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WNBA Predictions Today: Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Betting Odds and Picks Today July 3

Publish Date: 07/03/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Dallas Wings and the Phoenix Mercury hope to snap their respective two-game losing skids as both teams look to settle the season series this Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at the College Park Center in Dallas, Texas.

(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)


After upsetting the Minnesota Lynx last Thursday, the Wings were unable to sustain its momentum dropping two straight double-digit losses to the Seattle Storm, with the most recent being a 24-point loss on Monday.

Crafty point guard Arike Ogunbowale had 21 points while Natasha Howard and Odyssey Sims added 15 and 12 markers respectively for the Wings, who were outscored by the Storm 34-13 in the third.

They will be taking on a Phoenix Mercury squad who is also coming off back-to-back losses to the Indiana Fever and the Connecticut Sun. The Mercury, which has dropped three of their last five games, beat the Wings 97-90 in double overtime last month.

  • Guards Kahlea Cooper and Diana Taurasi combined for 49 points while towering center Brittney Griner had 24 points, nine rebounds, and five assists to help the Mercury tie the season series at one apiece.

It can be recalled that the Wings blew past the Mercury earlier this season thanks to a 40-point performance by Ogunbowale. With the season series now tied at one apiece, both will look to settle the score as they battle one another in what could be a high-scoring affair.

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In this Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury sports betting predictions, we’ll find out how both teams look heading into the match.



  • Dallas Wings: +180
  • Phoenix Mercury: -218


  • Dallas Wings: +5 (-110)
  • Phoenix Mercury: -5 (-110)

Over/Under (Total)

  • OVER 166,5 (-110)
  • UNDER 166.5 (-110)

Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury Injury Report

Dallas Wings Injury Report

  1. Maddy Siegrist – Left Index Finger – Out
  2. Satou Sabally – Shoulder – Out
  3. Jaelyn Brown – Illness – Out

Phoenix Mercury Injury Report

  1. Diana Taurasi – Day-to-Day
  2. Rebecca Allen – Day-to-Day
  3. Charisma Osborne – Out

Best Odds for Dallas Wings Vs Phoenix Mercury

  • The Dallas Wings and the Phoenix Mercury have scored a combined average total of more than 167 points in three of their past five meetings. The best Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury odds for the over market is on DraftKings at -110.

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  • The Dallas Wings have beaten the Phoenix Mercury in four of their past five meetings. Bet365 offers the best price for the Wings to make it five wins in six games at +185.
  • The Phoenix Mercury beat the Dallas Wings by seven points earlier this season. Bet365 has the Mercury to cover the -5 spread at -110.

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Why will the Dallas Wings cover the spread?

The Dallas Wings have been having a forgettable season. After going 3-2 (win-loss) to start the year, the Wings have dropped 11 straight games.

But if there is one thing to like about the Wings this year is their ability to do the sensational and the spectacular all in one motion.

  1. A case in point is their 94-88 upset victory over title-contenders Minnesota Lynx last month to snap its 11-game losing streak.
  2. If that’s not good enough, they have also beaten the Mercury by double-digits earlier this season and it was in Phoenix too. Now, the Wings return home to take on a Phoenix Mercury team who has been dealing with plenty of injuries throughout the season.
  3. Mercury guards Diana Taurasi and Becca Allen were out for Monday’s contest against the Connecticut Sun after dealing with respective back issues.

Heading into their matchup against the Wings, Allen and Taurasi are currently listed as day-to-day, meaning they won’t be 100% even if they play on Wednesday. This is big for the Wings considering that Taurasi has been among the players that gave them headaches in their meetings this season.

  • In two games against the Wings, the 42-year old Taurasi is averaging 24.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.

With Taurasi’s health a concern for Phoenix, hammering the Dallas Wings to cover the spread looks even more attractive at these current prices.

It is also worth noting that the Wings have beaten the Mercury in four of their last five meetings with an average margin of 11.5 points, which is quite surprising considering where these teams currently are in the standings.

Why will the Phoenix Mercury cover the spread?

To say that the Phoenix Mercury have underachieved this season is an understatement. With plenty of talent surrounding center Brittney Griner, the Mercury should be better than where they actually are in the standings right now.

But injuries and off-the-court issues have hampered the Mercury’s rise this season with the team currently below .500 and fighting to keep the sixth spot in the standings.

  • Regardless of their shortcomings, guard Kahlea Cooper has been a bright spot for the Mercury this season averaging 21.8 points and 4.4 rebounds.

She will be once again the main woman for the Mercury heading into their match against Wings, especially with Taurasi’s injury status still up in the air.

  • But even if that’s the case, the 29-year old Cooper should have no problem carrying the offensive load, considering that she led the team in scoring in their two games against the Wings this season.
  • While the Mercury suffered a 15-point loss to this Wings team earlier this season, the former was able to bounce back by beating the latter last month in front of their home fans.

It is also worth noting that when Phoenix lost to the Dallas Wings earlier this season, the Mercury was without starting center Brittney Griner. With the 33-year old Griner in tow, the Mercury should be able to force the Wings into some tough shots, which is a key aspect to beating a Dallas Wings team that is currently the fifth-best shooting team in the league.

This was evident in their 97-90 victory over the Wings last month where the Phoenix Mercury forced them to only shoot 26.1% from the three-point country.

  • What’s even more encouraging is the dismal 2-5 ATS record of the Wings at home.

All things considered, picking the Mercury to cover the spread at these odds is something you might want to mull over, especially considering that the Wings have only won once in their past 14 games.

Final Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction: Over 166.5 (-110)

If there is one thing that these two teams have in common is they both love to put the ball in the hoop.

  • The Mercury is currently ranked fifth in the league in scoring at 82.4 ppg while the Wings are in seventh with 80.3 ppg.
  • This is why I am leaning towards the over 166.5 at -110 odds in this game.

I like the Phoenix Mercury to win outright too but considering how both teams are too unpredictable this season, I will be sticking with the over. It is also worth noting that both teams scored an average combined total of over 167 points in three of their past five meetings.

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