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Team USA vs. Brazil Betting Odds & Prediction for World Baseball Classic Opener (Mar. 6)

Publish Date: Mar 06, 2026
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli
Key Points
  • United States opens its competition in World Baseball Classic in Houston vs Team Brazil
  • Logan Webb will start for U.S. in Pool Play, top two teams advance
  • Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper pack power into Team USA lineup

Team USA plays for the first time in the 2026 World Baseball Classic tonight in primetime against Brazil. The USA is favored to win this international tournament.

Team United States WBC Aaron Judge

(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Logan Webb of the San Francisco Giants is slated to start the game for Team USA. The matchup will take place in Houston at Daikin Park. Webb is making his WBC debut.

Fans of Major League Baseball will recognize a few players on Team Brazil: Dante Bichette Jr, Joseph Contreras, and Lucas Martinez, for example. More on them below in the breakdown. First, details on this game:

  • United States (-7000) vs. Brazil (+2000), 8 PM ET, live on FOX
  • Over/Under 14.5 Runs (-138/+112), from FanDuel Sportsbook

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U.S.A. vs Brazil, World Baseball Classic Best Bets

Maybe you're wondering if you can place player props on WBC games? The answer is YES. Over at FanDuel, there are player props on the starting lineups and pitchers, just as you'd find in a regular season MLB game.

The U.S. lineup is not set as of publish time, but the projection is:

  1. Bobby Witt Jr., SS
  2. Bryce Harper, 1B
  3. Aaron Judge, RF
  4. Kyle Schwarber, DH
  5. Cal Raleigh, C
  6. Alex Bregman, 3B
  7. Byron Buxton, CF
  8. Roman Anthony, LF
  9. Bryce Turang, 2B

Seven All-Stars will regularly be in the USA lineup, with two players (Harper and Judge) who have won multiple Most Valuable Player awards.

The Brazil team's strength is the bullpen. They are not expected to get out of Pool Play, and the starting pitching is not as deep as other rosters. Which is why I like loads of runs being scored in this USA opener. Let's look at the top player prop bets below.

Second-Gen Players on Brazil roster

Bo Bichette's little brother Dante Jr. is in the lineup for Brazil. Two other second-generation players are also on the Brazilian roster: Joseph Contreras, son of former pitcher Jose; and Lucas Martinez, son of former big league outfielder Manny Ramirez.

I have three prop bets for this game. I'm choosing not to package them in a parlay. Odds for World Baseball Classic Player Props are from BetMGM:

  • PROP BET: Cal Raleigh To Hit a Home Run (+135)
  • PROP BET: Roman Anthony To Record 1+ Hit (-325)
  • PROP BET: Alex Bregman To Record 2+ Hits (+115)

American betting odds are presented based on $100 wagers. For example: +135 means a winning $100 bet wins $135. On the Anthony wager, I will need to bet $325 to win $100.

Your betting units may vary. Adjust for your budget.

World Baseball Classic Betting Strategy

I prefer to start slow when betting on an event, like WBC or the World Cup, Olympics, etc. I like to grab a win early. That's why I'm staking a bet on a short odds (Roman Anthony to record at least one hit).

If my bets each win, I'll take in $350 ($135 + $100 + $115).

World Baseball Classic Prediction: USA at Brazil, Mar. 6

Team USA is on a mission to get back to the championship game following a narrow defeat three years ago. There will be some bumps in the road. The field is stronger than it was in 2023. But this game will not be a bump.

Team USA will load up on the Brazilian pitching staff. Expect crooked numbers to go up on the board.

  • World Baseball Classic Bet & Prediction: USA 9, Brazil 2
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