury to just 72 points, on 37.3 field goal percentage, and 28.8 percent from beyond the arc.

In a must win game, expect Minnesota to pull away with the -8.5 spread. The Mercury are 8-13 ATS as underdogs, while Minnesota is 12-8 ATS as favorites. With 3o assists on 34 field goal attempts, lay the points with Minnesota today.

WNBA Spread Bet: Indiana Fever +6 (-110 FanDuel)

Today, I'm betting on the Fever to cover the +6 point underdog spread against the Connecticut Sun. Yes, we saw a complete domination by the Sun in game one. Defeating the Fever, 93-69, it was Connecticut's defense that was stifling.

1. By placing DeWanna Bonner on Caitlin Clark, Clark was limited to just 11 points, on 4-17 field goal, and 2-13 three-point shooting.
2. Holding the Fever to an abysmal 40.3 percent from the field, and 6-28 from three, I expect the outcome to be slightly different today.
3. Trailing the Sun 46-38 at the half, it was the Fever who kept the game relatively close, at arms length by the end of the second quarter.

An unfortunate loss,  Sun's Ty Harris suffered a nasty ankle injury on a three-point closeout. However, just tallying four minutes, it was Marina Mabrey who stepped up with a playoff career-high 27 points.

While the Fever have struggled defensively all season, we've seen it continue well into the playoffs. However,  I don't expect the Sun to shoot nearly 50 percent from downtown again.

In a must win situation, the Fever will have no choice but to put the clamps on. A tall task, the key will be stopping Marina Mabrey. With Bonner getting every shot she wanted the Sun finished with 22 points, most of which came in the first half.

Why The Fever Can Cover The Spread

Although Sides opted to play Damiris Dantas, it turned out to be a great move. However, NaLyssa Smith will be the x-factor, along with Aliyah Boston for the Fever frontcourt.

2-2 ATS in four regular season matchups, it's clear the Fever are able to cover against the Sun. If Harris is unable to suit up, the Sun will be without their main point guard and perimeter defender. That means less bench depth from Connecticut. If so, Veronica Burton will have increasing minutes for Connecticut.

• Overall, we hit the green light with the Sun covering the spread in game one.
• However, the Fever are 13-11 ATS as underdogs, including a spread record of 11-9 on the road.

If you're betting on the Sun and Fever matchup, two of their four season matchups were decided by four points or less. Although those both happened on the Fever's home court, they've proven why they belong here. One of the top offensive juggernauts in the league, I expect them to push the pace. With that said, they must match it on the defensive end.

Final WNBA betting prediction: Indiana Fever +6 (-110 FanDuel)

Winners of the +4 and +5.5 against the Sun this year, I expect Sides to get Lexie Hull more touches, especially since she was limited to 1-4, and 0-2 from deep. Not a starter at the beginning of the year, Hull has become a crucial piece to the Fever's success.

5-0- against the spread over their last five road games, I do expect Caitlin Clark to struggle, as she has all season against the Sun. Whether Bonner or Dijonai Carrington is the primary defender, Clark only averaged 16.5 points, on 39.2 percent from the floor.

1. After all, we can't forget her disastrous WNBA debut against the Sun on the road.
2. While Clark may not score as much, she's an excellent facilitator.
3. What makes this Fever team so dangerous are the pieces around her.

The best offensive team since the Olympic break, I doubt the Fever will shoot as poorly in game 2. With only 19 career post season appearances, it's clear this franchise doesn't have the most playoff experience.

However, Kelsey Mitchell must shoot better than 2-10 from deep. If you're betting on the WNBA, Indiana missed a ton of wide open opportunities , the shots simply weren't falling. In an elimination game, I'll lay the points with the Fever tonight.