Women’s College Basketball Best Bets & Parlay Picks for February 12

If you find the men’s college basketball schedule unappealing today because it lacks ranked teams and brand names, that’s OK (but don’t overlook small schools). If you’d rather bet on ranked teams from big-name schools, look no further than our list of top picks for the women's schedule on Thursday.

Many of best women’s basketball teams are scheduled to see action today. There are so many of them, I’m going to organize it as “Best Bets” and “Parlay” bets to give me an excuse to include more games without turning this post into a Senate filibuster.

(Photo by Carly Mackler/Getty Images)

You can find all the odds I used in putting together this list of best bets and parlay pick at bet365.

No. 4 Texas vs. No. 5 Vanderbilt Prediction

If you watch one game, make it this one. Here we have two teams with two losses, both in conference and to ranked teams. Both teams have top-10 offenses, but one is more reliant on 3-pointers than the other (Vanderbilt, No. 4 in the country; Texas, No. 338). They play at roughly the same pace.

Texas is a slightly better shot (field goal %—50.5 to 47.4). Vanderbilt has a better effective field goal percentage (54.9 to 53.5). They are similar in so many ways, but there is one significant difference: Texas has an elite defense (No. 7, 54.8 points per game allowed). However, Vanderbilt’s defense is not bad at No. 156, allowing 63.2 points per game.

• Our Pick: Vanderbilt +9.5 at -115 (bet365)

Trust Vanderbilt's 3-point shooting Thursday

I am tempted to go with the moneyline (+400) because defensive stats don’t paint the clearest picture in women’s basketball, since there are a handful of really good teams (like Texas and Vanderbilt) and everyone else. It’s easy to rack up stats against poor teams like Incarnate Word.

But I think Vanderbilt’s 3-point shooting gives them enough of an edge that the Commodores have a legitimate shot at winning this game. But they’ll keep it close.

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No. 17 TCU vs. No. 12 Baylor Prediction

Baylor has dominated this series, 25-3, winning the first 25 games and losing to TCU three times last season, twice in the regular season (the final game decided the Big 12 regular season winner) and in the Big 12 Tournament finals. Both teams play great defense, allowing under 58 points per game.

But TCU has an edge on the offensive end. The Horned Frogs are scoring 80.2 points per game to Baylor’s 72.4 points per game. Three-pointers are a significant part of TCU’s game (averaging 9.0 per game, No. 13 in the country), but Baylor has the No. 1 3-point defense.

• Our Pick: TCU ML at -200

With both teams playing such great defense, I didn’t feel comfortable with taking Baylor and the points (4.5) or laying the points and taking TCU. But TCU is incrementally the better shooting team between the two. That should give the Horned Frogs enough of an edge to get the win.

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Women’s College Basketball Parlay Pick (February 12): Highlighting More SEC Teams

• Missouri vs. No. 22 Tennessee: OVER 151.5 at -115

Tennessee is the better team in this matchup, but the spread (18.5 points) is at that sweet spot where you can see it going either way. However, both teams average around 75 points per game, but neither plays great defense (Tennessee—No. 196 in the country; Missouri—No. 332).

• No. 18 Kentucky -17.5 at -115 (vs. Texas A&M)

It’s a big spread, but the Aggies are struggling to put up points this season (64.2 points per game) and rank as one of the worst shooting teams in the country by several different statistics. Kentucky is coming off consecutive losses, but to two of the best teams in the country. They’ll feast on the Aggies.

• Florida +17.5 at -115 (vs. No. 10 Oklahoma)

Florida has not been great in SEC play (3-8), but Oklahoma hasn’t been too good either (5-5). Both recently played Texas and Vanderbilt and lost. They each lost to Vanderbilt by 16. Florida lost to Texas by 20; Oklahoma lost by eight. From a statistical perspective, I have to give Oklahoma the nod, but I see no reason to think they’ll cover this spread.