The WNBA Semi-Finals are right around the corner, and four teams remain in the hunt for a WNBA Championship. After an exciting first round of playoffs, the WNBA odds are available for the next round of matchups.
In this article, I've gathered all of the semi-final odds, spreads, and lines for the upcoming games.
(Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
With all four top-seeded teams completing sweeps in the first round of the WNBA Playoffs, I expect the Semi-Finals to be much more competitive. One of the most exciting matchups ahead is, ironically, a rematch of last year's WNBA Finals.
Favorited by -158 odds to win the series, the one-seed New York Liberty will face the four-seed Las Vegas Aces again.
- In a best-of-five-series, the winner of the Semi-Finals will advance to the Finals.
- While New York has home court advance for the first two matchups, this will be their toughest test yet in the WNBA playoffs.
- Yet to bring a Championship to the city of New York, the Liberty are the overall favorites to reach and win the Finals.
Two years removed from the WNBA Finals, the Connecticut Sun are back in the playoffs! With the third best record in the WNBA, the Sun are +166 underdogs to win the series against the Minnesota Lynx.
A classic two vs. three seeded matchup, the Lynx will have home court advanced for the first two games. Crowned Commissioners Cup Champions this year, Minnesota is a true threat to win it all. With four finals appearances in franchise history, is this the year the Sun win their first WNBA Championship?
Time is running out with the current roster. Therefore, a championship run is imminent.
The WNBA Semi-Finals Have Arrived
Overall, I do believe all four teams are extremely competitive, and it's highly unlikely bettors will see two sweeps in the Semi-Finals. When it comes to the WNBA Playoffs, it's anyone's title, especially the team who heats up at the right time.
- If the Aces once again win the WNBA Finals, they would be the first team to three-peat since the Houston Comets.
In this article, I will break down the WNBA Finals odds for each team, along with an elaborate preview of the Liberty, Aces, Sun, and Lynx.
If you're looking to bet on the WNBA playoffs, I will provide my best predictions for the WNBA semi-finals outcome among all four teams. Let's take a dive into the four remaining teams. All odds are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.
Are you looking to bet on the WNBA? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here.
WNBA Playoffs: Las Vegas Aces Vs New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
2024 WNBA Championship Odds: +280
2024 Record: 27-13, 14-6 away (Fourth Seed)
Coming off a back-to-back WNBA Championship, the Aces once again endured some adversity. With point guard Chelsea Gray missing the first 12 games of the season following an injury in the 2023 Finals, the Aces started off a strong 2-0.
However, this is a team that finished 2-5 from late May t0 mid June, and looked unrecognizable.
Back with the same starting lineup from last season, sure the Aces have endured some shortcomings. Throughout it all, there's been one constant, and that's been unanimous MVP winner A'ja Wilson.
- Often putting the team on her back, Wilson became the first player in WNBA history to record 1,000 points in a single season.
In addition, the franchise scoring leader, Wilson led the WNBA in points per game (26.9), blocks per game (2.6), offensive win shares, defensive win shares, and player impact estimate. The WNBA all-time stocks leader (steals and blocks), Wilson's been the Aces catalyst on the offensive and defensive end.
- Although Gray did return this season, it's clear the impact of injury had on the Aces point guard.
- As we learned, it doesn't matter what happens in the regular season, the playoffs are where it counts.
- And in the first-round series agains the Seattle Storm, playoff Gray was once again activated.
In a 2-0 sweep over Seattle, it was Gray who was looking like her old self. Although Wilson is the most important player on this team, wiithout a doubt, Chelsea Gray is the ultimate x-factor. Nicknamed the "point gawd" for a reason, Gray's unbelievable no look passes, court vision, and court awarenesss will be quintessential of a championship team.
Can The Las Vegas Aces Three-Peat?
Although the Aces suffered some rare losses throughout the season, they finished strong towards the back half. With a 5-0 record to finish the season, the Aces are as hot as any current team. Entering the Semi-Finals as +134 underdogs, the Aces have somewhat of an advantage over the Liberty.
Defeating them to win the Finals on their home court, Las Vegas gets another shot at defeating the Liberty on their home court.
- With the addition of pulling guard Tiffany Hayes out of retirement, guards Jackie Young and Kelsey Plum will be key players, who've been inconsistent throughout the season.
- Erupting for 29 points in the first-round against Seattle, Plum will carry that momentum into this series.
- Although the Aces drafted Kate "money" Martin as a rookie, look for Becky Hammon to heavily rely on her starting five.
- Aside from Hayes, the Aces don't have a ton of bench depth aside from Sydney Colson, Alysha Clark, and Megan Gustafson.
Not tallying a win in three meetings against the Liberty, I do expect this to be a highly competitive Semi-Finals. After all, the Aces have been here before. Although I counted them out last year, they have the talent and team chemistry to overcome any team.
