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WNBA Predictions Today: Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever on July 17

Publish Date: 07/17/2024
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

The Dallas Wings look to snap a three-game losing skid while the Indiana Fever eye for its third straight win as both teams battle for supremacy this Wednesday, July 17, 2024 at the College Park Center.

(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever Predictions: WNBA Team Analysis

Dallas fought tooth-and-nail with the Los Angeles Sparks last Saturday before running out of steam in the fourth quarter and losing 87-81. Guard Odyssey Sims had 23 points while Natasha Howard contributed 14 points and seven rebounds for the Wings who only got 12 points from its leading scorer Arike Ogunbowale.

  1. The 27-year old Ogunbowale, who is averaging 22.2 points per game, struggled against the Sparks making just two out of his 15 shots from the field.
  2. Ogunbowale is expected to play with a chip on her shoulder against a confident Fever squad that is coming off an 81-74 road win against title-contenders Minnesota Lynx.
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Against the Lynx, the Fever used a 28-14 run in the fourth to score its second consecutive victory and 11th in the season. Both Dallas and Indiana have yet to face one another this season.

Let’s look at how bookmakers see this game playing out in this in-depth Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever sports predictions piece.

Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever DraftKings WNBA Odds for July 17

Moneyline

  • Dallas Wings: +154
  • Indiana Fever: -185

Spread

  • Dallas Wings: +4 (-110)
  • Indiana Fever: -4 (-110)

Over/Under (Total)

  • OVER 172.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 172.5 (-110)

Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever Injury Report

Dallas Wings Injury Report

  1. Maddy Siegrist – Left Index Finger – Out
  2. Satou Sabally – Shoulder – Out
  3. Jaelyn Brown – Illness – Out

Indiana Fever Injury Report

  1. Temi Fagbenle – Thumb – Out

Best Odds for Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever

  • The Dallas Wings and the Indiana Fever are among the best scoring teams in the league with the former ranking at seventh and the latter in fifth. DraftKings offers the best Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever odds for the over market at -110.
  • The Indiana Fever has covered the spread in seven of their 14 away games this season. DraftKings has the Fever to cover the -4 spread at -110.
  • The Dallas Wings have beaten the Indiana Fever in three of their past five regular season games. DraftKings offers the best price for the Wings to win outright at +154.

Why will the Dallas Wings cover the spread?

There is no sugarcoating it. The Dallas Wings are the worst team in the league. More often than not, when that happens, it’s hard to find something positive as far as betting angles are concerned.

Surprisingly though, there is something to like about the Wings heading into their matchup against the Indiana Fever – a couple actually.

  1. While both teams have yet to face each other in the regular season, they played once in the 2024 WNBA preseason where the Wings came up on top 79-76.
  2. Of course, the regular season is a completely different animal than the preseason. It is worth noting, however, that a full-force Indiana squad showed up against the Wings in the preseason.

The Fever even got a 21-point output from its generational rookie guard Caitlin Clark and it wasn’t enough to thwart the balanced attack of the Wings. Sweet shooting guard Jaelyn Brown led Dallas attack in that game with 21 points while Arike Ogunbowale added 19 markers.

With Brown out in their upcoming matchup against the Fever, the Wings will need Odyssey Sims to fill the void and carry the scoring load in the backcourt against the Fever.

Besides their preseason history against the Fever, the Wings are also one of the best shooting teams in the league, making 44.2% of their shots.

While the current Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever betting lines are justified, backing the Wings to cover the +4 spread at -110 provides significant value, especially if they start hitting their shots and force Indiana to commit mistakes.

Why will the Indiana Fever cover the spread?

The Indiana Fever heads into this match with plenty of confidence, especially since they just took down a big fish. Winners of three of their last four, the Fever unloaded a massive fourth quarter run to beat the short-handed Minnesota Lynx on Sunday and strengthen its grip of the seventh spot.

  • Court general Kelsey Mitchell exploded for 21 points to lead the Fever while Caitlin Clark and Aaliyah Boston added 17 each.

Like the Wings, Indiana is a great shooting team.

  1. In fact, they are the second best shooting team in the league, making 44.5% of their shots. But for the Fever to cover the -4 spread, they will need to take care of the ball.
  2. Indiana is among the worst teams in the league as far as turnovers are concerned and that is understandable, especially since they are fairly young.

If the Fever continue to hit their shots and take care of the ball at the same time, backing them to cover the spread offers a good value at these current odds.

  1. Indiana also has a decent ATS record away from home, covering the spread in seven of their 14 games.
  2. The Wings, on the other hand, holds the worst ATS record at home 2-8.

However, for the Fever to cover the spread, they will need Aaliyah Boston to step her game up against the Wings. In their preseason battle against Dallas, the 22-year old Boston was only limited to eight points in 31 minutes of action.

The good thing for Indiana, though, is Boston has seemingly regained her form in the past few games.

Final Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever Prediction: Over 172.5 (-110)

The Dallas Wings and the Indiana Fever are perhaps the most unpredictable teams in the league. With their ability to shoot the lights out, anything can happen in almost every game they are involved in.

Of course, the obvious choice here is picking the Indiana Fever to cover the spread and walk away with the victory but ever since their loss to the Washington Mystics last month, I can hardly trust them.

On the other hand, playing the Dallas Wings to cover the spread does make sense considering how their previous matchup played out. But that was in the preseason when most teams are still acclimating to the hustle and bustle of the league.

  • That being said, I am leaning towards the over in this game, especially with how teams are shooting the ball this season.
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