New York Liberty
2024 WNBA Championship Odds: +125
2024 Record: 32-8, 16-4 Home (First Seed)
The favorites to win the 2024 WNBA Championship, the New York Liberty are the real deal. While I'm not saying they weren't a solid team last year, they are a complete team in several ways. If you're betting on the WNBA, the Aces burned out a ton of hopes and dreams last season.
However, New York is back than ever, with a vengeance.
Back in the playoffs for the fourth consecutive year, New York finished an WNBA best 32-8 on the season under second year head coach Sandy Brondello. Tabbed as the top seed for the first time since the 2015 season, the Liberty will retain home court advantage for the first two matchups against the Aces. With just four losses on their home court, this is crucial for New York.
- Coming off a 2-0 sweep against the Atlanta Dream in the first-round, the Liberty took care of business.
- Although game two was closer than anticipated, it was New York that had monumental third and fourth quarters to close things out.
Thanks to Sabrina Ionescu's career-playoff high 36 points, the guard propelled the Liberty into their second consecutive Semi-Finals. And for a team that fell short last year, New York has their sights set on bringing a championship to New York.
The New York Liberty Have the Best Odds To Win The WNBA Finals
Speaking of Sabrina Ionescu, the addition of her floater game, along with her confidence has been the difference maker for this Liberty team. Although her three-point percentage slightly decreased this season, the fourth-year guard averaged career-highs in points per game (18.2).
- From puking in the trash can from nerves in the finals till now, no. 20 will continue to be the ultimate x-factor for this team.
- Originally strictly a three-point threat, Ionescu added several layers to her game offensively.
- After the 91-82 victory over the Dream, Ionescu doubled down on her plan of attack moving forward in the WNBA Playoffs.
"Just continuing to kind of take what the defense gives me, while also just being assertive," said Ionescu post game. "Shooting the ball with confidence and continue to get downhill and drive and kick."
The clear leader of the Liberty backfield, there was a recent shakeup in the starting lineup. A candidate for sixth player of the year, rookie Leonie Fiebich has emerged as a legitimate threat for New York.
Replacing veteran Coutney Vandersloot in the starting lineup, Fiebich is an outside threat, who provides much versatility and length on the offensive and defensive end.
- Running a big lineup, New York has improved chemistry, talent, and now has more depth on the bench.
What makes the Liberty stand out from the rest is their poise and their bench depth. Having been kicked in the face in last year's WNBA Finals, this team knows what it will take to win this series. Although rookie Marqeusha Davis is unlikely to see minutes during the season, New York has depth in Kayla Thornton, Nyara Sabally, Courtney Vandersloot, and Kennedy Burke. Aside from Burke, Sloot, Sabally, and Thornton received crucial minutes in the victory over Atlanta.
While all of these players have been inserted into the starting lineup this season, it will be Thornton's defense, and Vandersloots veteran experience off the bench that will be a difference maker for this team.
Final WNBA Playoffs Prediction: New York Liberty will defeat the Las Vegas Aces in the Semi-Finals 3-2
Overall, I'm betting on the New York Liberty to defeat the Las Vegas Aces in five games at +125 odds. I know I should never bet against the reigning champs.
- However, New York posses a bigger lineup, which will heavily rely on Jonquel Jones and Breanna Stewart in the front court.
- While it comes down to how well can New York press on the Aces guards, Fiebich and Ionescu will be the ultimate x-factors when it comes to this series.
If you're an expert or new to the WNBA, we all know how incredible Plum, Gray, and Young can be for Becky Hammon and the Aces. Admitting the Liberty have a "scar," since last season, they were a top defensive team for a reason.
Although the Aces have improved post Olympic break, I'm taking the Liberty, who've shown they are the real deal on the defensive end, and present a much larger, depth worthy team. 3-0 against the Aces on the year, the Liberty at least have home court advantage for the first two games. If you're betting on the WNBA playoffs, this will be no walk in the park for either team. I expect this to go the full five games.
WNBA Playoffs: Connecticut Sun Vs Minnesota Lynx
Connecticut Sun
2024 WNBA Championship Odds: +650
2024 Record: 28-12, 14-6 away (Third Seed)
Time is running out for this Connecticut Sun team, who's been knocking at the door for years. Typically not a team to get a ton of press, the Sun simply do not care. One of the most elite teams in the league, Connecticut Sun is looking for their first ever WNBA Championship.
- Two years removed from the WNBA Finals vs the Aces, the Sun are entering the playoffs for the eight straight year.
- Although bounced from the Semi-Finals against New York last year, Connecticut has the highest odds to win a championship.
Under second year head coach Stephanie White, the Sun have what it takes to win it all. Although they don't present the most offensive production in each game, they were the top defensive team in the league. With a defense win championships mindset, guard DiJonai Carrington was recently named WNBA most improved player and all defensive first team.
Leading the WNBA with 28 votes, it's been Carrington who's The averaged career highs of 12.7 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1.56 steals this season, up from 8.3 points, 2.9 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 0.63 steals last year.
Can The Conneticut Sun Reach The Finals As Underdogs?
The Sun are coming off a 2-0 sweep over the Indiana Fever, which was fueled by veterans DeWanna Bonner and Alyssa Thomas. Although guard Ty Harris went down with an ankle injury, the guard remains questionable for game one against Minnesota.
One would think losing your top point guard and perimeter defender would cost them a series.
- Never question the Connecticut Sun, it was newly acquired guard Marina Mabrey, who totaled 44 points against the Fever.
- If you're betting on the WNBA, this is a Sun team that held the Fever to less than 30 percent from downtown in both first-round playoff games.
- A menace on the defensive end, this is a team that has a gritty, physical attitude.
Under coach White, bettors cannot count the Sun out, especially at +650 odds.
Although the bench has shrunk dramatically for the Sun, it will be up to Veronica Burton and Mabrey to fill the spot of Harris. With Olivia Nelson-Ododa providing some nice depth behind Brionna Jones and DeWanna Bonner, Connecticut will simply have to rely on their starting players.
Overall, this is a veteran team who's used to playing heavy minutes, especially in the playoffs. +166 underdogs to win the series, it will truly come down to the defensive side of things.
Minnesota Lynx
2024 WNBA Championship Odds: +125
2024 Record: 32-8, 16-4 Home (First S
It wasn't too long ago, I was present for the Lynx Commissioners Cup Championship over the Liberty in June. And I clearly remember head coach Cheryl Reeve blasting reporters for their pre season rankings. With only five players returning from last season, the Lynx exceeded expectations and beyond.
- One of the best in the business, Reeve and company were tabbed as the second best team in the WNBA.
Now, Minnesota heads into the Semi-Finals against Connecticut as favorites, and have the second best odds at +125 to Win the WNBA Championship. Following a 19-21 record last year, this team is the real deal.
Along with the Connecticut Sun, Minnesota remains one of the most elite teams in the WNBA. Behind coach of the year Cheryl Reeve, this team is potent on both sides of the ball.
- In large part to Napheesa Collier and Alanna Smith in the backfield, this team truly has what it takes to win it all.
With guard Kayla McBride having a career year, the Lynx have a ton of moving pieces. With Bridget Carleton and Smith candidates for most improved and sixth player of the year awards, there's several x-factors for this team. It truly all starts with Napheesa Collier, who finished with an MVP calliber season.
Minnesota Lynx Defense Can Push Them Into The WNBA Finals
Had A'ja Wilson not had the historic season she had, there's no question in my mind, Collier would've been in the running. A difference maker on both sides of the ball, she turned heads in the first-round of the WNBA playoffs.
- In fact sweeping the Mercury 2-0, it was Collier who tallied 80 total points in those two games. Those are elite numbers that you rarely see.
With all the talent on this team, I love the addition of Courtney Williams. Although not a true point guard at the helm, Williams has thrived in the role, becoming a key piece for Reeve and the Lynx. While she hasn't tallied a ton of minutes, the addition of Myisha Hines-Allen is an excellent depth piece for coach Reeve.
- Then again, it was Carleton with the cold blooded three, and Hines-Allen layup that sealed the deal for the Lynx in game one vs Phoenix.
Overall, there's very few holes in the Lynx team, especially on both sides of the ball. Mentioned before, adding Hines-Allen in the middle of a championship like season sealed the deal for me. One of the best benches in all of the WNBA Playoffs, I expect the Lynx to go far this year.
Final WNBA Playoffs Prediction: Minnesota Lynx will defeat the Connecticut Sun in the Semi-Finals 3-2
Overall, I do believe this will be one of the most defensive series you'll see in a long time between the Lynx and Sun. Sure, the Lynx allowed a ton of scoring from the Mercury, and almost gave away game one. And with that said, scoring will become more difficult on both sides.
That includes Collier, Thomas, and Bonner. Proven unstoppable, will Connecticut be the first to stop Collier? Can the Sun's bench match the Lynx? These are all all factors when it comes to the WNBA Playoffs.
Although the Sun won the regular season matchup 2-1 against the Lynx, they are down a player. Given the Lynx have a lengthy bench, I truly believe that will be the difference maker in this series. While I'm expected several under totals to hit, I'm taking the Minnesota Lynx to win the series at -198 odds on FanDuel.
I'll give the slight edge to the Lynx, who have the top defense in the front court.
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